Here's Why Q2 Could Be Huge For XRP Investors

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • XRP's issuer, Ripple, is going to upgrade the XRP Ledger with a few new features soon.

  • The chain's economy for tokenized assets will likely get a big boost as a result.

  • By the time 2026 ends, it'll be significantly better positioned to attract financial institutions.

  • 10 stocks we like better than XRP ›

XRP's (CRYPTO: XRP) investment story is less about a single headline, and more about whether the suite of financial services and technologies that Ripple is building for it is attracting serious capital.

On that front, Ripple is planning to ship a cluster of institutional-focused upgrades on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) early in the year. That means the scorecard for their performance will, in part, be XRP's performance in the second and third quarters. Let's take a look at what's on the roadmap and why it means the coming months could be huge for XRP's holders.

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These features are likely to be transformative

According to its 2026 development plan published in early February, Ripple is substantially broadening the XRPL's feature set.

The network will be adding identity verification features to its decentralized exchange (DEX) to create walled gardens, or permissioned markets, intended for trading tokenized assets like stocks and commodities. For reference, tokenized assets are just assets whose ownership rights are encoded onto a crypto token, so that they can be easily traded or used for recordkeeping purposes on a blockchain.

The new permissioned markets will pave the way for the chain's ecosystem of tokenized assets to flourish, as trading them will be compliant with know-your-customer (KYC) regulations. Furthermore, the ledger will be getting a new smart escrow feature on top of its existing escrow functionality, adding smart contract-like execution parameters to escrow release criteria.

Ripple is also introducing the ability to perform confidential transactions on the chain. Confidential transactions are essential for serious financial operators, as they prefer to keep their live positions concealed from competitors. When paired with the other features, users will be thus able to trade their assets with a much wider pool of counterparties because they'll have the pillars of trust they need to do so with confidence. That'll likely stimulate a lot more activity on the chain, which could push XRP's price up and give it more value as a chain.

Bolstering the network's native tools for accessing credit is yet another major improvement that's on the way. The new lending feature is expected to provide access to fixed-term, uncollateralized loans, with participants being responsible for underwriting any loans they issue.

If Ripple rolls out all of these new additions as planned and the financial institutions it's courting actually start using them, it'll be a good time for the coin's holders.

Q2 and Q3 will be the scoreboard

As promising as these upgrades are, the market is unlikely to react to them by immediately bidding up the price of XRP. Q2 is the earliest time that investors should look for measurable signals that the upgrades are pulling in real usage.

The most straightforward way to track whether the new features intended for tokenized assets are gaining traction is to watch on-chain metrics, specifically the total tradeable tokenized asset value, tokenized asset holder counts, and trading activity. As of Feb. 18, there are $449 million in tokenized assets distributed on the XRPL, up 50% from just 30 days ago, with around $150 million in tokenized asset trading volume in that same period. So it looks like there are already some early indications of assets flowing into the network to take advantage of the upgrades it's in the process of getting.

XRP is already a good pick if you're trying to build a crypto portfolio. That could be confirmed again in the coming quarters, but as likely as the near future is to be sunny for investors, it's worth understanding what might go wrong.

Financial regulators keep warning that asset tokenization can create new investor risks, including confusion over whether someone owns the underlying asset or only a representation of it, not to mention new counterparty risks from both issuers and intermediaries. Congress is presently evaluating the Clarity Act, which will almost certainly have a lot to say about the legal boundaries of tokenized assets. But if it's passed, it might not necessarily be favorable for Ripple's ambitions with XRP.

Nonetheless, if Q2 brings sustained growth in tokenized asset activity and early signs of institutional credit markets forming on-chain, XRP investors will have new evidence that the chain is creating its niche, and the price is likely to trend upwards, perhaps sharply so. Just be aware that the asset's price isn't something to judge it on too quickly. It could take a long time for rising tokenized asset balances to translate into higher prices, assuming it ever does.

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Alex Carchidi has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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