Forex Today: An impasse is likely ahead of the FOMC meeting

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback came under renewed downside pressure following further cooling of the US labour market as well as extra signs that disinflationary pressures remained far from abated in August, this time via Producer Prices. Those readings seem to have cemented investors’ prospects of a rate cut by the Fed at its meeting next week.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, September 13:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) halted a four-day positive streak on the back of the resurgence of the downward bias in response to soft US data. Import and Export Prices are due on September 13, seconded by the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment gauge.

EUR/USD finally saw some signs of life and regained composure following four straight days of losses. The Industrial Production in the broader euro bloc will be published on September 13 ahead of the Eurogroup Meeting and the speech by the ECB’s C. Lagarde.

GBP/USD regained the smile and trespassed the 1.3100 barrier following further selling pressure in the Greenback. The next risk event on the UK docket will be the release of the Inflation Rate on September 18.

USD/JPY extended its weekly leg lower and revisited once again the area below the 142.00 support on the back of higher yields and the daily pullback in the Greenback. The final Industrial Production prints are due on September 11, along with Capacity Utilization.

AUD/USD advanced to weekly tops and left behind the 0.6700 hurdle following the intense buying interest in the risk-linked assets. The Westpac Leading Index is expected on September 18.

Prices of WTI added to Wednesday’s recovery and approached the key $70.00 mark per barrel on the back of supply concerns before Hurricane Francine’s landfall.

Gold prices clinched an all-time top around $2,555 per ounce troy in response to the weaker US Dollar and expectations of the Fed's easing. Silver rallied to two-week highs, trading at shouting distance from the key $30.00 mark per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Tesla jumps 5% as Barclays puts a $450 target on the SpaceX merger — the chart was already pointing to 431Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 27, Tue
Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
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Anthropic files for a $2 trillion IPO — the $80.7 billion loss is the decoy, the $450 billion compute bill is the riskAnthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 27, Tue
Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
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Brent's $115 front month sits $4.6 above January — the $14 spread to WTI is the supply-risk premiumDecember Brent trades at $115.29 while January is $110.71, a $4.58 backwardation. The December Brent-WTI spread is $14.2, versus a $3-5 normal. That gap, not the headline, is where the Middle East supply risk is priced. Here is what the curve says, why the December contract's expiry on October 30 will mechanically cut the headline by $4.6, and the 108.81 neckline that decides the next move.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 28, Wed
December Brent trades at $115.29 while January is $110.71, a $4.58 backwardation. The December Brent-WTI spread is $14.2, versus a $3-5 normal. That gap, not the headline, is where the Middle East supply risk is priced. Here is what the curve says, why the December contract's expiry on October 30 will mechanically cut the headline by $4.6, and the 108.81 neckline that decides the next move.
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Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 29, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 29, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 02: 06
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 29, 2026. Read on for the details.
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The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 02: 55
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
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