Forex Today: An impasse is likely ahead of the FOMC meeting

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback came under renewed downside pressure following further cooling of the US labour market as well as extra signs that disinflationary pressures remained far from abated in August, this time via Producer Prices. Those readings seem to have cemented investors’ prospects of a rate cut by the Fed at its meeting next week.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, September 13:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) halted a four-day positive streak on the back of the resurgence of the downward bias in response to soft US data. Import and Export Prices are due on September 13, seconded by the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment gauge.

EUR/USD finally saw some signs of life and regained composure following four straight days of losses. The Industrial Production in the broader euro bloc will be published on September 13 ahead of the Eurogroup Meeting and the speech by the ECB’s C. Lagarde.

GBP/USD regained the smile and trespassed the 1.3100 barrier following further selling pressure in the Greenback. The next risk event on the UK docket will be the release of the Inflation Rate on September 18.

USD/JPY extended its weekly leg lower and revisited once again the area below the 142.00 support on the back of higher yields and the daily pullback in the Greenback. The final Industrial Production prints are due on September 11, along with Capacity Utilization.

AUD/USD advanced to weekly tops and left behind the 0.6700 hurdle following the intense buying interest in the risk-linked assets. The Westpac Leading Index is expected on September 18.

Prices of WTI added to Wednesday’s recovery and approached the key $70.00 mark per barrel on the back of supply concerns before Hurricane Francine’s landfall.

Gold prices clinched an all-time top around $2,555 per ounce troy in response to the weaker US Dollar and expectations of the Fed's easing. Silver rallied to two-week highs, trading at shouting distance from the key $30.00 mark per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Author  Suzie
Sep 22, Tue
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts toward $4.300 with bears gaining tractionGold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 23, Wed
Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
placeholder
US input costs rose at the fastest pace in four years — the September flash PMI beat is an inflation story, not a growth storyUS September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
Author  Suzie
20 hours ago
US September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
goTop
quote