EXR is dependable, but the growth story is cooling as the pandemic-era storage boom fades.
The stock feels capped. You'll likely get steady income and stability, but not the kind of upside that turns this into a real long-term wealth builder.
If investors want to make generational wealth, Extra Space Storage (NYSE: EXR) shouldn't be a tempting investment heading into its Thursday, Feb. 19, earnings report.
It's one of the largest self-storage real estate investment trusts (REITs) in the U.S., generates consistent cash flow, and has built a reputation as a well-run operator in a sector that tends to hold up even when the economy gets shaky. If you're looking for stability and income, it checks a lot of boxes.
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For the past decade, the cultural backdrop for storage units and dividend-paying investments was almost too good to be true: Smaller homes, urbanization, exploding e‑commerce, and a pandemic that forced millions of people to reshuffle their lives and their stuff made storage space feel like a universal and never-ending need, and REITs like EXR were big beneficiaries.
Image source: Getty Images.
But those one‑time catalysts are fading. People are moving less, interest rates are higher, and the mindset of "just rent a unit" has gone from clever life hack to another bill for financially stretched households to justify.
If you're looking for a stock that can meaningfully outperform the market over the long run, Extra Space Storage is a tough sell. The problem isn't that the business is weak. The problem is that the stock has struggled to deliver real upside for investors because it's essentially stuck in a trading range. The stock hasn't cleared $180 a share in over three and a half years, and it has barely sunk below $120 a share over the last year.
The stock doesn't collapse, but it doesn't really break out either. That range-bound performance is a big deal because it tells you something about expectations: The market sees this company as dependable, but not exciting. In other words, the market sees this company as incapable of producing the sustained growth that drives big, long-term returns.
Investments like Extra Space Storage are considered solid income investments, and the company consistently emphasizes its scale and operations as key advantages. But even a high-quality REIT can become a mediocre investment if growth slows and the stock price already reflects its strengths.
Self-storage is also a competitive industry, and while Extra Space has size on its side, the sector isn't immune to supply pressures, slower rent growth, and the effects of rising interest rates on real estate valuations.
That's what makes EXR feel like a "fine" stock rather than a great one. The dividend may reward patient shareholders, and the business model should keep the company stable, but the odds of this becoming a major wealth-builder look slim.
Investors buying today are likely signing up for modest returns, not market-beating gains. In other words, Extra Space Storage probably won't lose you a lot of money, but it probably won't make you much either, no matter what is reported in its Feb. 19 earnings.
It's a safe long-term hold, but not an exciting long-term investment.
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Micah Zimmerman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Extra Space Storage. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.