Forex Today: US Dollar loses recovery momentum, eyes on PMI surveys

Source Fxstreet

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, May 23:

The US Dollar (USD) Index seems to have entered a consolidation phase early Thursday after climbing to a weekly high near 105.00 on Tuesday. S&P Global will release preliminary May Manufacturing and Services PMI reports for Germany, the Eurozone, the UK and the US later in the day. The US economic docket will also feature weekly Initial Jobless Claims and April New Home Sales data.

US Dollar PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.41% -0.17% 0.66% 0.48% 1.08% 0.36% 0.67%
EUR -0.41%   -0.61% 0.31% 0.08% 0.70% -0.04% 0.26%
GBP 0.17% 0.61%   0.76% 0.69% 1.31% 0.55% 0.86%
JPY -0.66% -0.31% -0.76%   -0.19% 0.43% -0.28% 0.02%
CAD -0.48% -0.08% -0.69% 0.19%   0.55% -0.12% 0.18%
AUD -1.08% -0.70% -1.31% -0.43% -0.55%   -0.75% -0.42%
NZD -0.36% 0.04% -0.55% 0.28% 0.12% 0.75%   0.31%
CHF -0.67% -0.26% -0.86% -0.02% -0.18% 0.42% -0.31%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

The negative shift seen in risk mood helped the USD stay resilient against its rivals in the American session on Wednesday. The minutes of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) April 30-May 1 policy meeting showed that policymakers still believed price pressures would ease, while seeing the need to maintain the restrictive policy at least until September. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield registered small gains on Wednesday and stabilized above 4.4% early Thursday. Meanwhile, US stock index futures trade in positive territory in the European morning, reflecting an improving risk sentiment.

The data from Australia showed early in the day that the Judo Bank Composite PMI declined to 52.6 in early May from 53 in April. AUD/USD showed no reaction to this report and was last seen trading modestly higher on the day above 0.6600.

Statistics New Zealand reported in the Asian session that Retail Sales grew by 0.5% on a quarterly basis in the first quarter. This reading followed the 1.6% contraction recorded in the previous quarter and came in better than the market expectation for a decline of 0.3%. NZD/USD edged higher after this report and was last seen rising more than 0.3% on the day near 0.6120.

Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI in Japan improved to 50.5 in May from 49.6 and the Services PMI retreated to 53.6 from 54.3. After rising 0.4% on Wednesday, USD/JPY lost its bullish momentum and started to decline toward 156.50.

Following the choppy action seen earlier in the week, EUR/USD turned south and closed in negative territory on Wednesday. The pair, however, managed to stabilize above 1.0800.

GBP/USD lost its traction and erased a large portion of its daily gains after climbing to a new two-month high above 1.2750 early Wednesday, boosted by the stronger-than-forecast inflation data from the UK. The pair holds steady above 1.2700 in the European morning.

Gold came under heavy selling pressure after breaking below $2,400 and lost more than 1.5% on a daily basis on Wednesday. XAU/USD extends its slide early Thursday and was last seen trading below $2,370, losing over 0.5% on the day.

Economic Indicator

S&P Global Composite PMI

The S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis, is a leading indicator gauging US private-business activity in the manufacturing and services sector. The data is derived from surveys to senior executives. Each response is weighted according to the size of the company and its contribution to total manufacturing or services output accounted for by the sub-sector to which that company belongs. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the private economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for USD.

Read more.

Last release: Fri May 03, 2024 13:45

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 51.3

Consensus: 50.9

Previous: 50.9

Source: S&P Global

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US October PPI Preview: Fed Rate Hike Expectations Rise, PPI May Be Key Variable; How Will US Stocks, Dollar, and Gold Move?On Friday (Nov. 13) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Producer Price Index (PPI). Following the October CPI once again exceeding expectations, the market will look to the PP
Author  TradingKey
9 hours ago
On Friday (Nov. 13) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Producer Price Index (PPI). Following the October CPI once again exceeding expectations, the market will look to the PP
placeholder
Gold closed below $4,000 again — the ETF crowd and central banks stayed, the momentum money leftSpot gold is trading near $3,999, its third consecutive lower daily low, after a 5.00% 10-year yield and a 102.85 dollar index raised the odds of a December hike to 87%. But the selling is not coming from the strategic holders: managed-money net longs fell to 324 tonnes, a 21-week low, and Goldman Sachs attributes roughly 95% of five weeks of selling to non-reportable positions. ETFs still hold a record 4,256 tonnes and central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3. The table below sets the triggers, directions and levels.
Author  Irene Q.
14 hours ago
Spot gold is trading near $3,999, its third consecutive lower daily low, after a 5.00% 10-year yield and a 102.85 dollar index raised the odds of a December hike to 87%. But the selling is not coming from the strategic holders: managed-money net longs fell to 324 tonnes, a 21-week low, and Goldman Sachs attributes roughly 95% of five weeks of selling to non-reportable positions. ETFs still hold a record 4,256 tonnes and central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3. The table below sets the triggers, directions and levels.
placeholder
Nvidia slid 7.7% after hours while AMD and Broadcom rose — the AI trade changed hands, it didn't breakNvidia closed Wednesday at 173.73, up 2.87%, then fell as much as 8.1% to 159.44 after reports that its board was preparing for a possible leadership change. The same session, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 5.7% with all 30 components higher, CoreWeave jumped 24.7% on 168% revenue growth, and Micron added 11.9%. If AI demand were being repriced, AMD and Broadcom would not be bid. This is a governance discount on one name, and 204.54 — the 200-day average — is the level that settles it.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
Nvidia closed Wednesday at 173.73, up 2.87%, then fell as much as 8.1% to 159.44 after reports that its board was preparing for a possible leadership change. The same session, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 5.7% with all 30 components higher, CoreWeave jumped 24.7% on 168% revenue growth, and Micron added 11.9%. If AI demand were being repriced, AMD and Broadcom would not be bid. This is a governance discount on one name, and 204.54 — the 200-day average — is the level that settles it.
placeholder
Gold Extends Slide Below $4,000 as Rising US Inflation, Fed December Hike Bets Pressure Prices On November 12, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their recent losses, falling further below $4,000 in early Asian trading to hit an intraday low near $3,968, marking a third consecutive day
Author  TradingKey
16 hours ago
On November 12, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their recent losses, falling further below $4,000 in early Asian trading to hit an intraday low near $3,968, marking a third consecutive day
placeholder
Bitcoin lost its 200-day average — but the exit started three sessions before the CPIBitcoin fell 2.5% to about $73,400 on 11 November, an 11-week low, breaking its 200-day moving average near $73,100. The 24-hour liquidation tally reached $632 to $705 million, roughly 82% of it longs. But spot ETF outflows began three sessions earlier and USDT's market cap has shrunk $6.6 billion in 60 days — the leveraged length left before the inflation print did. A double top at 81,890 and 81,080 leaves a measured target of 69,366.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 03: 22
Bitcoin fell 2.5% to about $73,400 on 11 November, an 11-week low, breaking its 200-day moving average near $73,100. The 24-hour liquidation tally reached $632 to $705 million, roughly 82% of it longs. But spot ETF outflows began three sessions earlier and USDT's market cap has shrunk $6.6 billion in 60 days — the leveraged length left before the inflation print did. A double top at 81,890 and 81,080 leaves a measured target of 69,366.
goTop
quote