Bernstein analysts predict Bitcoin surge if Trump wins election

Source Cryptopolitan

Bernstein analysts have predicted that the November presidential election result could affect the price of Bitcoin. The firm’s report shows possible price shifts based on Trump and Harris assuming the presidency.

According to Bernstein’s analysts, if Donald Trump wins the presidency, Bitcoin may hit new all-time highs. They believe that Bitcoin may surpass its previous high of $73,949 and target a price between $80,000 and $90,000.

According to analysts Guatam Chhugani, Mahika Sapra, and Sanskar Chindalia, this may be due to Trump’s positive view of digital assets. Trump has expressed his support for cryptocurrency in the past and stated that the U.S. should be the dominant player in this market.

This year, Trump has come out in support of cryptocurrencies and has even allowed the use of cryptocurrencies in his campaign. The report also cites Trump’s recent purchase of burgers using Bitcoin through the Lightning Network as the first U.S. president to engage in cryptocurrency. He has also laid out plans to make the US a hub for Bitcoin mining, nominate a pro-crypto head of the SEC, and create a national strategic Bitcoin reserve.

Report forecasts potential Bitcoin price drop under Harris

On the other hand, Harris has only recently come out with her stance on cryptocurrency and pledged to support the industry. According to Bernstein’s report, if Kamala Harris wins, the price of Bitcoin could fall dramatically. The analysts see Bitcoin testing new lows in the $40,000 range, a new low in the recent market correction.

In the coming weeks leading to the election day, the analysts expect that the value of Bitcoin will swing with the odds of the election in favor of Trump. If the election remains too close to call, they believe bitcoin will remain range-bound until the election on November 5.

According to Polymarket, Trump is currently leading Harris by 7%, which shows that the market is leaning more toward Trump. The traders on Polymarket have raised their stakes on a Trump win, which the analysts think is a move to hedge against possible market shifts, especially in the crypto space.  Bernstein further claims that  Polymarket has more than $1.5 billion in liquidity, which is real money rather than voter bias.

The analysts further stated that Ethereum and Solana will likely trade within a certain range up to the elections. The path of altcoins depends on the regulatory environment. This includes the SEC chair and other positions in the White House.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 29, Tue
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
20 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
1 hour ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
goTop
quote