USD/CAD stalls below 1.3600 due to rising oil prices

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD stable despite strong US Dollar, buoyed by rising WTI oil prices supporting the Canadian Dollar.
  • Hurricane Francine escalates oil prices; US producers evacuate Gulf Coast staff, reducing production.
  • Growing speculation about a BoC rate cut due to increasing Canadian unemployment; upcoming US CPI data to influence Fed's decisions.

The USD/CAD was virtually unchanged during the North American session and traded at around 1.3560 as buyers failed to crack the strong resistance seen at the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 1.3588.

USD/CAD trades near 1.3560, as higher oil prices limit the pair’s upside

Market sentiment remains upbeat as Wall Street registers gains, while a strong US Dollar failed to push the USD/CAD toward the 1.3600 figure, mainly due to higher oil prices.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, has risen on fears that hurricane Francine is about to hit the Louisiana coast. According to Reuters, “Oil and gas producers along the Gulf Coast started evacuating staff and curbing drilling to prepare for Tropical Storm Francine.”

The Canadian Dollar has weakened since the Bank of Canada (BoC) was the first major central bank to slash rates amid fears of an economic slowdown. Last week, Canada’s unemployment rate climbed to 6.6%, the highest in seven years, excluding the two years of the COVID-19 pandemic.

BoC Governor Tiff Macklem will cross wires on Tuesday. Last week, he said a more significant rate cut is possible if the economy needs a boost.

On the US front, investors are eyeing the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in August, which is expected to confirm that the Federal Reserve might begin to cut rates at the upcoming September 17-18 monetary policy meeting.

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

From a technical perspective, the major is set to continue the ongoing downtrend unless the USD/CAD climbs past the 200-DMA at 1.3588, which will expose the 1.3600 figure. Further upside will be seen once cleared, with the following key resistance zone being 1.3618, the highs of August 22 and 23, and the confluence of the 50 and 100-DMA at around 1.3667/75.

Conversely, on the path of least resistance, the USD/CAD first support would be 1.3550. A breach of the latter will expose 1.3500, followed by the September 6 through at 1.3465.

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.42% 0.42% 0.57% -0.05% 0.12% 0.44% 0.51%
EUR -0.42%   -0.05% 0.21% -0.47% -0.35% 0.04% 0.07%
GBP -0.42% 0.05%   0.11% -0.41% -0.30% 0.06% 0.11%
JPY -0.57% -0.21% -0.11%   -0.61% -0.43% -0.11% 0.14%
CAD 0.05% 0.47% 0.41% 0.61%   0.21% 0.48% 0.72%
AUD -0.12% 0.35% 0.30% 0.43% -0.21%   0.36% 0.39%
NZD -0.44% -0.04% -0.06% 0.11% -0.48% -0.36%   0.06%
CHF -0.51% -0.07% -0.11% -0.14% -0.72% -0.39% -0.06%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
U.S. November Nonfarm Payrolls: What Does the Rare "Weak Jobs, Strong Economy" Mix Mean for U.S. Equities?1. IntroductionAfter retreating from the late-October highs, U.S. equities embarked on a bottoming rebound in mid-to-late November, a trend driven by the interplay of multiple factors. That said, it i
Author  TradingKey
6 hours ago
1. IntroductionAfter retreating from the late-October highs, U.S. equities embarked on a bottoming rebound in mid-to-late November, a trend driven by the interplay of multiple factors. That said, it i
placeholder
Senate Delays Crypto Market Structure Hearings to Early 2026The Senate Banking Committee has postponed cryptocurrency market structure hearings until 2026, citing ongoing bipartisan negotiations.
Author  Mitrade
10 hours ago
The Senate Banking Committee has postponed cryptocurrency market structure hearings until 2026, citing ongoing bipartisan negotiations.
placeholder
Bitcoin Slides 5% as Sellers Lean In — Can BTC Reclaim $88,000?Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
Author  Mitrade
13 hours ago
Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
placeholder
AUD/USD remains depressed below mid-0.6600s; downside seems limited ahead of US NFP reportThe AUD/USD pair attracts some sellers for the fourth straight day on Tuesday and trades around the 0.6630 region, down just over 0.10%, during the Asian session.
Author  FXStreet
15 hours ago
The AUD/USD pair attracts some sellers for the fourth straight day on Tuesday and trades around the 0.6630 region, down just over 0.10%, during the Asian session.
placeholder
Macro Analysts: Hawkish Japan Could Push Bitcoin Below $70KAnalysts predict Bitcoin may face further declines towards the $70,000 mark if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates as expected.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 05: 48
Analysts predict Bitcoin may face further declines towards the $70,000 mark if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates as expected.
goTop
quote