Forex Today: Markets’ attention remains on data and rate cut bets

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback managed to regain some composure and partially reverse steep losses recorded in the last couple of days, while stocks worldwide rebounded on the back of shrinking pessimism among market participants. The RBA kept the OCR unchanged, as expected, although it came up with a hawkish message.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, August 7:

The USD Index (DXY) rose around a big figure from Monday’s sharp pullback to the 102.00 region, helped by renewed sentiment and the marked bounce in US yields. On August 7, weekly Mortgage Applications tracked by MBA are due, seconded by the EIA’s report on US crude oil inventories.

EUR/USD came under pressure and set aside two sessions in a row of gains, including a move beyond the psychological 1.1000 hurdle. Germany’s Balance of Trade results will only be published on the domestic docket on August 7.

Extra weakness saw GBP/USD add to Monday’s losses and retreated to five-week lows near the 1.2670 region. The UK calendar is empty on August 7.

USD/JPY climbed beyond 146.00 and reversed a multi-day pullback amidst some renewed selling pressure hitting the yen. The preliminary Coincident Index and Leading Economic Index will be published on August 7.

After bottoming out in YTD lows near 0.6350 on Monday, AUD/USD regained some upside traction and reclaimed the area north of the 0.6500 barrier underpinned by another hawkish hold by the RBA. The Ai Group Industry Index is only due in Oz on August 7.

Chinese demand jitters weighed on traders’ sentiment once again, keeping WTI prices depressed around $73.00 amidst the ongoing multi-day bearish leg.

Gold prices retreated further and retested the $2,380 mark per ounce troy in response to the marked rebound in the dollar and higher US yields. Silver prices added to Monday’s retracement and approached recent lows near $26.50 per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 15, Tue
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 14
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
placeholder
Japanese Yen drifts lower as sustained USD buying offsets intervention fearsThe USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers following the previous day's two-day price moves, trading above the 158.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
17 hours ago
The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers following the previous day's two-day price moves, trading above the 158.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
placeholder
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Struggles to return to 0.7000 amid firm US DollarThe Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
16 hours ago
The Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
goTop
quote