EUR/JPY surges to near 153.50 as Eurozone PMI returns back in black

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/JPY soars to near 153.50 on stronger-than-projected Eurozone PMI growth in January.
  • The ECB is almost certain to cut interest rates on Thursday.
  • The BoJ refrained from committing a pre-defined rate hike path.

The EUR/JPY pair rises sharply to near 153.50 in Friday’s European session. The asset strengthens on the back of strong appeal for the Euro (EUR) as the flash Eurozone HCOB Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for January has come in surprisingly stronger.

The HCOB PMI data, compiled by S&P Global, showed that the overall business activity expanded after contracting for two months. The Composite PMI, which gauges the overall private sector activity, advances to 50.2 from 49.6 in December. Economists expected the overall business activity to continue to contract but at a slower pace. The report also showed that strong business activity in the Euro area majorly came from the German economy, which also returned into the expansion, while, the French economy continued to decline.

Surprisingly upbeat Eurozone PMI data has fears of weakening economic outlook, however, it is unlikely to diminish firm market expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates in the policy meeting on Thursday. The ECB is almost certain to cut its Deposit Facility rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.75%. Traders are price in three more interest rate cuts by the ECB in next three policy meetings.

Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens across the board as markets had already priced in a 25-basis points (bps) interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which pushed borrowing rates higher to 0.5%. The BoJ has also revised inflation forecast higher, expects price pressures to remain above 2% until FY2026 amid confidence over firm wage outlook.

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.68% -0.56% 0.00% -0.32% -0.53% -0.66% -0.17%
EUR 0.68%   0.12% 0.69% 0.36% 0.15% 0.03% 0.52%
GBP 0.56% -0.12%   0.56% 0.24% 0.02% -0.10% 0.39%
JPY 0.00% -0.69% -0.56%   -0.33% -0.55% -0.68% -0.19%
CAD 0.32% -0.36% -0.24% 0.33%   -0.22% -0.34% 0.15%
AUD 0.53% -0.15% -0.02% 0.55% 0.22%   -0.12% 0.32%
NZD 0.66% -0.03% 0.10% 0.68% 0.34% 0.12%   0.48%
CHF 0.17% -0.52% -0.39% 0.19% -0.15% -0.32% -0.48%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

The BoJ didn’t offer cues about when and at which pace the central bank will raise interest rates further. "We don't have any preset idea,” BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said. He added that the central bank make a decision at each policy meeting by looking at “economic and price developments as well as risks”.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,300 as higher US yields bolster Fed rate hike betsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
Author  FXStreet
Sep 15, Tue
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 15, Tue
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
Silver breaks $64 as precious metals rebound — can gold hold the $4,280 line into the Fed decision?Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
Author  Suzie
19 hours ago
Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
placeholder
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as the CLARITY Act fails in the Senate — what the vote means for cryptoThe US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Author  Suzie
19 hours ago
The US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote