USD/CNH: Above 7.1600 further sustained gains are likely – UOB Group

Source Fxstreet

Room for USD to rise; the 7.1600 level is likely out of reach. In the longer run, upward momentum is building, but USD must break and remain above 7.1600 before further sustained gains are likely, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

USD/CNH looks to test 7.1600

24-HOUR VIEW: “We indicated yesterday that ‘The increasing momentum suggest USD is likely to rise further, potentially reaching 7.1600.’ However, USD rose less than expected, pulling back from 7.1500. Despite pulling back, the underlying tone appears firm. Today, we continue to see room for USD to rise, even though the 7.1600 level is likely out of reach. On the downside, support levels are at 7.1375 and 7.1300.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Our update from yesterday (28 Oct, spot at 7.1460) remains valid. As highlighted, ‘While upward momentum is building, USD must break and remain above 7.1600 before further sustained gains are likely.’ The likelihood of USD breaking clearly above 7.1600 will remain intact, provided that 7.1200 is not breached in the next few days.”

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 03, Tue
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
TradingKey Daily Market Brief: Nasdaq Falls Over 5%, AI Stocks Plunge as Nvidia Drops Over 9%, Micron Falls Over 17%, SanDisk Drops Over 22% During the Asian trading session on November 6, the three major U.S. stock indices tumbled across the board overnight as the sell-off across the AI data center suppl
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 01: 41
During the Asian trading session on November 6, the three major U.S. stock indices tumbled across the board overnight as the sell-off across the AI data center suppl
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 6, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 36
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold's $250 week runs into the last payrolls before DecemberSpot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 03
Spot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
placeholder
Micron's $4.5 billion Taiwan fab won't make a chip until 2028 — the market sold it as a 2026 problemMicron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 28
Micron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
goTop
quote