Notícias

CEE FX: Pressure returns with stronger Dollar – ING

ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky notes that a stronger Dollar and lower Oil have led markets to outprice most rate hikes in Poland and the Czech Republic, adding pressure on regional FX.

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Belgium Consumer Price Index (YoY) down to 3.4% in June from previous 4.08%

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Belgium Consumer Price Index (MoM): 0.3% (June) vs -0.08%

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Iran and Oman say they hold sovereignty over Strait of Hormuz

Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi has stated in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, that Tehran has concluded a meeting with Oman in which review current issues related to the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint to almost 20% of global energy supply.

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Eurozone Consumer Confidence meets expectations (-17.7) in June

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Euro: Sintra tone and CPI support gains against US Dollar – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole expects the European Central Bank’s Sintra forum to maintain a broadly hawkish stance, with President Lagarde unlikely to signal a dovish shift ahead of June CPI.

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United Kingdom M4 Money Supply (YoY) declined to 4.3% in May from previous 4.5%

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United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals (MoM) below forecasts (£6B) in May: Actual (£4.6B)

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Portugal Consumer Confidence: -25.9 (June) vs -27.1

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United Kingdom M4 Money Supply (MoM) came in at 0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in May

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Portugal Business Confidence up to 2.8 in June from previous 2.7

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United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals registered at 56.21K, below expectations (63K) in May

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United Kingdom Consumer Credit: £1.662B (May) vs previous £1.859B

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ECB: Sintra signals and sticky hike premium – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Guntermann highlights the Sintra forum as a key event for European Central Bank (ECB) communication, with Lagarde’s opening speech and a heavyweight policy panel midweek.

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Asia FX: Defensive stance as US rates stay high – MUFG

Lloyd Chan at MUFG notes broad depreciation across Asia FX since the June FOMC meeting, driven by widening swap differentials and sustained high US rates. The bank keeps a defensive bias on selective Asia currencies.

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ECB’s Kazāks: The possibility of negative scenarios has fallen massively

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Mārtiņš Kazāks said during the European trading session on Monday that the possibility of negative scenarios in the Eurozone has fallen massively.

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Eurozone Private Loans (YoY) up to 3.1% in May from previous 3%

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British Pound: Sterling resilient but Euro cross supported – ING

Francesco Pesole at ING highlights the Pound’s resilience despite shifting expectations around the next United Kingdom (UK) Chancellor, with markets seemingly relaxed about fiscal risks.

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S&P 500: Tech-led correction after chip rout – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank Research reports that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell last week in a global tech sell-off, with the Magnificent 7 entering correction territory. Chipmakers led the weakness as the Philly Semiconductor Index slumped despite Micron’s revenue beat.

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Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) up to 0.6% in June from previous 0.1%

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Spain Retail Sales (YoY) rose from previous 0.8% to 1.3% in May

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Spain Consumer Price Index (MoM) rose from previous 0.1% to 0.6% in June

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Spain Consumer Price Index (YoY) meets forecasts (3.2%) in June

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Turkey Economic Confidence Index climbed from previous 97.2 to 98.9 in May

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Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) remains at 3.6% in June

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Forex Today: Cautious start to week as markets assess latest on US-Iran conflict

Here is what you need to know on Monday, June 29:

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Sweden Trade Balance (MoM) increased to 2.9B in May from previous -7.3B

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Indian Rupee opens flat, awaits US-Iran talks in Oman

The Indian Rupee (INR) opens on a flat note against the US Dollar (USD) after a long weekend on Monday.

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Indonesian Rupiah loses ground on Middle East uncertainty

USD/IDR gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 17,900 during the Asian hours on Monday.

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RBA’s Kent says central bank will be better prepared to handle next crisis

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor Chris Kent said during a review of alternative monetary policy tools that the central bank will be better prepared to respond to the next crisis it faces, Bloomberg reported on Monday.

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