British Pound remains on the defensive as investors await BoE’s decision

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/USD bounced up above 1.3300, but remains relatively close to two-month lows in the 1.3260 area.
  • The Pound showed a mild reaction to the bright UK employment data as traders await the BoE's decision to take positions.
  • The BoE is expected to leave rates on hold later on the day and hint at a neutral stance.

The British Pound (GBP) trims losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, but remains near the two-month low hit on Wednesday. The upbeat UK employment figures have failed to boost the Pound's recovery, as investors are reluctant to place large GBP long positions ahead of the Bank of England monetary policy decision, due later in the day.

The UK Unemployment Rate declined unexpectedly to 4.9% in the three months to April, down from 5% in the previous period, according to data released by the Office for National Statistics on Thursday. Net employment increased by 100K in the mentioned period, down from the previous 148K increase, but above the 80K consensus.

Beyond that, wages continued to grow at a strong pace, keeping pressure on inflation. The Average Earnings Excluding Bonus remained steady at 3.4% yearly growth, against expectations of a slowdown to 3.2%, and including bonus, salaries grew at a 4.4% pace, also unchanged from the previous period.

The BoE is expected to stand pat on rates

Later in the day, the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to leave its Bank Rate unchanged at the current 3.75%. Data released on Wednesday revealed that UK inflation steadied in May, and the US-Iran peace deal has raised expectations that the energy shock will gradually unwind, which gives the bank some leeway to maintain its "wait-and-see" stance.

The Federal Reserve (Fed), on the other hand, delivered a rather hawkish hold on Wednesday in the first meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh. The bank left its benchmark rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range and released a shorter statement removing language hinting at an easing bias.

The Fed acknowledged an improvement in economic activity and a stronger labour market, despite the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East conflict. Interest rate projections, the so-called "dot plot", showed that nearly half of the committee members foresee a rate hike before the year's end. US Treasury yields jumped after the event, and the US Dollar appreciated against its main peers.

Economic Indicator

ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)

The ILO Unemployment Rate released by the UK Office for National Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the UK Economy. If the rate goes up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the UK labor market. As a result, a rise leads to a weakening of the UK economy. Generally, a decrease of the figure is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while an increase is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Jun 18, 2026 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 4.9%

Consensus: 5%

Previous: 5%

Source: Office for National Statistics

The Unemployment Rate is the broadest indicator of Britain’s labor market. The figure is highlighted by the broad media, beyond the financial sector, giving the publication a more significant impact despite its late publication. It is released around six weeks after the month ends. While the Bank of England is tasked with maintaining price stability, there is a substantial inverse correlation between unemployment and inflation. A higher than expected figure tends to be GBP-bearish.

Economic Indicator

Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

The Average Earnings Excluding Bonus release is a key short-term indicator of how levels of pay are changing within the UK economy; it is released by the UK Office of National Statistics. It can be seen as a measure of growth in "basic pay". Generally, a positive result is seen as bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), whereas a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Jun 18, 2026 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 3.4%

Consensus: 3.2%

Previous: 3.4%

Source: Office for National Statistics

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
3 Massive Things That Could Happen After SpaceX Goes Public in June 2026SpaceX’s June 12 listing is triggering a parallel pricing race in crypto. Synthetic perpetuals on Hyperliquid already imply a $2 trillion valuation for the rocket and satellite-internet group.Three fo
Author  Cryptopolitan
May 28, Thu
SpaceX’s June 12 listing is triggering a parallel pricing race in crypto. Synthetic perpetuals on Hyperliquid already imply a $2 trillion valuation for the rocket and satellite-internet group.Three fo
placeholder
US Attacks Iran Amid the “Ceasefire”: Bitcoin, Gold, and Oil ReactThe United States launched strikes against Iran on Tuesday after a US Apache helicopter was downed over the Strait of Hormuz, breaking the fragile ceasefire previously announced by President Donald Tr
Author  Beincrypto
Jun 10, Wed
The United States launched strikes against Iran on Tuesday after a US Apache helicopter was downed over the Strait of Hormuz, breaking the fragile ceasefire previously announced by President Donald Tr
placeholder
SpaceX Stock Faces Tesla-Style Crash Fears as $3 Trillion Valuation Sparks DebateSpaceX stock is drawing crash warnings days after its record Nasdaq debut. Traders are comparing SPCX to Tesla’s volatile 2010 listing as the company nears a $3 trillion valuation.The parallel has spl
Author  Beincrypto
Yesterday 02: 03
SpaceX stock is drawing crash warnings days after its record Nasdaq debut. Traders are comparing SPCX to Tesla’s volatile 2010 listing as the company nears a $3 trillion valuation.The parallel has spl
placeholder
How Would a Hormuz Toll Affect Oil Prices?Oil prices tumbled to two-month lows after the US and Iran reached a peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Yet beneath the relief, traders are quietly positioning for a rebound.The reason is a ca
Author  Beincrypto
Yesterday 02: 05
Oil prices tumbled to two-month lows after the US and Iran reached a peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Yet beneath the relief, traders are quietly positioning for a rebound.The reason is a ca
placeholder
Stock surge from SpaceX $60B deal for Cursor maker challenges Amazon,, Microsoft valuationSpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) briefly shook up the rankings among the highest valued US firms today after it confirmed that it will buy Anysphere, the company behind AI code editor Cursor, for $60 billion in stock.  The stock surge that the rocket maker enjoyed shot its valuation into a new stratosphere as it closed a deal...
Author  Cryptopolitan
Yesterday 02: 07
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) briefly shook up the rankings among the highest valued US firms today after it confirmed that it will buy Anysphere, the company behind AI code editor Cursor, for $60 billion in stock.  The stock surge that the rocket maker enjoyed shot its valuation into a new stratosphere as it closed a deal...
Related Instrument
goTop
quote