Notícias

Australia National Australia Bank's Business Conditions unchanged at 3 in May

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Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence up to -14 in May from previous -24

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Japan’s Katayama: Stance unchanged, prepare for decisive measures

Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday that the stance is unchanged and authorities are prepared for decisive measures.

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WTI edges lower to near $89.50 as Iran, Israel agree to halt attacks

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price edges lower after registering over 1% losses in the previous day, trading around $89.40 per barrel during the Asian hours on Tuesday.

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Japan's Kiuchi hopes BoJ will keep cooperating with government on fighting deflation

Japan's Economy Minister, Minoru Kiuchi, said on Tuesday that long-term rates are determined by markets through diverse factors, including supply-demand and steady economic recovery.

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Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence up to 80.6% in June from previous 3.5%

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Japan Money Supply M2+CD (YoY) climbed from previous 2.3% to 2.5% in May

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South Korea Gross Domestic Product Growth (YoY) came in at 3.8%, above forecasts (3.6%) in 1Q

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South Korea Gross Domestic Product Growth (QoQ) registered at 1.8% above expectations (1.7%) in 1Q

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New Zealand Manufacturing Sales increased to 3.6% in 1Q from previous -0.5%

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South Korean Won: Policy support and equity rebalancing – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that the Korean Won (KRW) has outperformed peers after authorities intensified stabilization efforts. Measures include new FX rules, tighter oversight of offshore derivatives and FX hedging by the National Pension Service.

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Chinese Yuan: Neutral within 6.7620–6.7980 band versus US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that USD/CNH edged higher toward 6.79 but upward momentum remains limited. For the day, they expect consolidation in a 6.7800–6.7950 range.

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Asia FX: Oil and Fed backdrop weigh on KRW, IDR – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong notes that higher Oil prices and a firmer United States (US) policy outlook are pressuring Asia FX, particularly the Korean Won (KRW) and Indonesian Rupiah (IDR).

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South Korean Won: Policy support tempers KRW losses – MUFG

MUFG’s Hardman links a sharp correction in South Korean AI‑heavy equities to potential pressure on the Korean Won.

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Forex Today: Markets assess Japanese GDP as ECB decision looms

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades with a cautious tone near the 100.00 region as investors balance resilient United States (US) economic data against improving global risk sentiment following reports that Iran has ended its military operations against Israel.

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Chinese Yuan: Appreciation trend outweighs yield gap – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that despite the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) relaxing the cap on US Dollar (USD) deposit rates, the Chinese Yuan has already appreciated about 3% against the Dollar this year.

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Singapore Dollar: Further losses against US Dollar toward 1.2960 – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that USD/SGD surged past 1.29 after a blowout US nonfarm payrolls report, with the S$NEER still trading well above its mid-point.

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CEE FX: Zloty most vulnerable in risk-off – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights that Central and Eastern European FX is being driven by global headlines and hawkish US repricing, with local data having limited impact.

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India: Hawkish RBI stance and FY27 risks – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao says the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its policy rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance but a clearly hawkish tone, focused on inflation and currency stability.

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NY Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations mostly unchanged, job market weakening

The New York Federal Reserve Bank released its May Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE), in which households expect inflation to edge down a tick, despite upward pressures from the Middle East conflict.

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Bank of Canada: Unemployment focus urged – NBC

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Warren Lovely, Stéfane Marion and Matthieu Arseneau argue that the Bank of Canada (BoC) should add an explicit unemployment rate forecast to its quarterly Monetary Policy Report.

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Euro area: Growth noise and inflation outlook – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists argue that the negative 1Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) print mainly reflects Irish volatility rather than broad weakness, with ex‑Ireland growth at 0.3% qoq and stronger PMI and French industrial data.

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Norwegian Krone : Norges Bank stance supports NOK crosses – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad (BBH) notes that May Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Norway could be pivotal, with a hot print potentially bringing forward another Norges Bank hike after its surprise May move.

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Indian Rupee: RBI measures support INR near term – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan analyses new Reserve Bank of India and government measures that could generate around US$40bn of inflows and partially plug India’s FY2026/27 balance of payments gap.

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Bank of Canada: Policy hold as inflation risks linger – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep the overnight rate at 2.25% at the June meeting and through 2026, despite softer Canadian data.

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Hungarian Forint: Policymakers target FX stability around fair value – ING

ING economists Peter Virovacz and Zoltán Homolya highlight that the Hungarian Forint (HUF) has sharply appreciated, with investors now treating Hungary as a quasi-eurozone economy.

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Federal Reserve: Extended pause outlook after strong US jobs – UOB

UOB’s Alvin Liew notes that stronger-than-expected US payrolls and higher Oil prices have sharply reduced expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026.

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United Kingdom: BoE stance and Burnham politics – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s United Kingdom (UK) economists highlight political uncertainty around Andy Burnham’s potential Labour leadership challenge and its policy implications, but still expect limited radical change.

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Euro: Mixed macro backdrop with weak Germany – BNY

BNY’s Bob Savage flags that Euro area Sentix sentiment remains in downturn territory, with Germany still classified in recession despite modest improvement. German manufacturing orders fell sharply in April, driven by autos and machinery, even as sales showed some resilience.

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United States: Core CPI pressures stay elevated – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect May US CPI to show moderating but still-elevated core inflation, with core CPI seen rising 0.23% m/m and 2.8% y/y, while headline CPI is expected to climb to 4.2% y/y.

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