Notícias

Canada: Recession concerns and USMCA talks – Rabobank

Rabobank strategist Molly Schwartz notes that Canada has entered a technical recession, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracting for two consecutive quarters and missing expectations.

Fonte  Fxstreet1780489047

United States ADP Employment Change came in at 122K, above forecasts (117K) in May

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Reserve Bank of Australia: Growth slowdown supports hold – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann notes that softer Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP), easing inflation and a cooling labour market have reduced pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to tighten further.

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Eurozone: Pre-emptive ECB tightening – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao argues that Eurozone markets face a stagflationary shock from US-Iran tensions that will hit Europe harder than the US, pushing the European Central Bank (ECB) to tighten policy earlier.

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ECB’s Elderson: Balance of risks has clearly deteriorated

European Central Bank (ECB) Vice-Chair of the Supervisory Board Frank Elderson said during the European trading session on Wednesday that the balance of risks has clearly deteriorated due to Middle East conflicts.

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United States MBA Mortgage Applications increased to -2.5% in May 29 from previous -8.5%

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Economists expect June ECB rate hike as stagflation risk stays high - Reuters poll

The European Central Bank (ECB) could tighten monetary policy sooner than previously expected, according to the latest Reuters poll of economists.

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US President Trump: Iran has agreed they will not have a nuclear weapon

In a podcast interview on Wednesday, US President Donald Trump said that “Iran has agreed they will not have a nuclear weapon.”

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British Pound: Rate risks support versus Euro – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny argues that strong United Kingdom (UK) credit and mortgage data, alongside elevated UK front-end yields, support the case for further Bank of England (BoE) tightening.

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Iran's Foreign Ministry: Condemns US strikes on Qeshm island

Iran's Foreign Ministry has stated during the European trading session on Wednesday that it condemns United States (US) strikes on Iranian tanker and Qeshm island.

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Australian Dollar: Gradual pullback within range against US Dollar – UOB

UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD failed to retest 0.7135 and instead held in a tight 0.7153–0.7187 band, but still sees a soft tone with scope for a drift toward 0.7150.

Fonte  Fxstreet1780478894
Danish Krone: Record low against Euro tests central bank stance – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that EUR/DKK hit a new historic high at 7.4739, with the Danish central bank refraining from FX intervention in May. They argue that while the bank shows patience with upward pressure, continued strength would likely prompt action to cap EUR/DKK.

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ISM Services PMI consensus calls for gently dwindling economic expansion

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) is scheduled to release the May Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on  Wednesday. Market participants anticipate a modest improvement, with the index forecast at 53.8, up from 53.6 in April.

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BoJ’s Ueda: Our basic stance is to continue raising interest rates

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirms that the direction of the monetary policy remains on the upside, while speaking at the Kisaragi-kai Meeting on Wednesday.

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Swiss Franc: Debasement unwind points to losses versus US Dollar – ING

Chris Turner at ING highlights that last year’s US Dollar (USD) debasement trade favoured the Swiss Franc (CHF), Gold and bitcoin, but a more hawkish Fed view could reverse this.

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United Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 49.7, above expectations (48.5) in May

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United Kingdom S&P Global Services PMI registered at 49.3 above expectations (47.9) in May

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Australian Dollar: RBA seen hiking again as growth slows – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists Prashant Newnaha and Alex Loo note that Australian Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) matched the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 0.3% q/q implied forecast, but highlight that household and government spending are weak while data centre investment props up activity.

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Japan PM Takaichi to travel to Europe next week to attend G7 Summit - NHK

According to a report from NHK released in the European trading session on Wednesday, Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi is planning to travel to Europe from the latter half of next week to attend the G7 Summit in France.

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Euro: Range holds as labour data supports Dollar – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD stayed broadly unchanged in a 1.1620–1.1650 range as short-term US and Euro area rates were steady. The analysts highlight stronger US JOLTS data and a robust labour market, which they say is no longer cooling.

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18,000 in sight: Why the Indonesian Rupiah is heading for fresh historic lows despite hefty rate hike

The Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) continues to face severe downward pressure as a combination of domestic policy uncertainty and a hostile global environment dampens sentiment toward the Asian currency.

Fonte  Fxstreet1780472586
68,000: Nikkei 225 hits fresh record highs due to tech rally

Asian equities performed mixed as traders adopted caution while monitoring US–Iran talks, with mixed signals from both sides keeping geopolitical uncertainty elevated.

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Spain HCOB Services PMI came in at 50.1, above forecasts (48) in May

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British Pound: Range trading with soft tone against US Dollar – UOB

UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann describe GBP/USD price action as range-bound after a brief drop to 1.3407, expecting the pair to edge lower toward 1.3430 while keeping 1.3405 as distant support.

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Oil: Gradual easing base case – OCBC

OCBC’s FX Strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong reiterate their Fragile Oil Balance view, stating that Brent has fallen below USD100/bbl on ceasefire optimism but remains supported by elevated geopolitical risks and Hormuz vulnerability.

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Equities: Strong macro and earnings challenge bears – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team observes that equities rose again, led by Tech, with many indices hitting new all-time highs. They attribute the move mainly to positive macro news and stronger US labour data, which eased concerns about the US economy.

Fonte  Fxstreet1780469202
Swiss Franc: Inflation data and SNB stance – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts Michael Pfister and Norman Liebke preview Swiss inflation for May, expecting headline at 0.6% versus consensus 0.7% and core at 0.3%. They stress that recent Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data support this benign outlook.

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Euro: Downside risks within range against US Dollar – UOB

UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann keep EUR/USD in a neutral short-term range, seeing the pair oscillating between 1.1590 and 1.1685 after a brief dip to 1.1606.

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Russia S&P Global Services PMI: 48.7 (May) vs previous 49.7

Fonte  Fxstreet1780466402

India HSBC Services PMI came in at 59.8, above forecasts (59) in May

Fonte  Fxstreet1780462855
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