Bitcoin on verge of 20% rally as Fed leaves rates unchanged

Source Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin could see a 20% rally after positive CPI data and FOMC meeting.
  • Over 20K BTC flowed to accumulating whale addresses in past 24 hours.
  • Donald Trump told miners he wants all "remaining BTC to be made in the USA."

Bitcoin (BTC) gained over 2% on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%. A recent analysis also revealed that BTC could be on the verge of a 20% rally after the Fed’s meeting.

BTC could see 20% gain following Trump’s comment and FOMC meeting

Bitcoin shot above 4% in the past 24 hours before experiencing a slight correction after the headline US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in at 3.3% YoY, below expectations of 3.4%. Bitcoin's price quickly reacted positively to the news of declining inflation.

Also read: Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Bitcoin could see high volatility due to US CPI

The market had earlier priced in higher inflation ahead of the FOMC meeting, causing Bitcoin to suffer more than a 5% decline on Tuesday. However, the softer-than-expected CPI data has changed investors' sentiment, with many expecting a price rise.

The Fed also announced it would leave interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%. Four Fed officials expect no cuts this year, seven see one cut on the horizon, and eight project two cuts.

BTC's recent move seems to align with its historical price movement during the past four FOMC events. As noted by analyst @CryptoJelleNL, "the past FOMC meetings have all marked local bottoms and triggered >20% rallies for Bitcoin." As Bitcoin is currently rising, the prediction seems to be taking shape.

Read more: Bitcoin’s 2% crash wipes $4.21 billion in OI and handicaps altcoins, what’s next?

BTC chart after FOMC

BTC chart after FOMC

Whale activity in the past 24 hours also gives credence to the possibility of a price rise.

According to data from CryptoQuant, more than 20K BTC flowed to accumulating whale addresses during Tuesday's price decline.

BTC Quarterly returns

BTC Quarterly returns

However, investors must exercise caution as Bitcoin has historically struggled in Q3. BTC's Q3 average return is at 6.49% with a median return of -2.57%.

Also read: Bitcoin and entire crypto market bow into the weekend following strong NFP report

US Presidential candidate Donald Trump met with several executives of top Bitcoin mining firms in the US, according to Bitcoin Magazine, telling them he'll support BTC mining in Washington, DC and globally. The news was followed by Trump's post on his Truth Social platform, saying he wants all the "remaining Bitcoin to be MADE IN THE USA." 

Trump's comment triggered a rise in the stocks of Bitcoin mining companies with TerraWulf rising by 19%, Hive Digital up by 8% and MicroStrategy seeing a 7% gain.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: US Inflation Expected to Slow, October CPI May Support Gold Breaking Above $4,200As of Tuesday's Asian session (November 10), gold prices (XAUUSD) pulled back slightly today after surging on Monday, falling about 0.56% intraday to trade near $4,120. Earlier, gold rose
Author  TradingKey
13 hours ago
As of Tuesday's Asian session (November 10), gold prices (XAUUSD) pulled back slightly today after surging on Monday, falling about 0.56% intraday to trade near $4,120. Earlier, gold rose
placeholder
Nvidia fell 4.3% on a day the Nasdaq rose 2.7% — this is a governance discount, not an AI warningNvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."
Author  Irene Q.
19 hours ago
Nvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."
placeholder
China's factories are pricing in 5.7%. Its shoppers are pricing in 0.7%.China's October PPI rose 5.7% year on year, the fastest since June 2022, while CPI slowed to 0.7% and core CPI to 0.8%. Input prices rose faster than factory-gate prices, squeezing mid-stream margins by roughly five percentage points. The Hang Seng fell 0.13% on a day the S&P 500 rose 2.35%, the only major market to sit out the risk-on session.
Author  Irene Q.
19 hours ago
China's October PPI rose 5.7% year on year, the fastest since June 2022, while CPI slowed to 0.7% and core CPI to 0.8%. Input prices rose faster than factory-gate prices, squeezing mid-stream margins by roughly five percentage points. The Hang Seng fell 0.13% on a day the S&P 500 rose 2.35%, the only major market to sit out the risk-on session.
placeholder
US President Donald Trump says military action against Iran doesn't seem to be necessaryUS President Donald Trump said that further strikes on Iran wouldn’t be necessary, but the US remains “locked and loaded,” Bloomberg reported on Monday. Trump added that there is "positive momentum" towards an end to the Iran war.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
US President Donald Trump said that further strikes on Iran wouldn’t be necessary, but the US remains “locked and loaded,” Bloomberg reported on Monday. Trump added that there is "positive momentum" towards an end to the Iran war.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 10, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 10, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
21 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 10, 2026. Read on for the details.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote