Shiba Inu Price Analysis: SHIB whale demand declines 88% amid two-week consolidation phase

Source Fxstreet

 

  • Shiba Inu price has been consolidating around the $0.000016 mark over the last two weeks. 
  • Average Transaction Size on the Shiba Inu network has declined by 88% between February 3 and Sunday. 
  • The RSI and EMA technical indicators signal $0.000015 breakdown risks ahead.


Shiba Inu (SHIB) price opened trading around the $0.000016 mark on Monday, having consolidated within a 5% tight range over the last two weeks. On-chain data shows whale investors have gradually reduced their exposure to SHIB amid the ongoing price stagnation phase.

Shiba Inu stagnates at $0.000016 as bullish and bearish signals counteract

Shiba Inu’s price action has been relatively muted in February as bullish and bearish catalysts counteract each other.

While it still maintains its place as the second-largest meme coin behind Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu has ceded considerable ground in the past month, with the US President Donald Trump meme token encroaching on its market share.

On the positive side, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) acknowledgment of a Dogecoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) has spurred investor confidence in legacy meme coins, including SHIB.

Shiba Inu price action (SHIB/USDT)

Shiba Inu price action (SHIB/USDT)

Emphasizing the neutral market sentiment, the chart above shows how SHIB’s price has trended sideways within the $0.000015 to $0.000017 range since February 8.

At press time, Shiba Inu trades at $0.000016 on Binance, with bears looking to tighten their grip.

The parabolic SAR indicator displays a cluster of dots above the price action, reinforcing the downward pressure.

Meanwhile, the RSI hovers slightly above 45, suggesting the asset remains in neutral-to-bearish territory.

If buyers fail to gain momentum, SHIB risks breaking below the $0.000015 support level.

However, a potential bounce off this level could open the door for a bullish reversal toward the $0.000017 resistance zone, contingent on increased whale demand and the broader meme coin’s sector strength.

Shiba Inu large transactions decline as price stagnates

Another key factor hinting at Shiba Inu’s struggle to break out from its extended consolidation phase is the whale accumulation patterns observed in recent weeks.

On-chain data suggests that large-scale investors have been significantly reducing their exposure to SHIB.

IntoTheBlock’s Average Transaction metric, which tracks daily buy and sell trades of whale investors, offers critical insights into market sentiment.

The metric measures the average Dollar value of all transactions executed on the Shiba Inu network on a given day.

When the average transaction size increases, it signals either retail investors deploying larger capital or whale investors executing high-volume trades.

Conversely, a decline in the metric reflects lower high-value transaction activity, often indicative of fading investor confidence.

Over the last week, SHIB’s Average Transaction Size has plummeted 88%, dropping from $39,000 on February 3 to a monthly low of $4,707 on Sunday, according to the latest on-chain data. This sharp decline underscores waning whale participation, reinforcing SHIB’s ongoing price stagnation.

Shiba Inu Average Transaction Size | SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu Average Transaction Size | SHIB/USDT

However, such drastic reductions in large transactions have historically preceded notable price recoveries.

A sharp drop in whale trading activity can often signal a redistribution phase, where retail traders accumulate supply at lower levels before a major upward breakout.

If SHIB’s average transaction size stabilizes or begins to recover, it could indicate fresh capital inflows, potentially fueling a rally toward the $0.000018 resistance zone in the coming weeks.

Furthermore, with meme coin speculation remaining strong following the DOGE ETF acknowledgment, SHIB could see renewed bullish interest. A resurgence in whale demand, combined with improving technical indicators, could provide the necessary catalyst for a breakout from its current tight range.

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: SHIB struggles below key EMAs as bears eye $0.000015 breakdown

Shiba Inu (SHIB) remains under pressure, trading around $0.00001595 as bearish momentum lingers.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.00001682 and the 100-day EMA at $0.00001889 have acted as key resistance, preventing SHIB from staging a meaningful recovery. Until bulls reclaim these levels, the downside risks remain elevated.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) price forecast

Shiba Inu (SHIB) price forecast

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator in the daily chart currently hovers at 40.73, signaling weakening buying interest.

A sustained drop below 37 could push SHIB deeper into oversold territory, potentially triggering further declines. The declining trading volume further underscores the lack of bullish conviction, reinforcing the likelihood of a retest of the $0.000015 support zone.

On the bullish side, SHIB has found consistent buying interest near $0.000015, preventing a sharper decline.

If bulls defend this level and push SHIB above $0.00001682, a relief rally toward the $0.000018 resistance level could emerge.

However, with momentum indicators skewed to the downside and large whale transactions declining, SHIB remains vulnerable to further losses unless buyers step in decisively.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts higher above $4,200 as Fed delivers expected cutGold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,235 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal extends its upside after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered an expected third consecutive interest rate cut and maintained its outlook for just one cut in 2026.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 11, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,235 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal extends its upside after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered an expected third consecutive interest rate cut and maintained its outlook for just one cut in 2026.
placeholder
Ethereum Price Slips Lower — $3,000 Looms as the Key BattlegroundEthereum is attempting to recover from a $3,026 low but remains below $3,200 and the 100-hour SMA, with a bearish trend line near $3,175 capping rebounds as bulls need a clean break above $3,200 to target $3,250–$3,400, while a drop below $3,050 risks a retest of $3,000 and $2,940.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 15, Mon
Ethereum is attempting to recover from a $3,026 low but remains below $3,200 and the 100-hour SMA, with a bearish trend line near $3,175 capping rebounds as bulls need a clean break above $3,200 to target $3,250–$3,400, while a drop below $3,050 risks a retest of $3,000 and $2,940.
placeholder
Macro Analysts: Hawkish Japan Could Push Bitcoin Below $70KAnalysts predict Bitcoin may face further declines towards the $70,000 mark if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates as expected.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 15, Mon
Analysts predict Bitcoin may face further declines towards the $70,000 mark if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates as expected.
placeholder
Bitcoin Slides 5% as Sellers Lean In — Can BTC Reclaim $88,000?Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
Author  Mitrade
23 hours ago
Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
placeholder
Senate Delays Crypto Market Structure Hearings to Early 2026The Senate Banking Committee has postponed cryptocurrency market structure hearings until 2026, citing ongoing bipartisan negotiations.
Author  Mitrade
20 hours ago
The Senate Banking Committee has postponed cryptocurrency market structure hearings until 2026, citing ongoing bipartisan negotiations.
goTop
quote