Notícias

Euro recovers above 1.1700 as ECB rate hike expectations counter stronger US PPI

The EUR/USD pair recovers some lost ground to near 1.1720 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The Euro (EUR) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) on hawkish signals by European Central Bank (ECB) officials.

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Japan Money Supply M2+CD (YoY) rose from previous 2% to 2.3% in April

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Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks: ¥1437.5B (May 8) vs ¥301.5B

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Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks down to ¥301.5B in May 1 from previous ¥807.9B

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Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks: ¥1437.5B (May 1) vs ¥807.9B

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US President Donald Trump visits China against backdrop of Iran war

US President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing for a state visit to China, where he will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping to discuss topics including trade and the Iran war, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday. This is the first state visit to China by a US leader in nine years.

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United Kingdom RICS Housing Price Balance registered at -34%, below expectations (-25%) in April

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Thailand: Targeted subsidies with low debt risk – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas explains that Thailand shifted from broad price freezes to targeted subsidies for vulnerable households and firms.

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Singapore Dollar: Consolidation with preference to sell rallies – OCBC

OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes USD/SGD has risen with broader USD/AXJ but the move has been milder, reflecting Singapore Dollar's (SGD) lower beta. Wong observes fading bearish momentum and moderated RSI, suggesting two-way trade.

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Malaysia: Manageable subsidy costs and resilient funding – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas economists note that Malaysia has kept stable the price of RON 95 fuel used mainly by households, limiting the fiscal impact of subsidies to about 0.2% of GDP if Oil stays below USD 100.

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ECB’s Lane: Current energy shock is unfolding in a less demand-supportive environment

Philip Lane, Member of the European Central Bank (ECB), told an audience in London on Wednesday that the propagation of the Iran shock may be more contained than in 2022, but stronger and faster than historical averages.

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South Korean Won: Fading strength as volatility stays high – OCBC

OCBC’s Christopher Wong reports South Korean Won (KRW) led declines in Asia FX, pressured by higher Oil, firmer UST yields, softer risk tone and heavy foreign equity outflows.

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ECB Philip Lane: Oil shock to require rate hikes

The European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip Lane crossed the wires, saying that the energy shock caused by the Iran war will require a restrictive policy at a conference in London.

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Indonesia: Fiscal and debt risks with higher US yields – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas analyzes how Indonesia’s decision to cap fuel prices and increase subsidies leaves its public finances exposed if Brent Oil averages USD 92–100 in 2026.

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Fed’s Kashkari: Inflation too high

Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Minneapolis, spoke at a St. Paul Area Chamber event in St. Paul, Minneapolis, on Wednesday. He said that the big question is how long the Strait of Hormuz will be closed and what effect will it have on inflation.

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United States 30-Year Bond Auction increased to 5.05% from previous 4.876%

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Two words could rewrite the Fed: what happens if "maximum employment" gets struck?

The House Financial Services Committee (HFSC), chaired by Representative French Hill (R-AR), is the lower chamber's primary oversight body for banking, capital markets, housing finance, and monetary policy.

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APAC FX: CNY and JPY dynamics shape flows – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that APAC (Asia-Pacific) currencies remains underowned outside the Korean Won (KRW) and Japanese Yen (JPY), as investors revisit the region for diversification but remain wary of inflation spillovers from China.

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Fed's Collins: Prolonged Middle East war creates challenging policy choices

Susan Collins, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Boston, spoke at a fireside chat at an event hosted by the Boston Economic Club on Wednesday.

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BoE's Mann: Monetary policy cannot offset cost-push shocks from energy prices

Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Catherine Mann said on Wednesday that the trade off between inflation and activity is becoming "increasingly stark," per Reuters.

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BoE expected to keep policy restrictive as inflation outlook stays elevated - Reuters poll

The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to maintain a cautious stance as inflation remains above its target, according to a Reuters poll published on Wednesday.

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British Pound: Weakens agains Euro as political risks weigh – ING

ING’s Chris Turner reports that Sterling weakened independently as UK politics took centre stage, with Prime Minister Keir Starmer facing potential leadership challenges from figures like Wes Streeting, Andy Burnham and Angela Rayner.

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United States Producer Price Index soars in April amid Iran war

The United States (US) Producer Price Index jumped to 6% on a yearly basis in April, following the 4.3% posted in March and largely surpassing the expected 4.9%. On a monthly basis, the PPI rose 1.4%, doubling the March reading of 0.7%, and much higher than the anticipated 0.5%.

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Silver: Eastern demand supports resilient upside – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists note Silver is maintaining its upside, trading resiliently despite higher energy prices. While recent CTA (Commodity Trading Advisors) buying has slowed, they see renewed interest from Chinese traders on SHFE (Shanghai Futures Exchange) and strong Chinese premiums.

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US annual producer inflation climbs to 6% in April vs. 4.9% expected

Producer inflation in the United States, as measured by the change in the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose to 6% on a yearly basis in April from 4.3% in March, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Wednesday.

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Australian Dollar: Fiscal loosening and contained wages – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team says Australia’s 2026/27 Budget is slightly stimulatory, with looser fiscal policy and more upbeat Treasury forecasts than the RBA.

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United States Producer Price Index (YoY) came in at 6%, above expectations (4.9%) in April

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United States Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) came in at 5.2%, above forecasts (4.3%) in April

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United States Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) registered at 1% above expectations (0.3%) in April

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United States Producer Price Index (MoM) above forecasts (0.5%) in April: Actual (1.4%)

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