Notícias

China: Export strength and bank flows – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights that China’s economy started 2026 slightly better than expected, driven by a sharp rise in exports and a swelling current account surplus.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775164620

South Korea FX Reserves dipped from previous 427.62B to 423.66B in March

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USD/SGD: Near-term pressure within broader recovery – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang notes that USD/SGD is currently under near-term pressure toward 1.2760, but the broader technical backdrop still points to a recovery phase in the second quarter.

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INR: RBI tightens NDF access to shield rupee – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao discusses new Reserve Bank of India (RBI) measures aimed at defending the Indian Rupee (INR). The RBI has barred banks from offering rupee NDF contracts to residents and offshore users while keeping deliverable hedging channels open.

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Global PMIs: Manufacturers look through inflation – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Ethan Lester notes that global manufacturing PMIs stayed in expansionary territory in March for an eighth straight month, even as the pace of growth eased from February’s 44‑month high.

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Canada: Trade deficit surge and 2026 outlook – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts note Canada’s trade deficit widened sharply in February to CAD 5.7 billion, far above expectations, as both exports and imports jumped. They highlight one-off Gold imports, stronger equipment and consumer goods demand, and surging motor vehicle exports.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775154720
USD/THB: Energy-led risk off favours Dollar – MUFG

MUFG's Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan highlights the Thai Baht (THB) as one of the more vulnerable Asian currencies under sustained high energy prices.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775152440
US President Trump presses Iran to make a deal after bridge strike video

On Thursday, the US President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social network a video of a bridge falling in Iran, pressuring Tehran to make a deal.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775150538
Indonesia: Inflation and energy policy risks – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes Indonesia’s March inflation eased to 3.5% year-on-year as government stimulus offset base effects and Lebaran-related pressures.

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Canada: Growth tailwind but lingering output gap – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Robert Both argues that higher Oil prices will support Canada’s 2026 GDP, but export bottlenecks limit the upside.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775146805

United States 4-Week Bill Auction remains at 3.62%

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Fed’s Logan: Payroll gains have been pretty weak

Lorie Logan, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Dallas, said that the Fed should not let balance sheets distract them from the main mission, she also claimed that the balance sheet growth isn’t bad if it meets the publics need at a speech in her bank on Thursday.

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NBP: Policy repricing risks grow – BNY

BNY's EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu argues that the National Bank of Poland’s (NBP) March rate cut underestimated inflation risks linked to the regional conflict.

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CEE: Energy shock erases PMI optimism – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that improving PMIs in Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary had signalled a potential upswing, helped by Germany’s earlier recovery signs.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775141486

United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change came in at 36B, below expectations (38B) in March 27

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CAD: Trade, tariffs and growth backdrop – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts point out that recent and prospective tariff changes, higher energy prices and CUSMA renewal talks will shape Canada’s macro backdrop, relevant for the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

Fonte  Fxstreet1775140028
INR: RBI seen steady on rates – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee to keep the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance, focusing on stability after recent Oil and FX shocks.

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US: Basel III relief to boost wider spreads – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists Gennadiy Goldberg, Molly Brooks and Jan Nevruzi argue that proposed Basel III endgame and related US bank capital changes should ultimately support wider US swap spreads, particularly at the long end.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775137906
Eurozone: Energy shock risks and softer inflation dynamics – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas analysts assess how the new energy shock from war in Iran and higher Oil and gas prices compares with 2022 for the Eurozone. They argue the current backdrop is less inflationary, with weaker demand and fewer supply constraints, and central banks now more reactive.

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Singapore Manufacturing PMI: 50.5 (March) vs previous 50.6

Fonte  Fxstreet1775134874
INR: RBI Clamps down on NDFs as structural headwinds persist – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts note the RBI has barred banks from offering INR NDFs to residents and non-residents to curb speculation, but they argue Rupee headwinds remain structural, tied to FPI outflows, Oil shock dynamics and slowing domestic growth, with 10-year yields seen heading toward 7.20–7.25

Fonte  Fxstreet1775134860

Russia Central Bank Reserves $ down to $775.4B from previous $776.8B

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US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 202K last week

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance decreased to 202K for the week ending March 28.

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United States Continuing Jobless Claims registered at 1.841M above expectations (1.84M) in March 20

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United States Goods Trade Balance dipped from previous $-81.8B to $-84.6B in February

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United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average declined to 207.75K in March 27 from previous 210.5K

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United States Initial Jobless Claims below expectations (212K) in March 27: Actual (202K)

Fonte  Fxstreet1775133003

Canada Imports increased to $72.05B in February from previous $66.13B

Fonte  Fxstreet1775133002

Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $-5.74B below forecasts ($-2.3B) in February

Fonte  Fxstreet1775133001

Canada Exports increased to $66.31B in February from previous $62.48B

Fonte  Fxstreet1775133001
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