Bitcoin price draws further away from its all-time high of $73,777 with BTC halving one month away

• Bitcoin price bottomed out at $62,410, causing almost $570 million in total liquidations.
• A Head-and-Shoulders pattern could send BTC 12% lower to the weekly imbalance at $59,005.
• A break and close above the $69,000 neckline would negate the technical formation.

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to pull away from its all-time high (ATH), recording lower highs and lower lows. The reverberations of this slump have spread to the wider market with altcoins also shedding, and both meme coins and AI crypto coins are dumping in the aftermath.  

Also Read: Bitcoin price shows weakness, but new BTC whales have created solid support at $56,400

Bitcoin repels $73,777 peak as halving approaches

Bitcoin price dropped to record an intraday low of $62,410 on Tuesday, provoking a wider market crash. The dip caused almost $570 million in total crypto liquidations, comprising $458 million in longs against $111 million in short positions.

Total liquidations

Out of this, around $136 million was composed of BTC longs and nearly $45 million in short positions. It comes as the countdown to the Bitcoin halving continues, estimated to arrive in 30 days.

While the pullback is harsh, optimists see it as a buying opportunity, and therefore a healthy correction ahead of the halving. If history repeats, the Bitcoin halving could kick off the next bull market like it has in previous cycles.  

Elsewhere, reports indicate that between March 10 and 18, MicroStrategy has added 9,245 BTC tokens to its Bitcoin bucket worth around $623 million. The tokens were purchased at an average price of $67,382. With this voluminous buy, the business intelligence firm now holds 214,246 BTC worth $13.6 billion but acquired for $7.53 billion. The average purchase price overall is $35,160.

Notably, the purchases were made using proceeds from convertible notes and excess cash.

Bitcoin price outlook ahead of the halving

Bitcoin price action is defined by a steady climb before BTC topped out at $73,777, followed by a series of lower highs and lower lows. This has culminated in a Head-and-Shoulders pattern. This technical formation signals an upcoming bearish trend. 

Three successive price tops, or two shoulders and a head, form the pattern. The head is the middle top, which is at the highest level, while the shoulders are the two other tops that are higher on both sides. The neckline connects the swing lows of the three tops. 

The pattern is completed once the price crosses below this neckline, and the target is forecasted by measuring the distance between the neckline and the head and superimposing it from the expected breakout point southwards.

Bitcoin price could make a 12% drop to the weekly imbalance, the Fair Value Gap (FVG), which stretches from $52,985 to $59,005, if this pattern plays out. This could provide a buying opportunity for risk-savvy investors.  A break and close below its midline at $55,942 would confirm the continuation of the downtrend.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) supports this outlook, dropping to signify falling momentum. The histogram bars of the Awesome Oscillator (AO) are also edging toward the mean level amid ongoing profit-taking, encouraged by Bitcoin price’s recent loss of momentum.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart

On the other hand, if bulls have their way, bulls show up, Bitcoin price could reclaim above the neckline. In a highly bullish case, the gains could send BTC above the $69,000 threshold, above which the bearish thesis would be invalidated.

A flip of the aforementioned resistance into support would encourage the bulls to propel Bitcoin price to reclaim its peak of $73,777 or higher. Such a move would constitute a climb of nearly 13% above current levels.