EUR/GBP breaks below 0.8400 following UK Retail Sales data

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP extends its decline as the Pound Sterling gains support from the BoE’s decision to maintain its interest rate.
  • UK Retail Sales rose by 1.0% MoM in August, rebounding from a prior decline of 0.5%.
  • Germany's Producer Price Index (MoM) recorded a consistent increase of 0.2% for August.

EUR/GBP continues to lose ground, trading around 0.8390 during Friday’s Asian hours, following the release of UK Retail Sales data for August. Retail Sales rose by 1.0% month-over-month, rebounding from a prior decline of 0.5% and surpassing the expected increase of 0.4%. Meanwhile, the annualized rate increased to 2.5%, up from the previous 1.5% rise.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) received support from the Bank of England’s (BoE) decision to maintain its interest rate at 5% on Thursday, as widely anticipated. The BoE had previously signaled the possibility of rate cuts earlier in the summer with a quarter-point reduction at the last meeting, but this move may have been premature.

Out of the nine Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members, BoE external member Swati Dhingra voted for cutting interest rates for the second consecutive time, while the remaining members supported maintaining rates at their current levels. Investors had anticipated that two MPC members would back a dovish policy decision.

On the euro side, Germany's Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a consistent month-over-month increase of 0.2%. However, the annual PPI declined by 0.8%, lower than the expected 1.0%. Traders are likely to focus on European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde’s speech at the Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture in Washington, DC, on Friday.

European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are divided on the pace of policy easing due to differing views on the inflation outlook. ECB Governing Council member Peter Kazimir and Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel have expressed a desire to see more evidence that inflation will return to the levels the bank aims for, according to Reuters.

Economic Indicator

Retail Sales (MoM)

The Retail Sales data, released by the Office for National Statistics on a monthly basis, measures the volume of sales of goods by retailers in Great Britain directly to end customers. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes in such sales, with the MoM reading comparing sales volumes in the reference month with the previous month. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Sep 20, 2024 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 1%

Consensus: 0.4%

Previous: 0.5%

Source: Office for National Statistics

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
When is the BoJ rate decision and how could it affect USD/JPY?The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 19, Fri
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
placeholder
Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift BitcoinCrypto’s 2026 outlook hinges on whether institutional demand returns—via ETFs, banks and digital-asset treasury buyers—with BTC facing a wide range between support near $80,600 and a potential $140,259 upside target, while stablecoins, AI tokens, Solana growth and regulation remain key themes.
Author  Mitrade
21 hours ago
Crypto’s 2026 outlook hinges on whether institutional demand returns—via ETFs, banks and digital-asset treasury buyers—with BTC facing a wide range between support near $80,600 and a potential $140,259 upside target, while stablecoins, AI tokens, Solana growth and regulation remain key themes.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD extends bull run to near $72.70 as Fed dovish bets remain steadySilver price (XAG/USD) rallies further to near $72.70 during the early European trading session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 25, Thu
Silver price (XAG/USD) rallies further to near $72.70 during the early European trading session on Wednesday.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, Thu
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
21 hours ago
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
goTop
quote