Bitcoin on verge of 20% rally as Fed leaves rates unchanged

Source Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin could see a 20% rally after positive CPI data and FOMC meeting.
  • Over 20K BTC flowed to accumulating whale addresses in past 24 hours.
  • Donald Trump told miners he wants all "remaining BTC to be made in the USA."

Bitcoin (BTC) gained over 2% on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%. A recent analysis also revealed that BTC could be on the verge of a 20% rally after the Fed’s meeting.

BTC could see 20% gain following Trump’s comment and FOMC meeting

Bitcoin shot above 4% in the past 24 hours before experiencing a slight correction after the headline US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in at 3.3% YoY, below expectations of 3.4%. Bitcoin's price quickly reacted positively to the news of declining inflation.

Also read: Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Bitcoin could see high volatility due to US CPI

The market had earlier priced in higher inflation ahead of the FOMC meeting, causing Bitcoin to suffer more than a 5% decline on Tuesday. However, the softer-than-expected CPI data has changed investors' sentiment, with many expecting a price rise.

The Fed also announced it would leave interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%. Four Fed officials expect no cuts this year, seven see one cut on the horizon, and eight project two cuts.

BTC's recent move seems to align with its historical price movement during the past four FOMC events. As noted by analyst @CryptoJelleNL, "the past FOMC meetings have all marked local bottoms and triggered >20% rallies for Bitcoin." As Bitcoin is currently rising, the prediction seems to be taking shape.

Read more: Bitcoin’s 2% crash wipes $4.21 billion in OI and handicaps altcoins, what’s next?

BTC chart after FOMC

BTC chart after FOMC

Whale activity in the past 24 hours also gives credence to the possibility of a price rise.

According to data from CryptoQuant, more than 20K BTC flowed to accumulating whale addresses during Tuesday's price decline.

BTC Quarterly returns

BTC Quarterly returns

However, investors must exercise caution as Bitcoin has historically struggled in Q3. BTC's Q3 average return is at 6.49% with a median return of -2.57%.

Also read: Bitcoin and entire crypto market bow into the weekend following strong NFP report

US Presidential candidate Donald Trump met with several executives of top Bitcoin mining firms in the US, according to Bitcoin Magazine, telling them he'll support BTC mining in Washington, DC and globally. The news was followed by Trump's post on his Truth Social platform, saying he wants all the "remaining Bitcoin to be MADE IN THE USA." 

Trump's comment triggered a rise in the stocks of Bitcoin mining companies with TerraWulf rising by 19%, Hive Digital up by 8% and MicroStrategy seeing a 7% gain.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
Analyst Flags XRP as Market’s ‘Best Risk/Reward’ Play as Token Tests Critical $1.60 SupportCrypto analyst Scott Melker identifies a prime risk/reward setup for XRP as it tests key support at $1.60, offering a tight stop-loss against potential upside targets near $2.00.
Author  Mitrade
Feb 03, Tue
Crypto analyst Scott Melker identifies a prime risk/reward setup for XRP as it tests key support at $1.60, offering a tight stop-loss against potential upside targets near $2.00.
placeholder
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH faces heavy distribution as price slips below average cost basis of investorsEthereum (ETH) extended its decline on Wednesday, dropping more than 5% over the past 24 hours toward the $2,100 level, which is below the $2,310 average cost basis or realized price of investors, according to CryptoQuant's data.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 53
Ethereum (ETH) extended its decline on Wednesday, dropping more than 5% over the past 24 hours toward the $2,100 level, which is below the $2,310 average cost basis or realized price of investors, according to CryptoQuant's data.
placeholder
Bitcoin Leverage Flush Evaporates $775M as Capital Rotates Into Defensive Infra PlaysBitcoin's plunge to $70K triggers a $775M leverage washout, driving a capital rotation into quantum-secure infrastructure project BMIC as investors seek uncorrelated alpha.
Author  Mitrade
21 hours ago
Bitcoin's plunge to $70K triggers a $775M leverage washout, driving a capital rotation into quantum-secure infrastructure project BMIC as investors seek uncorrelated alpha.
placeholder
Bitcoin’s Drop to $69K Wipes Out 15 Months of Bull Market GainsPrecious metals' volatility mirrored Bitcoin's downturn as it targets lower price points.
Author  Mitrade
20 hours ago
Precious metals' volatility mirrored Bitcoin's downturn as it targets lower price points.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote