NZD/USD trades sideways near 0.6150 ahead of US Manufacturing PMI

Source Fxstreet
  • NZD/USD consolidates around 0.6150 with a focus on US Manufacturing PMI.
  • China’s upbeat Manufacturing PMI data improves global economic outlook.
  • The Fed is less-likely to start reducing interest rates from the September meeting.

The NZD/USD pair is stuck in a tight range near 0.6150 in Monday’s Asian session. The Kiwi asset trades inside Friday’s trading range, suggesting indecisiveness among market participants ahead of a busy United States (US) data-packed week.

S&P 500 futures have posted significant gains in the Asian session, exhibiting investors' strong risk appetite. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, demonstrates a subdued performance around 104.60. 10-year US Treasury Yields declined to 4.49% even though uncertainty over the Federal Reserve (Fed) pivoting to policy normalization has deepened.

Strong appeal for risk-perceived assets is majorly driven by upbeat Caixin Manufacturing PMI data for May. The IHS Markit reported that factory activity in the world’s second-largest economy rose at a faster pace to 51.7 from the consensus of 51.5 and the prior reading of 51.4. This has improved global economic prospects.

This has also improved the New Zealand Dollar’s appeal. The NZ economy is one of China's leading trading partners, and the latter’s strong economic outlook improves the Kiwi dollar’s prospects.

Doubts over the Fed beginning to reduce interest rates from their current levels in September deepened after the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) report for August showed that price pressures were stubbornly elevated. The core PCE inflation, which strips off volatile food and energy items and is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, grew steadily by 2.8%. However, on a month-on-month basis, the underlying inflation data rose at a slower pace of 0.2% from the estimates and the former reading of 0.3%. The growth rate was consistent with the pace required for inflation to sustainably return to the 2% target.

In today’s session, investors will shift focus to the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data for May, which will be published at 14:00 GMT. The PMI is estimated to have improved to 49.8 from the former reading of 49.2. However, a figure below the 50.0 threshold is considered a contraction.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6147
Today Daily Change 0.0004
Today Daily Change % 0.07
Today daily open 0.6143
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6084
Daily SMA50 0.6011
Daily SMA100 0.6064
Daily SMA200 0.6048
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6166
Previous Daily Low 0.6111
Previous Weekly High 0.6171
Previous Weekly Low 0.6088
Previous Monthly High 0.6171
Previous Monthly Low 0.5875
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6145
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6132
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6114
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6086
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.606
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6169
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6195
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6223

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Author  Suzie
Sep 22, Tue
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
placeholder
US input costs rose at the fastest pace in four years — the September flash PMI beat is an inflation story, not a growth storyUS September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
Author  Suzie
Sep 24, Thu
US September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Drops Below $4,300, Will It Continue to Fall? As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
Author  TradingKey
Sep 24, Thu
As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
Related Instrument
goTop
quote