BoJ’s Tamura: Don't have preset idea on pace of further rate hikes

Mitrade
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The Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Naoki Tamura is back on the wires on Thursday, noting that “don't have a preset idea on the pace of further rate hikes,” when asked whether the BoJ could raise rates again by year-end, or March end of the current fiscal year.


Additional comments


  • Unlike US and Europe, Japan's rate hikes are likely to be slow.

  • Exact timing on when Japan can see short-term rates reach 1% will depend on economic, price conditions at the time.

  • Data out so far show Japan's economy moving in line with forecasts made in BoJ July meeting.

  • Focusing too much on whether markets are stable or not could prevent BoJ from conducting monetary policy appropriately reflecting economic, price developments.

  • In long-term perspective, markets move in a way reflecting fundamentals.

  • Having said that, big, rapid market volatility is undesirable.

  • When markets are quite fragile, we need to set a period to ensure markets cool down.

  • Cannot say now whether BoJ could raise rates by end of this year.

  • Weak yen being reversed somewhat but rise in import costs seen earlier this year will likely affect consumer inflation with a lag.

  • Compared to when USD/JPY was at 160, upward risk to inflation has subsided somewhat.

  • BoJ must slowly raise rates in several stages, while closely watching how each rate hike affects economic activity.


Market reaction


These comments fail to move the Japanese Yen, as USD/jPY adds 0.32% on the day to trade near 142.80, as of writing.

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  • TradingKey 2025 Markets Recap & Outlook | Global Central Banks 2025 Recap and 2026 Outlook: Navigating Post-Easing Recovery and Diverging Paths
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