Notícias

Turkey Consumer Price Index (YoY) registered at 30.87%, below expectations (31.4%) in March

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Turkey Consumer Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (2.32%) in March: Actual (1.94%)

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Japanese Yen struggles due to BoJ’s rate hike uncertainty

USD/JPY remains in the positive territory for the third successive day after registering over 0.5% gains on Thursday, currently trading around 159.60 during the Asian hours on Friday. However, the pair moves little due to thin trading activity amid the Good Friday holiday.

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France Industrial Output (MoM) below forecasts (0%) in February: Actual (-0.7%)

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Russia S&P Global Services PMI declined to 49.5 in March from previous 51.3

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US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to rise by 60K in March

The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for March on Friday at 12:30 GMT. 

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China’s RatingDog Services PMI declines to 52.1 in March vs. 53.7 expected 

China's Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) eased to 52.1 in March from 56.7 in February, the latest data published by RatingDog showed on Friday. This figure came in weaker than the expectations of 53.7.

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China RatingDog Services PMI came in at 52.1 below forecasts (53.7) in March

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Japan Jibun Bank Services PMI came in at 53.4, above expectations (52.8) in March

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Fed’s Goolsbee: Oil price rise is quite serious, everything depends on how long it lasts

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said on Thursday that he is concerned about the timing of rising oil prices, stating that they could hinder efforts to reduce inflation.

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US President Donald Trump will impose 100% tariff on some patented drugs — Bloomberg

US President Donald Trump signed an executive order that could slap up to 100% on certain imported medicines from companies that don't reach deals with his administration in the coming months, Bloomberg reported on Thursday.

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Indonesia: Surplus seen narrowing on external risks – UOB

UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research, led by Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Vincentius Ming Shen, notes that Indonesia’s trade surplus widened slightly in February 2026 to USD1.27bn, extending 70 months of gains.

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South Korea: Inflation pressures seen building – ING

ING’s Min Joo Kang notes that South Korea’s March consumer price inflation rose modestly, with government fuel caps and food vouchers limiting the impact of higher Oil costs. Core inflation eased slightly, but ING expects recent energy and currency moves to push prices higher in coming months.

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China: Export strength and bank flows – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights that China’s economy started 2026 slightly better than expected, driven by a sharp rise in exports and a swelling current account surplus.

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South Korea FX Reserves dipped from previous 427.62B to 423.66B in March

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USD/SGD: Near-term pressure within broader recovery – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang notes that USD/SGD is currently under near-term pressure toward 1.2760, but the broader technical backdrop still points to a recovery phase in the second quarter.

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INR: RBI tightens NDF access to shield rupee – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao discusses new Reserve Bank of India (RBI) measures aimed at defending the Indian Rupee (INR). The RBI has barred banks from offering rupee NDF contracts to residents and offshore users while keeping deliverable hedging channels open.

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Global PMIs: Manufacturers look through inflation – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Ethan Lester notes that global manufacturing PMIs stayed in expansionary territory in March for an eighth straight month, even as the pace of growth eased from February’s 44‑month high.

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Canada: Trade deficit surge and 2026 outlook – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts note Canada’s trade deficit widened sharply in February to CAD 5.7 billion, far above expectations, as both exports and imports jumped. They highlight one-off Gold imports, stronger equipment and consumer goods demand, and surging motor vehicle exports.

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USD/THB: Energy-led risk off favours Dollar – MUFG

MUFG's Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan highlights the Thai Baht (THB) as one of the more vulnerable Asian currencies under sustained high energy prices.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775152440
US President Trump presses Iran to make a deal after bridge strike video

On Thursday, the US President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social network a video of a bridge falling in Iran, pressuring Tehran to make a deal.

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Indonesia: Inflation and energy policy risks – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes Indonesia’s March inflation eased to 3.5% year-on-year as government stimulus offset base effects and Lebaran-related pressures.

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Canada: Growth tailwind but lingering output gap – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Robert Both argues that higher Oil prices will support Canada’s 2026 GDP, but export bottlenecks limit the upside.

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United States 4-Week Bill Auction remains at 3.62%

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Fed’s Logan: Payroll gains have been pretty weak

Lorie Logan, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Dallas, said that the Fed should not let balance sheets distract them from the main mission, she also claimed that the balance sheet growth isn’t bad if it meets the publics need at a speech in her bank on Thursday.

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NBP: Policy repricing risks grow – BNY

BNY's EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu argues that the National Bank of Poland’s (NBP) March rate cut underestimated inflation risks linked to the regional conflict.

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CEE: Energy shock erases PMI optimism – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that improving PMIs in Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary had signalled a potential upswing, helped by Germany’s earlier recovery signs.

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United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change came in at 36B, below expectations (38B) in March 27

Fonte  Fxstreet1775140203
CAD: Trade, tariffs and growth backdrop – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts point out that recent and prospective tariff changes, higher energy prices and CUSMA renewal talks will shape Canada’s macro backdrop, relevant for the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

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INR: RBI seen steady on rates – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee to keep the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance, focusing on stability after recent Oil and FX shocks.

Fonte  Fxstreet1775139051
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