EUR/JPY surges to near 153.50 as Eurozone PMI returns back in black

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/JPY soars to near 153.50 on stronger-than-projected Eurozone PMI growth in January.
  • The ECB is almost certain to cut interest rates on Thursday.
  • The BoJ refrained from committing a pre-defined rate hike path.

The EUR/JPY pair rises sharply to near 153.50 in Friday’s European session. The asset strengthens on the back of strong appeal for the Euro (EUR) as the flash Eurozone HCOB Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for January has come in surprisingly stronger.

The HCOB PMI data, compiled by S&P Global, showed that the overall business activity expanded after contracting for two months. The Composite PMI, which gauges the overall private sector activity, advances to 50.2 from 49.6 in December. Economists expected the overall business activity to continue to contract but at a slower pace. The report also showed that strong business activity in the Euro area majorly came from the German economy, which also returned into the expansion, while, the French economy continued to decline.

Surprisingly upbeat Eurozone PMI data has fears of weakening economic outlook, however, it is unlikely to diminish firm market expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates in the policy meeting on Thursday. The ECB is almost certain to cut its Deposit Facility rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.75%. Traders are price in three more interest rate cuts by the ECB in next three policy meetings.

Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens across the board as markets had already priced in a 25-basis points (bps) interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which pushed borrowing rates higher to 0.5%. The BoJ has also revised inflation forecast higher, expects price pressures to remain above 2% until FY2026 amid confidence over firm wage outlook.

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.68% -0.56% 0.00% -0.32% -0.53% -0.66% -0.17%
EUR 0.68%   0.12% 0.69% 0.36% 0.15% 0.03% 0.52%
GBP 0.56% -0.12%   0.56% 0.24% 0.02% -0.10% 0.39%
JPY 0.00% -0.69% -0.56%   -0.33% -0.55% -0.68% -0.19%
CAD 0.32% -0.36% -0.24% 0.33%   -0.22% -0.34% 0.15%
AUD 0.53% -0.15% -0.02% 0.55% 0.22%   -0.12% 0.32%
NZD 0.66% -0.03% 0.10% 0.68% 0.34% 0.12%   0.48%
CHF 0.17% -0.52% -0.39% 0.19% -0.15% -0.32% -0.48%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

The BoJ didn’t offer cues about when and at which pace the central bank will raise interest rates further. "We don't have any preset idea,” BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said. He added that the central bank make a decision at each policy meeting by looking at “economic and price developments as well as risks”.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollarSpot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
Author  Suzie
Sep 20, Sun
Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
placeholder
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 06: 34
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
8 hours ago
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
7 hours ago
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts toward $4.300 with bears gaining tractionGold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
Author  FXStreet
4 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote