GBP/USD Price Analysis: The next downside target is located at the 1.2600–1.2605 region

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/USD trades on a softer note below the mid-1.2600s on Thursday ahead of UK GDP growth numbers data. 
  • The pair keeps the bearish vibe below the key EMA; RSI indicator holds below the 50 midlines. 
  • The immediate resistance level will emerge at 1.2655; the initial support level is located at the 1.2600–1.2605 zone.

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive around 1.2630 on Thursday during the early European trading hours. The hawkish tone from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller early Thursday has lifted the US Dollar (USD) broadly, which creates a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. 

The Fed’s Waller said the US central bank is in no rush to cut the benchmark rate and may need to “maintain the current rate target for longer than expected. Traders await the final UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth number for Q4 on Thursday, which is projected to contract 0.3% QoQ in Q4. 

From a technical perspective, GBP/USD maintains the bearish outlook unchanged as the major pair holds below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the four-hour chart. The downward momentum is confirmed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which lies below the 50 midlines, supporting the sellers for the time being.

The first upside barrier for GBP/USD will emerge near the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.2655. A break above the latter will expose the 100-period EMA at 1.2685. Further north, the next hurdle is seen near a high of March 18 at 1.2746, followed by the psychological level of 1.2800. 

On the flip side, the initial support level of the major pair is located near the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at the 1.2600-1.2605 region. A breach of this level will pave the way to a low of March 22 at 1.2575. The next contention level to watch is a low of February 14 at 1.2535, en route to the 1.2500 round figure. 

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2632
Today Daily Change -0.0009
Today Daily Change % -0.07
Today daily open 1.2641
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2719
Daily SMA50 1.2679
Daily SMA100 1.2649
Daily SMA200 1.2591
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2641
Previous Daily Low 1.2606
Previous Weekly High 1.2804
Previous Weekly Low 1.2575
Previous Monthly High 1.2773
Previous Monthly Low 1.2518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2628
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2619
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2617
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2593
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2581
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2653
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2665
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2688

 

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Why Did Gold Rebound After September PPI Rose by Most in Nearly Four Years? As of the European session on October 16, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their rebound, with the latest price trading near $4,185, up about 0.4% on the day. Gold prices had previously drop
Author  TradingKey
8 hours ago
As of the European session on October 16, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their rebound, with the latest price trading near $4,185, up about 0.4% on the day. Gold prices had previously drop
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 16, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 16, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
9 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 16, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 14, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 14, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
9 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 14, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 15, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 15, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
9 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 15, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Today’s Market Recap: U.S. Stocks Rebound, Dow Jumps Over 1%, Micron Gains 1.87%, CoreWeave Rallies Nearly 6%Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 15, Eastern Time, U.S. September PPI data posted its largest monthly and annual gains since 2022, prompting investors to shift from AI tech stocks to d
Author  TradingKey
17 hours ago
Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 15, Eastern Time, U.S. September PPI data posted its largest monthly and annual gains since 2022, prompting investors to shift from AI tech stocks to d
Related Instrument
goTop
quote