Notícias

Singapore: Growth profile raised – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng upgrades Singapore’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) outlook, noting that Singapore’s economy has remained resilient to renewed geopolitical shocks from the Middle East conflict.

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Thai Baht: Recovery seen shallow without USD fade – OCBC

Christopher Wong at OCBC notes USD/THB’s recent rebound is running into interim resistance around 33.40 after a sharp move higher. Bank of Thailand officials attribute THB weakness mainly to broad USD strength and Thai equity outflows, while signalling readiness to manage excessive FX moves.

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BoE’s Bailey: “We have time to judge the pass-through of higher energy prices”

Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said in comments to CNBC that policymakers have time to assess how higher energy prices may feed through into the United Kingdom (UK) economy, while noting that financial conditions have already tightened.

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Canada: GDP data signal firmer second quarter – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Abbey Xu notes that Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 0.5% in April, beating Statistics Canada’s 0.4% advance estimate and marking the strongest monthly gain since July 2025.

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Fed’s Hammack: “Inflation is still too high, Fed may need to consider rate hikes”

Beth Hammack, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Cleveland, told CNBC on Tuesday that the United States (US) economy remains resilient. The labor market is near full employment, and growth still looking solid.

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Colombia National Jobless Rate declined to 8% in May from previous 8.8%

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United States: Labor stability tempers Fed hike risks – TD Securities

TD Securities’ macro team led by Oscar Munoz expects headline US Nonfarm Payrolls to slow to 80k in June, with 55k private and 25k government jobs, marking a return to breakeven job growth. The Unemployment Rate is forecast to edge down to 4.2% as participation slips.

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European Central Bank: Hawkish bias sustained with one more hike – ING

ING’s Michiel Tukker and Benjamin Schroeder argue that reduced Oil sensitivity in rates and lingering uncertainty should prevent a strong dovish turn from the ECB.

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Norwegian Krone: Supported against Euro as NOK flows increase – Nordea

Nordea’s Senior Macro and FX Strategist Sara Midtgaard notes that the Norwegian Krone (NOK) weakened in June, with EUR/NOK peaking near 11.35, but now sees limited further upside.

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Copper: China PMI support, US tariff risk – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Barbara Lambrecht notes that the LMEX index remains under pressure even as China’s manufacturing PMI edges above 50, supporting Copper via AI-driven exports.

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United States CB Consumer Confidence Index rose to 91.2 in June

US consumer sentiment gains terrain in June, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index rises to 91.2 from May’s 90.6 (revised from 93.1).

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United States JOLTS Job Openings registered at 7.594M above expectations (7.3M) in May

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United States Chicago PMI came in at 56.7 below forecasts (58.1) in June

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Bank of England: No change expected in 2024 – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley outlines her baseline view on Bank of England (BoE) policy, citing softer United Kingdom (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI), lower Oil prices and a slack labour market.

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United States S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY) came in at 1.1%, above forecasts (0.9%) in April

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United States Housing Price Index (MoM) came in at -0.1% below forecasts (0.2%) in April

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United States Redbook Index (YoY) climbed from previous 10% to 10.5% in June 26

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Canada Gross Domestic Product (MoM) above forecasts (0.4%) in April: Actual (0.5%)

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United States: Sticky inflation and Fed skepticism – NBC

National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Taylor Schleich and Vy Le note that United States (US) growth expectations remain healthy, with GDP projected to expand above 2% in 2026, but they see a less benign inflation outlook.

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British Pound: Neutral stance against US Dollar with carry support – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the Pound (GBP) remains resilient to local political developments and fiscal risks, supported by foreign inflows into gilts and the Bank of England’s (BoE) reluctance to ease policy amid resilient growth and disinflation.

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Germany annual CPI inflation softens to 2.3% in June vs. 2.5% expected

Annual inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), softened to 2.3% in June's flash estimate from 2.6% in May. This print came in below the market expectation of 2.5%. On a monthly basis, the CPI declined 0.3% following the 0.2% decrease recorded in May.

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South Africa Trade Balance (in Rands) down to -1.79B in May from previous 15.16B

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Danish Krone: Nationalbanken tolerance for weaker krone – Nordea

Nordea strategists examine EUR/DKK trading at its weakest level since the Euro’s introduction and argues Nationalbanken may have quietly shifted its de facto intervention band.

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Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0% below forecasts (0.1%) in June

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Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (3.1%) in June: Actual (3%)

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Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) meets expectations (3.1%) in June

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Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) fell from previous 0.3% to 0.1% in June

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Greece Producer Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 12.8% to 13.5% in May

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Greece Retail Sales (YoY): -0.1% (April) vs previous 3%

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Canada: Growth drag and steady BoC – NBC

National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Taylor Schleich and Vy Le highlight that Canada’s 2026 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecast has been cut to 0.7%, leaving the economy lagging U.S. growth above 2%.

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