Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD flirts with YTD peak, bulls await move beyond $24.00 mark

Source Fxstreet
  • Silver reverses an intraday dip and moves back closer to the YTD peak on Tuesday.
  • The technical setup favours bullish traders and supports prospects for further gains.
  • Sustained weakness back below the $23.00 mark will negate the positive outlook.

Silver (XAG/USD) attracts some dip-buying near the $23.65-$23.60 region on Tuesday and flirts with the YTD peak during the first half of the European session. The white metal currently trades just below the $24.00 mark and looks to build on the previous day's breakout momentum through the $23.30-$23.35 confluence hurdle.

The latter comprises the 100- and the 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA), which should now act as a key pivotal point for the XAG/USD. Any meaningful corrective slide is more likely to get bought into near the said resistance-turned-support and remain limited near the $23.00 round figure. That said, some follow-through selling will suggest that a one-week-old strong rally has run out of steam and pave the way for deeper losses.

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the slide towards the $22.50-$22.45 intermediate support before eventually dropping to sub-$22.00 levels or the two-month trough touched in January and retested in February. The downward trajectory could extend further and drag the white metal further towards the next relevant support near the $21.40-$21.35 region. That said, positive oscillators on the daily chart warrant caution for bearish traders.

On the flip side, momentum beyond the $24.00 mark is likely to confront some resistance near the $24.30-$24.35 region ahead of the $24.50 supply zone. A sustained strength beyond should allow the XAG/USD to reclaim the $25.00 psychological mark and climb further towards the $25.45-$25.50 intermediate hurdle en route to the $26.00 neighbourhood, or the December 2023 swing high.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as the CLARITY Act fails in the Senate — what the vote means for cryptoThe US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Author  Suzie
Sep 16, Wed
The US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to near $4,350 on weaker US Dollar, falling oil pricesGold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 32
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
placeholder
US to delay new "overcapacity" tariffs on China — what the pause means for trade, inflation and the dollarWashington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 07: 43
Washington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote