Notícias

USD/IDR Price Forecast: Falls toward moving averages near 17,800 ahead of BI decision

USD/IDR extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 17,820 during Asian hours on Wednesday. Technical analysis of the daily chart suggests the pair remains within the ascending channel, indicating an ongoing bullish bias.

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Asian stocks trade mixed, Taiwan’s Taiex leads on tech boost

Asian equities trade mixed on Wednesday. Oil prices and Treasury yields dropped as crude flows through the Middle East improved, adding to risk appetite.

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Australian Dollar remains under pressure as PMI slows

AUD/USD loses ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 0.7110 during Asian hours on Wednesday.

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US Special Envoy Witkoff says mediators completed round of US-Iran talks

United States (US) Special Envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, said the US held "lengthy" indirect talks with the Iranian delegation via mediators on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), Reuters reported on Tuesday.

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Explosion heard near Iran’s Qeshm Island

An explosion was heard near Qeshm Island in southern Iran's Hormozgan province, the official news agency IRNA reported on Tuesday.

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Gold recovers above $4,350 on US–Iran diplomacy hopes

Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds to near $4,360 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal edges higher amid hopes for diplomatic progress between the US and Iran. 

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49.3: Australia’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI declines in September

The preliminary reading of Australia's S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) eased to 49.3 in September versus 52.0 prior, the latest data published by S&P Global showed on Wednesday.

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Australia S&P Global Services PMI fell from previous 53.2 to 51.4 in September

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Australia S&P Global Composite PMI fell from previous 52.7 to 50.8 in September

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Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 49.3 (September) vs previous 52

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Chinese Yuan: RMB gains hinge on PBoC fix – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that the Renminbi (RMB) has extended gains, with USD/CNY breaking below 6.70 as the People's Bank of China (PBoC) strengthened the fix for nine straight sessions ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting.

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Singapore Dollar: Sideways bias holds above support against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann maintain a constructive short-term view on USD/SGD, noting recent sideways trade around 1.2760.

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Banxico expected to stay put as inflation risks block easing – Reuters

A Reuters poll revealed that all economists expect that the Mexican Central Bank, also known as Banxico, will hold rates unchanged at 6.50% for the third straight meeting.

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ECB’s Nagel says restrictive policy cannot be ruled out

The Bundesbank President and European Central Bank (ECB) member Joachim Nagel crossed the wires at a financial event in London, where he acknowledged that high energy prices had driven inflation off its 2026 target.

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South Korean Won: Export surge supports BoK stance – Commerzbank

Commerzbank reports South Korea’s exports for the first 20 days of September jumped 78.3% year-on-year, extending nine months of double-digit growth and led by a 259% surge in semiconductor exports.

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Taiwan Dollar: Equity inflows support TWD againt US Dollar – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the Taiwan Dollar (TWD) has extended gains, briefly strengthening near 31.71 versus the US Dollar (USD), supported by strong foreign portfolio inflows and domestic equity outperformance tied to tech and AI themes.

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Chinese Yuan: Gradual decline within tight bands – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/CNH to edge lower intraday but stay confined to a narrow 6.6890–6.6960 range, with a clear break below 6.6890 seen as unlikely. Over one to three weeks, they see downside extending toward 6.6820 as momentum builds.

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Fed’s Barkin backs rate hike, stays unsure on more increases

Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin said on Tuesday that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to raise interest rates last Wednesday because inflation risks outweighed those to maximum employment.

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Bank of Canada: Slack delays hikes despite crude shock – NBC

National Bank of Canada's Ethan Currie notes that while oil-driven inflation risks have increased, the Bank of Canada is likely to remain on hold in October as domestic slack and trade uncertainty continue to weigh on the economic outlook.

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Trump sees post-election Iran deal, calls for pressure to stay

The US President Donald Trump said at the UN General Assembly that “we must be united in maintaining pressure on Iran,” adding that he believes that the US and Iran will strike a deal, following the US elections.

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United States: September inflation profile – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir provide an early projection for United States (US) September Consumer Price Index (CPI , expecting Headline CPI to rise 0.54% m/m, driven mainly by an almost 8% jump in gasoline and firmer food prices.

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Fed’s Collins: More restrictive policy should help inflation return to 2%

Boston Federal Reserve (Fed) President Susan Collins said on Tuesday that she supported last week’s interest-rate hike and sees a somewhat more restrictive policy stance as appropriate to bring inflation sustainably back to the Fed's 2% target.

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India: Growth, liquidity and policy response – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao assesses India’s strong start to FY27, with high-frequency data pointing to around 7% growth in 2QFY and full-year FY27 growth of 7.3% year-on-year.

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Bank of England: Modest insurance tightening path – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank Research’s UK economists Sanjay Raja and Maui Brennan have shifted their BoE base case from no hikes to two 25bp moves, in November and February. They argue Bank Rate is already restrictive, inflation is largely energy-driven, and second‑round effects remain limited.

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Australian Dollar: RBA seen hiking as inflation risks build – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia now expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise the cash rate to 4.60% at its 29 September meeting, revising a previous call for a hold. Chia cites recent RBA messaging focused on upside inflation risks and resilient economic momentum.

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US ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 20K

Private-sector hiring in the US has gained some pace in early September. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 20K jobs per week in the four weeks ending September 5.

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Hungarian Forint: Key 360 area supports consolidation against Euro – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts describe EUR/HUF as consolidating above the 360 area after an interim low near 348 in June. The pair is capped by the 200-day moving average at 370/371, with a breakout above this zone needed to confirm a larger up-move.

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South African Rand: SARB hike and hawkish tone – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur expects the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to deliver a 25 basis point rate hike after surprising markets by holding rates in July.

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Hungarian Forint: NBH stance supports carry appeal – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the National Bank of Hungary to pause its mini easing cycle at 5.50% and possibly outline a two-step cut in its inflation target from 3.0% to 2.0%.

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Federal Reserve: Hiking path constrained by supply shocks – BNY

John Velis at BNY Markets argues that current US inflation is being driven by non-rate-sensitive components of core PCE, limiting how effective further Federal Reserve tightening can be.

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