The US Dollar could get a lift if the Fed pushes back on market expectations for cuts – Commerzbank

Source Fxstreet

Michael Pfister, FX Analyst at Commerzbank, discusses how the Federal Reserve’s rate decision could impact the US Dollar (USD).

What does Powell surprise us with today?

For the Dollar, the key question may not be whether the first move comes in March or May. Rather, it is how quickly the Fed cuts rates after that. 

If Fed Chair Jerome Powell is more decisive than last time in pushing back against the rather ambitious expectations for this year, then the Dollar should benefit again. However, given his surprising reversal in December, when he said that the Fed was not interested in market expectations, and the fact that only slightly more rate cuts have been priced in since then, I find it hard to imagine that this will happen. But after the December meeting, you have to realize that any surprise is possible. So perhaps the key question is: what does Powell surprise us with today?

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin squeezes back above $80,000 — 110,000 traders liquidated as the hawkish Fed and CLARITY setback fail to hold it down; is $83,000 next?Bitcoin closed above $80,000 on Friday for the first time since September 7, and pushed to $81,299 over the weekend, triggering about $603 million of liquidations — $523 million of them shorts — across more than 110,000 traders. With the Fed's hike already priced and the SEC and CFTC advancing crypto rules after the CLARITY Act failed, here is what stands between BTC and the $83,000 gate.
Author  Suzie
17 hours ago
Bitcoin closed above $80,000 on Friday for the first time since September 7, and pushed to $81,299 over the weekend, triggering about $603 million of liquidations — $523 million of them shorts — across more than 110,000 traders. With the Fed's hike already priced and the SEC and CFTC advancing crypto rules after the CLARITY Act failed, here is what stands between BTC and the $83,000 gate.
placeholder
Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollarSpot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
Author  Suzie
17 hours ago
Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
placeholder
Have Fed Rate Hike Headwinds Been Priced In? Gold Rebounds Strongly Toward $4,400, Poised for a New Rally As of the European session on September 18, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended Thursday's rebound, rising strongly in intraday trading to $4,399.75 today, just shy of the $4,400 psychological
Author  TradingKey
Sep 18, Fri
As of the European session on September 18, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended Thursday's rebound, rising strongly in intraday trading to $4,399.75 today, just shy of the $4,400 psychological
placeholder
US to delay new "overcapacity" tariffs on China — what the pause means for trade, inflation and the dollarWashington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 18, Fri
Washington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to near $4,350 on weaker US Dollar, falling oil pricesGold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 18, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote