WTI drifts lower to $84.70, eyes on Gaza ceasefire talks, US CPI data

Source Fxstreet
  • WTI extends its downside near $84.60 on Wednesday.
  • The bigger-than-expected build in US crude inventories weighs on the black gold. 
  • The uncertainty over Gaza ceasefire talks and ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions might cap the downside of WTI. 

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $84.60 on Wednesday. The black gold trades in negative territory for the fourth consecutive day amid the US crude stock build and profit-taking ahead of the release of the US March Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and the FOMC Minutes, due later on Wednesday.

The recent US employment report last week has triggered speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might delay interest rate cuts this year. Investors will closely watch the US CPI inflation data for March, as it could offer some insights about the inflation trajectory and the path of the Fed’s monetary policy. The firmer-than-expected outcome might lift the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on the USD-denominated WTI price.

Furthermore, the bigger-than-expected build in US crude inventories exerts some selling pressure on WTI prices. US crude oil inventories for the week ending April 5 increased by 3.034 million barrels from the previous week's decline of 2.286M million barrels. The market consensus estimated that stocks would rise by about 2.415 million barrels, according to the American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday.

The leader of Iran's Revolutionary Guard navy said that the Strait of Hormuz might be closed if necessary. About a fifth of the volume of the world's total oil consumption passes through the strait every day. This, in turn, might trigger the fear of oil supply disruption and cap the downside of WTI prices. 

On Tuesday, Hamas stated that an Israeli proposal for a ceasefire in their war in Gaza did not match the conditions of Palestinian militant groups, but that it would consider the offer further. Oil traders will monitor the developments surrounding the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The ongoing tensions could raise concerns about a tight market. 

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 84.67
Today Daily Change -0.11
Today Daily Change % -0.13
Today daily open 84.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 82.49
Daily SMA50 79.14
Daily SMA100 76.32
Daily SMA200 79.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 86.32
Previous Daily Low 84.51
Previous Weekly High 87.12
Previous Weekly Low 82.26
Previous Monthly High 83.05
Previous Monthly Low 76.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 85.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 85.63
Daily Pivot Point S1 84.08
Daily Pivot Point S2 83.39
Daily Pivot Point S3 82.27
Daily Pivot Point R1 85.9
Daily Pivot Point R2 87.01
Daily Pivot Point R3 87.71

 



 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Tesla jumps 5% as Barclays puts a $450 target on the SpaceX merger — the chart was already pointing to 431Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 27, Tue
Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
placeholder
Brent's $115 front month sits $4.6 above January — the $14 spread to WTI is the supply-risk premiumDecember Brent trades at $115.29 while January is $110.71, a $4.58 backwardation. The December Brent-WTI spread is $14.2, versus a $3-5 normal. That gap, not the headline, is where the Middle East supply risk is priced. Here is what the curve says, why the December contract's expiry on October 30 will mechanically cut the headline by $4.6, and the 108.81 neckline that decides the next move.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 28, Wed
December Brent trades at $115.29 while January is $110.71, a $4.58 backwardation. The December Brent-WTI spread is $14.2, versus a $3-5 normal. That gap, not the headline, is where the Middle East supply risk is priced. Here is what the curve says, why the December contract's expiry on October 30 will mechanically cut the headline by $4.6, and the 108.81 neckline that decides the next move.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 30, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 30, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 30, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 30, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 2, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
4 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Brent slips to $111 as a two-day Hormuz plan lands — the supply-risk premium is the only thing being soldBrent fell 1.95% to $111.20 and WTI to $101.92 after Iran's foreign minister said a Qatar-brokered plan could reopen the Strait of Hormuz in two days. Two tankers were still reported hit by mines. The move is a premium unwind, not a supply change.
Author  Irene Q.
3 hours ago
Brent fell 1.95% to $111.20 and WTI to $101.92 after Iran's foreign minister said a Qatar-brokered plan could reopen the Strait of Hormuz in two days. Two tankers were still reported hit by mines. The move is a premium unwind, not a supply change.
goTop
quote