Notícias

USD/INR clings to weekly gains as Rupee faces multiple headwinds

The Indian Rupee (INR) holds onto weekly losses against the US Dollar (USD) at open on Monday.

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Japan Coincident Index remains at 116.3 in February

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Japan Leading Economic Index above forecasts (112.4) in February: Actual (113.3)

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Singapore Industrial Production (YoY) climbed from previous -0.1% to 10.1% in March

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Singapore Industrial Production (MoM) up to 4.7% in March from previous -7.2%

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US Dollar Index declines below 98.50 as Iran offers US deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 98.45 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The DXY edges lower after reports that Iran offered the US a proposal for reopening the Strait of Hormuz. 

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US President Donald Trump rushes off stage after shots fired during White House 

US President Donald Trump was swiftly escorted off the stage by Secret Service after possible shots were fired at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner in Washington, DC, on Saturday, CNN reported.

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US President Donald Trump: Iran war will end soon, and we will be victorious

US President Donald Trump said an Iran war will end soon and the US will be victorious, FOX News reported on Sunday. His remarks came as Trump called off that delegation to Pakistan to potentially discuss directly with Iran.

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US President Donald Trump cancels Witkoff and Kushner's travel to Pakistan for Iran peace talks

Efforts to resume peace talks over the Iran war stalled after US President Donald Trump called off that delegation to Pakistan to potentially discuss directly with Iran, Bloomberg reported on Sunday. The Islamic Republic said it won’t negotiate so long as it’s being threatened.

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USD/SGD: Upside risks as Hormuz crisis persists – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong flag slight upside risks for USD/SGD as the Hormuz standoff weighs on risk appetite and imported cost pressures.

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PHP: BSP starts new hiking cycle – Commerzbank

Commerzbank highlights that BSP raised its policy rate by 25bp to 4.50%, signalling the start of a new tightening cycle to anchor inflation expectations.

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USD/TWD: Rebound seen as fadeable – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong describe a technical rebound in USD/TWD driven by broader US Dollar (USD) strength and risk aversion linked to the US‑Iran ceasefire stalemate.

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PBoC: Steepening bias as industrial activity holds – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Samuel Tse analyses recent steepening in Chinese Yuan (CNY) rates, linking it to a ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran and stronger-than-expected Q1 growth in China.

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PHP: BSP tightening supports Peso but risks linger – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note the central bank of Philippines Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas' (BSP) 25bp hike to 4.5% and guidance that further increases are possible as inflation forecasts are revised higher and second-round effects emerge.

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BoC: Cautious hold and two‑sided risks – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists, including Andrew Kelvin and colleagues, expect the Bank of Canada to keep the Overnight Rate at 2.25% through the April meeting and likely for the rest of 2026.

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United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 206.5K to 192.3K

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Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions: €41.3K vs €26K

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Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions down to ¥-94.5K from previous ¥-83.2K

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United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions rose from previous £-54.7K to £-52K

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United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions: $164K vs $162.5K

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United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions climbed from previous $-115.8K to $-110.1K

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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $64.8K vs previous $65.1K

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BoE: MPC holds vigilant stance – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman expects the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to leave Bank Rate at 3.75% at the April meeting, maintaining its vigilant stance.

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Germany: Growth hit by energy shock – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Chief Economist Dr. Jörg Krämer argues that the sharp fall in the Ifo Business Climate Index underlines how severely the energy price shock is weighing on the German economy.

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Iran's Araghchi tours three capitals with 450kg of leverage; is Trump boxed in?

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi landed in Islamabad on Friday evening to open the long-delayed second round of talks with the US, and special envoy Steve Witkoff and senior adviser Jared Kushner are due in on Saturday morning.

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US: Revenue resilience after IEEPA ruling – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Dan Pan and Steve Englander assess the impact of the United States (US) Supreme Court’s IEEPA ruling on US tariff revenue. They note that tariff income has fallen but remains well above pre-Liberation Day levels.

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USD/CAD: Choppy range then softer bias – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts expect a broadly neutral near-term impact on the Canadian Dollar (CAD) from a more balanced Bank of Canada (BoC) tone.

Fonte  Fxstreet1777048771
GBP: BoE holds as energy shock clouds outlook – Nomura

Nomura’s George Buckley and team expect the Bank of England (BoE) to leave Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% next week, with a likely 8-1 vote and Huw Pill as the sole hawk.

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WTI: Higher path feeding BoC inflation forecasts – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists expect the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) to embed significantly higher Oil assumptions, with Brent at USD 90 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) at USD 85, versus a prior USD 55 WTI baseline.

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ECB: Expected to hike in June as inflation risks build – Commerzbank

Commerzbank's Dr. Jörg Krämer and Bernd Weidensteiner expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to leave rates unchanged next week but still project a June hike if the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked and inflation risks persist.

Fonte  Fxstreet1777041574
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