Notícias

China’s CPI inflation falls to 1.0% YoY in June, vs 1.1% expected

China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 1.0% in June from a year ago after arriving at a rise of 1.2% in May, the National Bureau of Statistics of China reported on Thursday. The market consensus was for 1.1% in the reported period.

Fonte  Fxstreet1783560669

China Consumer Price Index (MoM) below expectations (-0.2%) in June: Actual (-0.3%)

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China Producer Price Index (YoY) meets expectations (4.1%) in June

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China Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 1% below forecasts (1.1%) in June

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Japan Money Supply M2+CD (YoY) declined to 2.2% in June from previous 2.5%

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Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks down to ¥-22.2B in July 3 from previous ¥-1B

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United Kingdom RICS Housing Price Balance below forecasts (-30%) in June: Actual (-33%)

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Chinese Yuan: Downside bias as momentum improves against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Senior Technical Strategist Quek Ser Leang notes that USD/CNH has broken higher, with momentum improving after Monday’s move to 6.8051 and a close at 6.8038.

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New Zealand Business NZ PMI rose from previous 49.9 to 59.7 in June

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China: Growth support constrained – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Senior Asia Economist Alex Loo argues that China’s fiscal stance is turning austere as local governments prioritize debt clean-up over growth.

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Days-old Iran ceasefire dies in the Strait of Hormuz as US launches fresh strikes on Iran

The US has begun a fresh series of strikes on Iran, hitting more than 80 targets in and around the Strait of Hormuz only days after the latest patch on the Versailles accord. President Trump now calls the agreement over, even while leaving the door open to talks.

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Thai Baht: Range-bound after inflation data against dollar – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay highlights that USD/THB edged higher as Thai inflation data support a steady policy stance. Lay links the move to expectations that the Bank of Thailand (BoT) will keep interest rates on hold at 1% through at least the next meeting.

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South Korean Won: Undervaluation and BOK outlook aid won – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights an extended broad rally in South Korean Won (KRW) as Korean equities underperform, reducing rebalancing outflows.

Fonte  Fxstreet1783537920

Argentina Industrial Output n.s.a (YoY) down to -5.7% in May from previous -2.8%

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United States Consumer Credit Change below forecasts ($17.1B) in May: Actual ($-0.18B)

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Singapore Dollar: Short-term losses versus upside risks against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD is edging higher after a period of tight consolidation, with intraday upside seen as limited below nearby resistance.

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Ata do FOMC: Fed muda para postura neutra de observação, alguns dirigentes veem necessidade de subir juros, riscos de alta na inflação tornam-se o conflito central

O Federal Reserve divulgou em 8 de julho a ata de sua reunião de política monetária do FOMC de 16 e 17 de junho. O documento indica que o Fed mudou completamente para uma postura neutra de compasso de

Fonte  Tradingkey1783534603

United States 10-Year Note Auction climbed from previous 4.538% to 4.58%

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United Kingdom: Market watching Burnham – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses UK political dynamics, noting Burnham’s likely unchallenged path to becoming Prime Minister on July 20 and his popularity within Labour.

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British Pound: Recovery eyes 1.36 against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the British Pound (GBP) is slightly softer but supported by a sharp repricing of Bank of England (BoE) tightening.

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India: Gradual firming CPI supports RBI patience – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategist Kunal Kundu expects India’s June 2026 headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to print around 4.1% year-on-year, slightly above May’s 3.9% but still within the RBI’s tolerance band.

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United States Wholesale Inventories registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.3%) in May

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United Kingdom: Early election scenarios – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered analysis by Christopher Graham and Saabir Salad discusses Andy Burnham’s stance against an early UK general election if he becomes prime minister.

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Donald Trump says US may hit Iran again tonight, doubts deal holds

United States (US) President Donald Trump stepped up his rhetoric against Iran on Wednesday on the sidelines of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) summit, according to comments cited by Reuters.

Fonte  Fxstreet1783518334
Fed Minutes to shed light on Warsh's first meeting as Chair

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the Minutes of the June 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. The Minutes should shed more light on the Fed’s hawkish hold delivered at Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed Chair.

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United States: Inflation expectations edge higher as oil rises – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee reports that the New York Fed’s June Survey of Consumer Expectations showed 1-year inflation expectations rising to 3.7%, with 3-year expectations at 3.3% and 5-year unchanged at 3%.

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Canada: Trade surplus at four-year high – NBC

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) strategist Alexandra Ducharme reports Canada’s merchandise trade surplus hit a four-year high in May as exports reached a record C$77.1 billion. Gains were driven by metal ores and non-metallic minerals, while energy exports declined.

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British Pound: Pound resilience faces political risks – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights that the British Pound (GBP) has been a strong G10 performer this year, supported by sticky United Kingdom (UK) inflation, Bank of England (BoE) rate expectations and inbound M&A flows.

Fonte  Fxstreet1783514361
Euro: Political risks but downside bias – ING

Francesco Pesole at ING discusses Euro resilience despite French political developments, including Marine Le Pen’s 2027 bid and expectations of an RN win.

Fonte  Fxstreet1783513748
US Dollar: Warsh risks skewed to cuts – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that interest rate differentials are again driving the Dollar, with USD reacting strongly to weaker US data as markets reassess new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

Fonte  Fxstreet1783512466
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