Notícias

Federal Reserve: Knife-edge policy risks surprise – ING

ING’s Padhraic Garvey expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to leave rates unchanged at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with odds seen around 60:40 for no move.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785248649
US CB Consumer Confidence Index eases to 90.8 in July

US consumer sentiment loses some momentum in July, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index recedes to 90.8 from June’s 92.2 (revised from 91.2).

Fonte  Fxstreet1785247816
Swiss Franc: Weak performance tied to carry and Gold – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists argue that the Swiss Franc’s (CHF) underperformance since the February 2026 Iran shock reflects both low-yield carry dynamics and sensitivity to Gold prices.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785247071
British Pound: Political risks and BoE stance shape outlook – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses British Pound (GBP) prospects around UK welfare reform, shifting voter polls and the upcoming Bank of England (BoE) decision. Foley highlights how PM Burnham’s fiscal choices and intra-Labour tensions could affect gilts and the Pound.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785244245
Trump downplays escalation risks while warning Iran against breaking agreements

In an interview with Fox News, cited by Reuters, US President Donald Trump said that Pickaxe Mountain, an Iranian underground nuclear site, is not a big problem, adding that the United States (US) is now in a very strong position with Iran.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785243816
Federal Reserve: Scenarios into FOMC – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Eugene Leow notes that investors remain cautious on upcoming FOMC decisions, with markets pricing a 34% chance of a July hike and nearly full odds for September.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785242747
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 15K

Private-sector hiring in the US has further cooled in mid-July. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 15K jobs per week in the four weeks ending July 11.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785241317
Swiss Franc: Tariffs and steady SNB stance pressure currency – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that reports of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) planning to keep rates unchanged until early 2028, if accurate, clash with still-ambitious market expectations for hikes by 2027.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785240037
CEE FX: Normalising rates leave room for gains – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes Central and Eastern European (CEE) rate curves have repriced sharply, with more tightening now expected in Czech Republic and Poland and further easing in Hungary.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785236943
Indonesian Rupiah: Leadership change at BI sustains rupiah pressure – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Moses Lim argues that Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo’s surprise resignation, following earlier high-profile departures, heightens concerns over policy continuity and institutional credibility as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) trades near historic lows versus the US Dollar (USD).

Fonte  Fxstreet1785232552
US Dollar: Fed hike odds and asymmetric risks – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that the Dollar is trading on diverging themes versus Developed Market and Asia-ex Japan currencies, with Fed expectations central. Futures are pricing a 38% chance of a surprise rate hike at Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s second FOMC meeting.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785231031
Singapore Dollar: MAS surprise tightening supports SGD – HSBC

HSBC’s Abhilash Narayan notes that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy on 27 July 2026 by raising the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope to 1.25%.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785229780
Swiss Franc: SNB on hold view boosts funding role – ING

ING’s Chris Turner highlights a Bloomberg source story suggesting the Swiss National Bank (SNB) may keep its policy rate at 0.00% until end-2027, aligning with ING’s own forecast.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785227322
Federal Reserve: Close July call keeps Dollar traders data-focused – BNY

BNY strategists John Velis and David Tam expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at the upcoming July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, while stressing it is a close call.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785226527
Polish Zloty: Political fragmentation clouds zloty outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights that Poland’s Law and Justice party has split, with Mateusz Morawiecki forming Development Plus and polling above the Sejm threshold.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785225306
Véspera da Decisão do Fed: 104 Economistas Esperam Manutenção; Por Que a Citadel Securities Está Apostando em uma Alta Surpresa?

TradingKey - O Federal Reserve anunciará sua decisão de taxa de juros de julho em 29 de julho, no horário do Leste. O intervalo-meta atual para a taxa de fundos federais permanece em 3,5%-3,75%, mas o

Fonte  Tradingkey1785224971
Indonesian Rupiah drops as Bank Indonesia shakeup

USD/IDR extends gains for the second successive day, trading around 18,130 during the early European hours on Tuesday. The currency pair appreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) faces pressure following the surprise resignation of Bank Indonesia (BI) Governor Perry Warjiyo on Monday.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785222307
Singapore Dollar: Energy risks could trigger further tightening – UOB

UOB strategists interpret Monetary Authority of Singapore's (MAS) July 2026 MPS as a calibrated tightening via a modest increase in the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope to an estimated 1.25% per annum, smaller than April’s move.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785222050
Equities: China chip competition weighs on global markets – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank strategists report that renewed concerns over Chinese competition and AI investment spending triggered a sharp selloff in global semiconductor stocks. Asian technology indices suffered heavy losses, while ASML and other chip-related shares declined in the United States and Europe.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785221372
Oman presents Hormuz fee proposal to Iran

According to a Gulf source, Oman presented to Iran proposal for a joint regional mechanism to manage the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage to almost 20% of global energy supply, with voluntary fees.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785220687
Brent: Price slide reflects de-escalation hopes – Commerzbank

Commerzbank strategist Charlie Lay, notes Brent Oil tumbled 8.7% to USD 88.36, reversing much of last week’s surge as US–Iran tensions eased and markets priced in de-escalation.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785220155
Indian Rupee gains further as oil prices extend losses

The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its winning streak against the US Dollar (USD) for the third trading day on Tuesday. The USD/INR pair falls to near 95.65 as a further decline in oil prices has strengthened the Indian currency.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785218163
RBA’s Bullock: Key question is whether tightening already delivered is enough to slow inflation

Speaking at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch in Sydney on Tuesday, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock said that the “key question is whether tightening already delivered is enough to slow inflation.”

Fonte  Fxstreet1785208180
Japan's Katayama: Need to communicate JGB market before budget compilation

In the Asian trading session on Tuesday, Japan Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama highlighted the need to communicate to market financial and Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) markets regarding administration’s intentions towards the fiscal policy stance.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785208172
Asian stocks including KOSPI slide as AI doubts hit chipmakers

Asian stocks fall sharply on Tuesday as mounting skepticism over the massive financial returns on artificial intelligence spending triggered a widespread sell-off across global semiconductor shares.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785207573
Singapore Dollar: MAS tightening underpins Singapore Dollar – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that USD/SGD is consolidating around 1.2900 after pulling back from near 1.3000, as the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second consecutive meeting.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785192180
Trump urges Fed rate cuts as Gulf War ends, seen lowering prices

On Monday, late in the North American session, US President Donald Trump stated that there was a good inflation report recently, adding that costs were falling rapidly and that prices should drop significantly once the Gulf War ends.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785191650
Chinese Yuan: Rangebound trade against US Dollar guided by PBoC fix – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect USD/CNH to stay broadly rangebound near term, with the daily People's Bank of China (PBoC) fix clustered around 6.79 and acting as an anchor rather than a directional signal.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785189420
Singapore Dollar: Hawkish MAS supports SGD against US Dollar – MUFG

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) delivered a second consecutive tightening by slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope, reinforcing SGD resilience.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785187140
Indonesian Rupiah: Political risks temper valuation case – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) and Jakarta equities underperformed after Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo unexpectedly resigned two years before his term ends, raising concerns about political interference.

Fonte  Fxstreet1785184620
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