NZD/USD Price Analysis: Entering consolidation period after sharp losses in July

Source Fxstreet
  • NZD/USD made gains in Tuesday's session, rising to the 0.5900 mark.
  • The pair seems to be entering a consolidation period guiding between the 0.5850 - 0.6000 channel.
  • The daily RSI escapes the oversold territory, suggesting some cooling off from bearish momentum.

In Tuesday's trading session, the NZD/USD pair advanced upwards to 0.5900, marking a modest recovery of a 0.40% gain. This follows a bearish July, which saw the pair losing over 4% of its value. Traders had to navigate through a barrage of selling signals especially with the bearish crossover of the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.6050 with the 100-day SMA last week. However, signs now suggest that the pair may be entering a consolidation period.

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has now moved from oversold territory, signaling a potential easing of the selling pressure. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to print flat red bars, underlining the overall bearish outlook, though indicating a possible moderation of the traction.

NZD/USD daily chart

The recently defined support zone is found within the 0.5850 - 0.5900 range, which also serves as a consolidation channel. Resistance is now at the former supports of 0.5950, 0.6000, and 0.6050. For the next sessions, if the buyers can hold their ground above this support area, they could prepare for a possible upward journey. Conversely, a move below this level could see the pair revert back to the bearish trend.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Brent holds above $100 as tanker attacks tighten supply — but four forces are capping the rallyBrent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 10, Thu
Brent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PPI and Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Concerns, Can CPI Change Gold's Direction?As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Author  TradingKey
Sep 11, Fri
As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
7 hours ago
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
7 hours ago
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote