XRP Price Eyes $0.68 Target as Ripple Resumes Uptrend Amidst Institutional Capital Inflow

• XRP funds recorded net institutional inflow of $500,000 in the past week. 

• Ripple whales distributed their XRP token holdings while retail investors accumulated in the last three weeks. 

• XRP price is likely to rally to the $0.68 target in its ongoing uptrend. 

XRP price sustained above the $0.60 mark, early on Tuesday. The altcoin is in an uptrend, amidst rising capital inflow from institutional investors to XRP funds. Over the past three weeks, large wallet investors have distributed their XRP token holdings, and retail traders have scooped up the altcoin, supporting a bullish thesis.

XRP funds receive institutional capital, retail traders accumulate Ripple

XRP funds have received an inflow of $0.5 million from institutional investors in the past week, and the year-to-date total is $13 million, according to data from CoinShares’ latest report.

Weekly crypto fund inflows by asset, Source: CoinShares.

Institutional capital inflow is considered bullish for the asset as rival altcoins like Litecoin and Tron, recorded outflows in the past week. 

While institutions poured capital in XRP funds, large wallet investors, whale segments holding between 100,000 and 10 million tokens have distributed their holdings of the altcoin. 

Based on data from crypto intelligence tracker, Santiment, whales in two segments, 100,000 to 1,000,000 and 1,000,000 to 10 million shed their XRP holdings between November 4 and 21, while retail trader cohorts holding between 10 and 100,000 XRP tokens have accumulated the altcoin.

XRP token accumulation by retail, distribution by whales, Source: Santiment.

As seen in the chart above, retail XRP token accumulation is typically followed by a sustained rally in the asset’s price, similar outcome can be expected following the ongoing event. 

On-chain metric Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicates the average potential profit/loss that investors who acquired XRP in the last 30 days will realize if they all sell at current price. 

According to Santiment data, MVRV ratio (30 days) is currently -0.97, XRP holders who scooped up the token in the past 30 days would therefore realize a loss at the current price of $0.62. This implies, traders are less likely to sell the asset, leaving room for a continued rally in the altcoin. 

MVRV Ratio (30 days) and price, Source: Santiment.

Technical analysis: XRP price rally could extend, 10% gains on the horizon

XRP price is in an uptrend in November 2023. The altcoin is on track to extend its gains, with the recent developments in the altcoin. XRP price eyes the 50% retracement level of the decline from the July 13 top of $0.93 to Aug 17 low of $0.42.

XRP price is likely to rally to the $0.68 mark, over 10% gains from the current level. The altcoin could find support at the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.59, in the event of a decline. 

XRP/USDT 1-day chart, Source: TradingView.

A close below the 50-day EMA could invalidate the bullish thesis for the asset and suggest further correction in XRP price.