Gemini Deepens Ripple Ties with RLUSD Rollout as Derivatives Arm Secures CFTC Nod

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  • XRPL Integration: Gemini now supports RLUSD on the XRP Ledger, enabling near-instant settlements and offering yields of up to 4%.

  • Regulatory Milestone: Gemini Titan has secured a CFTC license to launch prediction markets, positioning it against rivals like Kalshi and Polymarket.

  • The Price Disconnect: Despite robust ETF inflows of over $170 million, XRP prices have retreated to $2.02, struggling to break key resistance.

U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Gemini has officially integrated Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin onto the XRP Ledger (XRPL), a move designed to unlock near-instant, low-fee fiat settlements across the blockchain.

The integration allows clients to deposit RLUSD directly onto the XRPL, with the flexibility to withdraw across either XRPL or Ethereum rails. To incentivize liquidity, Gemini is offering staking yields of up to 4% APY, positioning the stablecoin as a yield-bearing instrument for cross-chain transfers.

The "Real-World" Payment Rail This rollout is the operational enforcement of a strategic alliance first unveiled in November involving Ripple, Mastercard, and WebBank. The consortium is testing the use of RLUSD as the settlement layer for the Gemini Credit Card.

"We are moving beyond speculation to demonstrate how stablecoin settlement can underpin an active card program," said Gemini CFO Dan Chen. The initiative aims to bridge the gap between blockchain innovation and consumer payments, allowing digital assets to function as the plumbing for everyday transactions.

Since its December 2024 launch, RLUSD has scaled rapidly. The stablecoin now commands a market capitalization of $1.02 billion—a 1,200% surge year-to-date—making it the eighth-largest stablecoin by valuation.

Gemini Titan Enters the Prediction Economy Parallel to the stablecoin expansion, Gemini is opening a new front in the derivatives market. Its affiliate, Gemini Titan, has secured a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The approval, the result of a five-year licensing pursuit, clears the runway for Gemini to offer "event contracts" to U.S. customers. This places Gemini in direct competition with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing users to trade on political, economic, and sporting outcomes using USD balances.

CEO Tyler Winklevoss hailed the approval as the start of a "new chapter," citing a refreshing shift in Washington toward a regulatory environment that is "pro-crypto, pro-innovation, and pro-America."

XRP Market: Institutional Flows vs. Price Action Despite the structural wins, the underlying asset is facing headwinds. XRP rallied briefly to $2.17 on the news but surrendered those gains to trade around $2.02 by Thursday morning, a 4.3% retracement over 48 hours.

A divergence has emerged between price action and institutional flows. U.S. spot XRP ETFs have absorbed over $170 million in net inflows this week, marking a second consecutive week of accumulation. However, the spot price hit a wall at $2.12, where volume spiked to 172.8 million tokens—more than double the daily average—indicating heavy selling pressure from whales or legacy holders using the liquidity to exit.

Technicals remain mixed. While exchange reserves have plummeted from 3.95 billion to 2.6 billion tokens over the last 60 days (typically a bullish supply shock signal), the failure to hold the $2.10 level leaves the token vulnerable to a retest of support near $1.90.

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