AUD/JPY remains steady after six days of losses, trading around 0.6920 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency cross moves little as the Australian Dollar (AUD) experiences minor volatility following the release of Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
GBP/USD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 1.3200 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency pair depreciated as the US Dollar (USD) gained momentum, driven by a combination of robust domestic economic data and a complex, mixed geopolitical landscape.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) published the Summary of Opinions from the June monetary policy meeting, with the key findings noted below.
Commerzbank highlights strong South Korean export momentum, led by semiconductors and petroleum, but notes that South Korean Won (KRW) remains one of Asia’s weakest currencies versus the Dollar.
DBS economist Radhika Rao reports that India and US are close to formalising an interim trade agreement under a new framework first agreed in February.
TD Securities strategist Prashant Newnaha notes that softer S&P Australia Flash Composite PMI data, including weaker new orders and moderating price pressures, supports the Reserve Bank of Australia keeping its cash rate unchanged at 4.35% in August.
Nomura strategists note Euro area business activity stayed in contraction in June, with the composite PMI at 49.5 despite a small rise.
Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Alan Taylor said on Tuesday that keeping interest rates on hold for an extended period remains the most appropriate policy response, according to the text of a speech due to be delivered at an event hosted by Barclays and the Center for Economic Policy Research.
Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem said on Tuesday that global imbalances are increasing and may risk financial stability.
National Bank of Canada (NBC) Economics and Strategy team, led by Taylor Schleich, Ethan Currie and Vy Le, argues that Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve (Fed) is deliberately increasing policy ambiguity by stripping out forward guidance.
Geoff Yu at BNY highlights that Eurozone PMIs remain weak despite a slightly better-than-expected composite reading. Core economies like Germany and France continue to underperform, with German services at a 43‑month low.
Private-sector hiring in the US has increased in early June. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 30.75K jobs per week in the four weeks ending June 6.
In a post published on Truth Social on Tuesday, United States (US) President Donald Trump claimed that Iran has "fully and completely" agreed to highest level nuclear inspections long into the future.
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say global Aluminium output is rising, including in China, Europe and Asia ex-China, but the market remains in deficit. They estimate around 3mt of capacity has been lost to Middle East disruptions and is unlikely to return quickly.
Societe Generale analysts expect the Hungarian central bank Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) to cut rates by 25 bps to 6.0%, citing improved sentiment after Peter Magyar’s election victory and an EU-friendly policy stance.
TD Securities strategists note that Canadian headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May surprised to the upside, driven by energy and seasonal factors, while core measures remained stable near 2%.
Iran reaffirmed its red line on military issues on Tuesday, as markets continue to monitor geopolitical developments in the Middle East.
BNY’s John Velis and David Tam argue that Chair Kevin Warsh is steering Federal Reserve communications toward less forward guidance and a stronger emphasis on price stability.
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that India’s 10Y government bond yield has remained confined between 6.90% and 7.05% as domestic and global drivers offset each other.