Bitcoin on verge of 20% rally as Fed leaves rates unchanged

Source Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin could see a 20% rally after positive CPI data and FOMC meeting.
  • Over 20K BTC flowed to accumulating whale addresses in past 24 hours.
  • Donald Trump told miners he wants all "remaining BTC to be made in the USA."

Bitcoin (BTC) gained over 2% on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%. A recent analysis also revealed that BTC could be on the verge of a 20% rally after the Fed’s meeting.

BTC could see 20% gain following Trump’s comment and FOMC meeting

Bitcoin shot above 4% in the past 24 hours before experiencing a slight correction after the headline US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in at 3.3% YoY, below expectations of 3.4%. Bitcoin's price quickly reacted positively to the news of declining inflation.

Also read: Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Bitcoin could see high volatility due to US CPI

The market had earlier priced in higher inflation ahead of the FOMC meeting, causing Bitcoin to suffer more than a 5% decline on Tuesday. However, the softer-than-expected CPI data has changed investors' sentiment, with many expecting a price rise.

The Fed also announced it would leave interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%. Four Fed officials expect no cuts this year, seven see one cut on the horizon, and eight project two cuts.

BTC's recent move seems to align with its historical price movement during the past four FOMC events. As noted by analyst @CryptoJelleNL, "the past FOMC meetings have all marked local bottoms and triggered >20% rallies for Bitcoin." As Bitcoin is currently rising, the prediction seems to be taking shape.

Read more: Bitcoin’s 2% crash wipes $4.21 billion in OI and handicaps altcoins, what’s next?

BTC chart after FOMC

BTC chart after FOMC

Whale activity in the past 24 hours also gives credence to the possibility of a price rise.

According to data from CryptoQuant, more than 20K BTC flowed to accumulating whale addresses during Tuesday's price decline.

BTC Quarterly returns

BTC Quarterly returns

However, investors must exercise caution as Bitcoin has historically struggled in Q3. BTC's Q3 average return is at 6.49% with a median return of -2.57%.

Also read: Bitcoin and entire crypto market bow into the weekend following strong NFP report

US Presidential candidate Donald Trump met with several executives of top Bitcoin mining firms in the US, according to Bitcoin Magazine, telling them he'll support BTC mining in Washington, DC and globally. The news was followed by Trump's post on his Truth Social platform, saying he wants all the "remaining Bitcoin to be MADE IN THE USA." 

Trump's comment triggered a rise in the stocks of Bitcoin mining companies with TerraWulf rising by 19%, Hive Digital up by 8% and MicroStrategy seeing a 7% gain.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Gains momentum after Fed minutes release, traders eye 163.00The Euro extended its gains for the second straight day against the Japanese Yen and is up by 0.22% as the EUR/JPY trades at 162.47 late during the North American session.
Author  FXStreet
Feb 22, 2024
The Euro extended its gains for the second straight day against the Japanese Yen and is up by 0.22% as the EUR/JPY trades at 162.47 late during the North American session.
placeholder
Tesla Did Not Sell Its 11,509 Bitcoin, On-Chain Data RevealsOn-chain data indicates that Tesla Inc. has retained its entire Bitcoin holdings, dispelling recent speculation about a potential sale. Last week, blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence reported that Tesla had transferred its entire stash of 11,509 BTC—currently valued at over $776 million—to new, unidentified wallets. This substantial movement led to widespread conjecture that Elon Musk’s […]
Author  Bitcoinist
Oct 23, 2024
On-chain data indicates that Tesla Inc. has retained its entire Bitcoin holdings, dispelling recent speculation about a potential sale. Last week, blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence reported that Tesla had transferred its entire stash of 11,509 BTC—currently valued at over $776 million—to new, unidentified wallets. This substantial movement led to widespread conjecture that Elon Musk’s […]
placeholder
Gold jumps above $4,440 as geopolitical flare, Fed cut bets mountGold (XAU/USD) rallies over 2% on Monday, reaching a record high of $4,442 amid rising geopolitical tensions and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to reduce interest rates next year, pushing US Treasury yields lower.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 23, 2025
Gold (XAU/USD) rallies over 2% on Monday, reaching a record high of $4,442 amid rising geopolitical tensions and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to reduce interest rates next year, pushing US Treasury yields lower.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD drops below $75.00 after Trump - Zelenkyy’s meeting Silver (XAG/USD) has lost more than $10 since hitting a fresh record high near $86.00 on Monday’s early trading. The precious metal has retreated to levels in the $74.00 area at the time of writing, weighed by comments by US President Trump about the chances of a peace deal in Ukraine.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 29, 2025
Silver (XAG/USD) has lost more than $10 since hitting a fresh record high near $86.00 on Monday’s early trading. The precious metal has retreated to levels in the $74.00 area at the time of writing, weighed by comments by US President Trump about the chances of a peace deal in Ukraine.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD struggles to extend recovery above 20-day EMAGold price (XAU/USD) is down 0.8% to near $4,140 during the European trading session on Monday. The precious metal faces selling pressure as the three-day rally hits a pause after failing to extend above $4,202.
Author  FXStreet
15 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) is down 0.8% to near $4,140 during the European trading session on Monday. The precious metal faces selling pressure as the three-day rally hits a pause after failing to extend above $4,202.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote