United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Monday that the Iran deal had been signed, adding that the Strait of Hormuz had fully reopened and that Oil prices were falling while stocks were rising. The President made the statement shortly after arriving in Evian, France, for a G7 meeting.

BNY’s Bob Savage emphasizes that, despite improved risk sentiment from geopolitical de-escalation, investors remain focused on central bank policy and global growth resilience.

United States NAHB Housing Market Index registered at 35, below expectations (36) in June

United States Industrial Production (MoM) came in at 0.1% below forecasts (0.3%) in May

United States Capacity Utilization meets forecasts (76.2%) in May

In an interview with CNBC on Monday, United States (US) Vice President JD Vance said that they expect the Strait of Hormuz to be "open toll-free in the long term," per Reuters.

Canada Wholesale Sales (MoM) above expectations (0.1%) in April: Actual (0.6%)

United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index below expectations (14) in June: Actual (5.7)

Esmail Baghaei Hamaneh, the Spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran, said on Monday that respecting sovereignty and territorial integrity of Lebanon is a part of the interim agreement with the United States (US).

Canada Housing Starts s.a (YoY) came in at 261.4K, above forecasts (255.1K) in May

According to the June 11-15 Reuters poll, all 35 economists predicted that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) would keep its policy rate at 0% this week. 28 economists ​who responded with forecasts until the end of 2026 saw rates staying at 0% the entire year.

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS) Peter Kazimir seems to be joining his peers in highlighting the need for further monetary policy adjustments on the upside despite the United States (US) and Iran reaching a peace framework.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to trade firmly around the psychologically crucial 160.00 level against the US Dollar.

HSBC Asset Management’s Investment Weekly highlights how higher Oil prices, China’s export surge and US AI investment are reshaping the global macro backdrop.

Brown Brothers Harriman expects the Bank of England to hold at 3.75% with a 7–2 vote and sees the first fully priced 25 bps hike in November.

Italy Trade Balance EU increased to €0.316B in April from previous €-1.08B

Turkey Budget Balance increased to -298.2B in May from previous -338.7B

Italy Global Trade Balance below forecasts (€5.19B) in April: Actual (€4.293B)

Here is what you need to know on Monday, June 15:

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Member and President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Joachim Nagel, said during the European trading session on Monday that there seems to be no relief from high inflation in the foreseeable future, despite the finalization of the United States (US)-Iran pea

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martins Kazaks said during the European trading session on Monday that the central bank would be ready to raise interest rates, while warning of upside inflation risks despite the finalization of a deal between the United States (US) and Iran.

USD/IDR extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 17,730 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar (USD) depreciates on easing risk aversion following the reports that the United States (US) and Iran reached a deal to end their conflict.

Israel’s National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir said that US President Donald Trump’s agreement does not bind us. Israel is not subordinate to the US. “We are an independent and sovereign country,” the Time of Israel reported on Monday.

India’s Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Inflation data for May arrives at 9.68% Year-on-Year (YoY), higher than 9.1% estimates and the previous reading of 8.3%.

India WPI Inflation registered at 9.68% above expectations (9.1%) in May

Switzerland Producer and Import Prices (YoY): -1.8% (May) vs -2%

The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said on Monday that she can only welcome what a peace deal means for Hormuz. Lagarde added that the central bank has started to see second-round effects. 

Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM): 1.3% (April) vs -0.2%

The United Kingdom (UK), France, Germany ‌and Italy said that the countries were prepared to lift sanctions on Iran in response to steps on its nuclear program after the United States (US) and Iran reached a deal to end their conflict, Reuters reported on Sunday. 

United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) down to -0.5% in June from previous -0.3%