Copper: No reasonable scenario to catalyze CTA buying activity – TDS
Source Fxstreet
Copper prices continue to rally, but our advanced positioning analytics suggest that no reasonable scenario for prices will catalyze CTA buying activity over the coming sessions, TDS’s Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
Buying to remain modest at best
“A big uptape could lead to some buying activity by this time next week, but our estimates suggest it would remain modest at best, which ultimately places the onus on other cohorts to keep prices from finding a local top.”
“Discretionary trader participation has also picked up lately, suggesting the latest strength in prices may be supported by additional buying activity from this cohort, but our estimates suggest it has now grown to its highest levels since the squeeze on the Comex Copper arb last year.”
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
