Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains tepid near $30.50 with a bearish outlook

FXStreet
Updated
Tony
coverImg
Source: DepositPhotos


  • Silver price extends its losing streak as short-term price momentum weakens.


  • The alignment of the nine- and 14-day EMAs suggests a lack of strong directional momentum.


  • The initial support appears at a psychological $30.00 level, followed by a “throwback support” at its three-month low of $29.65.





Silver price (XAG/USD) continues its losing streak for the fourth successive day, trading around $30.50 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Analysis of the daily chart indicates a momentum shift to bearish from bullish bias as the pair has broken below the ascending channel pattern.


The XAG/USD pair moves below both of these EMAs, indicating a bearish outlook and signaling to weakening short-term price momentum. This points to increasing selling interest and raises the likelihood of further price depreciation. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned below the 50 mark, further confirming the emergence of the bearish bias.


However, the alignment of the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) suggests that the market is experiencing a period of consolidation, lacking a strong directional momentum. Traders may interpret this as a signal that the market is waiting for a catalyst to determine its next move, whether upward or downward.


The XAG/USD pair may test its primary support at the psychological level of $30.00, followed by a “throwback support” level at its three-month low of $29.65, which was recorded on November 28.


On the upside, the immediate barriers appear at the nine- and 14-day EMAs at $30.91 and $30.96, respectively. A break above these levels could cause the bullish bias to re-emerge and help the Silver price to retest its six-week high of $32.28, reached on December 9.





Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

* The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

goTop
quote
Do you find this article useful?
Related Articles
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD trades with mild positive bias around mid-$32.00sSilver (XAG/USD) attracts some dip-buyers near the $32.20 area during the Asian session on Friday and climbs to a fresh daily high in the last hour.
Author  FXStreet
23 hours ago
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts some dip-buyers near the $32.20 area during the Asian session on Friday and climbs to a fresh daily high in the last hour.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains close to bullish flag hurdle near $33.20 areaSilver (XAG/USD) attracts fresh buying during the Asian session on Thursday and reverses a major part of the previous day's retracement slide from over a one-week high. The white metal climbs to the $33.00 neighborhood in the last hour and seems poised to appreciate further.
Author  FXStreet
May 08, Thu
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts fresh buying during the Asian session on Thursday and reverses a major part of the previous day's retracement slide from over a one-week high. The white metal climbs to the $33.00 neighborhood in the last hour and seems poised to appreciate further.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD trades lower near $33.00 due to US-China trade talksSilver (XAG/USD) retreated on Wednesday during Asian trading hours, hovering around $33.00 per troy ounce after two consecutive days of gains.
Author  FXStreet
May 07, Wed
Silver (XAG/USD) retreated on Wednesday during Asian trading hours, hovering around $33.00 per troy ounce after two consecutive days of gains.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $32.60 as USD corrects ahead of US NFPSilver price (XAG/USD) moves higher to near $32.60 during European trading hours on Friday. The white metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) corrects ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for April, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
Author  FXStreet
May 02, Fri
Silver price (XAG/USD) moves higher to near $32.60 during European trading hours on Friday. The white metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) corrects ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for April, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slides below $33.00; 200-period EMA on H4 holds the key for bullsSilver (XAG/USD) struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick and slides back below the $33.00 mark, hitting a fresh daily low in the last hour.
Author  FXStreet
Apr 30, Wed
Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick and slides back below the $33.00 mark, hitting a fresh daily low in the last hour.
Real-time Quote