1 Chart Shows Why You Should Not Buy an IPO Stock on its IPO Date
Key Points
It’s easy to get caught up in the excitement surrounding hot initial public offerings (IPOs).
Investors should generally resist this urge, because the market will almost always soon give you an opportunity to buy shares for a lower price than their IPO price.
SpaceX is a good recent example.
- 10 stocks we like better than Apple ›
It's easy to get caught up in the frenzy surrounding hot initial public offerings (IPOs), and want to buy shares as soon as possible. Investors should generally resist this urge, because the market will almost always soon -- within the first year -- allow you to buy shares for a lower price than their IPO price.
This dynamic has played out recently with Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), or SpaceX. And it also played out with five of the seven so-called Magnificent Seven stocks, which are dominant technology-focused stocks with large market capitalizations. Yes, that means there were two exceptions -- Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG)(NASDAQ: GOOGL), then known as Google.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Image source: Getty Images.
SpaceX and Magnificent Seven Stocks IPO-Related Overview
| SpaceX + Magnificent Seven Stocks | Market Cap | IPO Date | Split-Adjusted IPO Price (Price at Time) | Profitable When IPO'd? | Split-Adjusted Price Range During Year After IPO* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX | $1.4 trillion | June 12, 2026 | $135 | No | $107.01-$225.64 |
| Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) | $4.9 trillion | Jan. 1999 | $0.04 ($12) | Yes | $0.03-$0.10 |
| Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) | $4.5 trillion | Dec. 1980 | $0.10 ($22) | Yes | $0.06-$0.16 |
| Alphabet | $4.4 trillion | Aug. 2004 | $2.13 ($85) | Yes | $2.13-$7.95 |
| Microsoft | $3.5 trillion | March 1986 | $0.07 ($21) | Yes | $0.07-$0.30 |
| Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) | $2.9 trillion | May 1997 | $0.075 ($18) | No | $0.07-$0.35 |
| Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) | $1.4 trillion | May 2012 | $38 ($38) | Yes | $17.55-$45 |
| Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) | $975 billion | June 2010 | $1.13 ($17) | No | $1.05-$2.43 |
Sources: Yahoo! Finance, YCharts, and select Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings. *Price ranges include intra-day prices. Data to July 31, 2026.
Alphabet and Microsoft: The exceptions
Search engine leader Alphabet -- then known as Google -- and software behemoth Microsoft are the only Magnificent Seven stocks that didn't sink below their IPO price during the year after their IPO.
Why? I think the primary reason is that, unlike many other tech companies in their periods, they were not only profitable at the time of their IPOs but had also been profitable for at least a few years. Moreover, their profits were growing like wildfire. So, it makes sense that investors wanted to pile in as soon as possible.
Data by YCharts.
YCharts' Microsoft data doesn't go back as far as its IPO, so I can't provide a similar chart for Microsoft.
The lesson from today's largest and most successful companies is that it's usually smart to wait until shortly after the IPO to buy shares. Of course, there will always be exceptions to this generalization. If you feel compelled to buy on an IPO date, at least dollar-cost average your way into your full position, as the early days of an IPO stock can be very volatile.
Should you buy stock in Apple right now?
Before you buy stock in Apple, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Apple wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $394,601!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,197,093!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 895% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 206% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of July 31, 2026.
Beth McKenna has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Recommended Articles
