Notícias

European Central Bank: Summer hikes seen as insurance – ING

ING’s Carsten Brzeski argues that the European Central Bank is being guided by its 2022 inflation experience rather than current data, with headline Eurozone inflation still moderate and survey-based expectations easing.

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South Africa Manufacturing Production Index (YoY) declined to -2.9% in April from previous 0.9%

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Canadian Dollar: BoC caution limits gains against US Dollar – Commerzbank

Michael Pfister at Commerzbank notes the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept rates at 2.25% and sees little impetus for near-term tightening given easing core inflation and a weak real economy. Market pricing now reflects only one hike by December.

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Ireland HICP (MoM) came in at -0.2%, below expectations (-0.1%) in May

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Ireland Consumer Price Index (YoY) dipped from previous 3.7% to 3.6% in May

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Ireland Consumer Price Index (MoM) down to -0.1% in May from previous 0.5%

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Ireland HICP (YoY) meets forecasts (3.5%) in May

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Bank of Canada: Policy hold as recession concerns linger – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Molly Schwartz and Christian Lawrence review the latest Bank of Canada (BoC) decision, noting policymakers kept the overnight rate at 2.25% in June. They highlight ongoing risks from high energy prices and prolonged inflation, alongside a technical recession.

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South Africa Business Confidence Index declined to 123.6 in April from previous 131.3

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South Africa Business Confidence Index dipped from previous 131.3 to 124.1 in April

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European Central Bank: Focus shifts to forward guidance – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Erik Liem expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to deliver a fully priced 25bp hike, leaving markets focused on guidance for the path of rates beyond summer.

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Canadian Dollar: BoC keeps options open on energy and trade – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank highlights that the Bank of Canada left its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% but stressed flexibility. Governor Macklem indicated that sustained higher energy prices could require consecutive rate hikes, while potential US trade restrictions might instead justify rate cuts.

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Iran condemns overnight strikes on Tehran, calling them “practically meaningless”

Iranian Foreign Ministry has condemned overnight US strikes on Tehran, saying the attacks have rendered the ceasefire as “practically meaningless”, The Guardian reported.

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European Central Bank: War risks tilt policy hawkish – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every argues that with war risks in the Middle East, the European Central Bank (ECB) faces greater dangers from inaction than from tightening too far.

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US-Iran talks still on track despite exchange of attacks – CNN

According to a report from CNN, a diplomatic source has confirmed that talks between the United States (US) and Iran towards a permanent peace deal are still on track.

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Iran says US projectile hits cargo boat in the Gulf of Oman

The Governor of Iran's Sirik county, an administrative division in Iran's Hormozgan province, announces during the European trading session on Thursday that the United States (US) projectile hit a cargo boat in the Gulf of Oman, Mehr News reported.

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Euro holds gains as traders expect ECB rate hike in June

EUR/CAD recovers its recent losses registered in the previous day, trading around 1.6110 during the early European hours on Thursday. The currency cross appreciates as the Euro (EUR) receives support ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy decision due later in the day.

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European Central Bank: June hike seen with focus on signals – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise the deposit rate by 25bp to 2.25%, in line with consensus. With the June move fully priced, they see market attention shifting to communication on future policy.

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European Central Bank set to hike interest rates for first time in nearly three years

The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to announce its monetary policy decision at 12:15 GMT following its June meeting. The Frankfurt-based institution is widely expected to raise its key interest rates by 25 basis points, taking the deposit facility rate to 2.25% from 2%.

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Equities: Risk-off rotation after weak global sentiment – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team highlights another weak session for global equities, with major indices down and a defensive rotation within sectors. Materials, industrials and technology underperformed, led by semiconductors.

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Indonesian Rupiah declines as Retail Sales face downturn in April

USD/IDR extends gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 17,970 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair holds ground as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) struggles following the domestic Retail Sales data release.

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Home Front Command issues warning after attacks from Lebanon

Israeli military says home front command issued early warning after launches from Lebanon toward northern Israel.

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Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations declined to 5.5% in June from previous 5.6%

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Iranian military drones targeted US Fifth Fleet in Bahrain in response to southern US strikes

The Iranian military announced in a statement that it had launched a drone operation against the US Navy’s Fifth Fleet based in Bahrain, in response to the violation of the ceasefire and US military attacks on areas in southern Iran, Reuters reported on Thursday. 

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WTI rises to near $91.00 as US strikes continue against Iran

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends gains for the second successive day, trading around $90.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Thursday.

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US launches fresh strikes on Iran, IRGC closes Hormuz to all vessels

"Ending soon" did not survive the day.

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Japan BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions Index (QoQ) below forecasts (4.2) in 2Q: Actual (-1.8)

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Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks: ¥-701B (June 5) vs previous ¥-491.2B

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United Kingdom RICS Housing Price Balance registered at -34%, below expectations (-31%) in May

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“More than 100 million barrels of Oil moved through Strait of Hormuz”: US President Trump briefs on Hormuz

United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that a secret US military operation helped secure commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, allowing more than 100 million barrels of Oil to reach global markets amid ongoing tensions involving Iran.

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