Forex Today: Pre-PCE lull lends support to the Dollar

Source Fxstreet

The FX galaxy traded amidst a generalized lack of conviction and direction, leaving the Greenback slightly bid and the risk-related assets mildly on the defensive as investors gradually shifted their focus to the upcoming US PCE release as well as the Easter holidays.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, March 27:

The US Dollar partially reversed Monday’s negative session and reclaimed the 104.30 region when measured by the USD Index (DXY). On March 27, MBA will release its usual Mortgage Applications report, while FOMC C. Waller is also due to speak.

EUR/USD navigated a tight range and ended the session barely changing around 1.0830. The final Consumer Sentiment in the broader euro bloc by the European Commission, along with the Economic Sentiment and Industrial Sentiment, are all expected on March 27.

In line with its risky peers, GBP/USD hovered around Monday’s closing levels near 1.2630 in response to the generalized absence of volatility. Next of note in the UK docket will be the GDP figures on March 28.

USD/JPY extended its so-far multi-session consolidative range, always below the key 152.00 barrier, amidst rising concerns over potential FX intervention. The BoJ Summary of Opinions and the weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures are due on March 28.

The lack of a clear direction left AUD/USD hovering around the 0.6540 zone and near the key 200-day SMA. On March 27, the Westpac Leading Index is due.

Prices of WTI gave away part of Monday’s advance as traders kept assessing the geopolitical landscape as well as the upcoming OPEC+ online meeting.

The small gains in the greenback did not prevent Gold prices from adding to Monday’s advance and approaching their all-time high around the $2,200 zone per troy ounce. Silver prices, on the other hand, extended their corrective leg lower and flirted with multi-day lows near $24.50 per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Hurricane Isaias has shut in a quarter of Gulf oil output — can WTI clear $92 before Thursday's EIA report?WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 09, Fri
WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
placeholder
US September CPI preview: inflation set to hit 3.7% — will the Fed hike in December?US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
placeholder
Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
placeholder
Brent swings $105.63 to $102.33 as Gulf risk meets an 'energy ceasefire' — can $100 hold into CPI?Brent spiked to $105.63 in Asian trade on fresh Middle East supply incidents, then reversed to $102.33 after the US announced a Russia-Ukraine 'energy ceasefire' and 300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel headed to global markets; WTI fell through $90. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 05: 47
Brent spiked to $105.63 in Asian trade on fresh Middle East supply incidents, then reversed to $102.33 after the US announced a Russia-Ukraine 'energy ceasefire' and 300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel headed to global markets; WTI fell through $90. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
goTop
quote