Notícias

United States 4-Week Bill Auction increased to 3.61% from previous 3.6%

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Fed’s Hammack: Fed should be neutral in policy stance

Beth Hammack, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Cleveland, in an interview on a public radio station on Thursday. She claimed that she sees a lot of uncertainty in the economic outlook and that the Fed should be more neutral in its policy stance given this uncertainty.

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Germany: Recovery risks rise after Middle East conflict – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Ralph Solveen notes that German industry orders rose 5% in March, with core orders up 5.1% and gains broadly spread across sectors, indicating an economic recovery was underway before the Middle East conflict.

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Canada: Sector risks under USMCA review – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) analysts highlight that Canada’s aggregate tariff burden still looks relatively low versus peers, but warns this advantage is eroding.

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United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change below forecasts (72B) in May 1: Actual (63B)

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United States Construction Spending (MoM): -0.2% (February) vs -0.3%

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United States Construction Spending (MoM) registered at 0.6% above expectations (0.2%) in March

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United States Construction Spending (MoM) up to 0.6% in February from previous -0.3%

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US: Initial Jobless Claims rose to 200K last week

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance increased to 200K for the week ending May 2.

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United States Unit Labor Costs down to 2.3% in 1Q from previous 4.4%

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United States Continuing Jobless Claims below forecasts (1.8M) in April 24: Actual (1.766M)

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United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average fell from previous 207.5K to 203.25K in May 1

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United States Initial Jobless Claims registered at 200K, below expectations (205K) in May 1

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EUR/PLN: Drifts lower as NBP on hold – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts note that the National Bank of Poland (NBP) kept its policy rate at 3.75% and markets expect no further changes through 2026. Governor Glapinski’s press conference is expected to be uneventful unless he sounds very hawkish.

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Mexico Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.31%) in April

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Mexico 12-Month Inflation registered at 4.45%, below expectations (4.5%) in April

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Mexico Headline Inflation below forecasts (0.25%) in April: Actual (0.2%)

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NOK: Norges Bank hikes as inflation stays sticky – Nomura

Nomura's research analysts report that the central bank of Norway, Norges Bank unexpectedly raised its policy rate by 25bp to 4.25% in May, citing frustration with sticky underlying inflation and a need to preserve credibility after earlier guidance.

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Fed’s Collins: Expect rates to be on hold for longer

Boston Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank President Susan Collins said during the late European trading session on Thursday that she sees the central bank holding interest rates at their current levels for longer. Collins added that she expects interest rate cuts to be the baseline scenario going ahead.

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CZK: CNB stance supports yields – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts highlight that the Czech National Bank (CNB) is expected to keep its policy rate at 3.50% despite a rise in headline inflation to 2.5% year-on-year in April. Governor Michl has emphasized maintaining positive real rates to support savings.

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USD/INR: Volatility curbed as RBI eyes dollar inflows – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is exploring measures to attract more US Dollar (USD) flows to support the Rupee and address the balance of payments gap.

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EUR/SEK: Rebound tests key moving average – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts note that the central bank of Sweden, Riksbank left rates on hold this morning at 1.75% and EUR/SEK has been rebounding from an interim low and is now challenging its 200-day moving average, which has capped the pair since last year.

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United States Challenger Job Cuts up to 83.687K in April from previous 60.62K

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Asian FX: Relief rally and differentiation theme – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong characterize recent moves in Asian FX as a relief rally driven by lower Oil and hopes of a US–Iran deal. They stress that any agreement and normalization of flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain uncertain.

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Spain 10-y Obligaciones Auction down to 3.392% from previous 3.435%

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Spain 3-y Bond Auction fell from previous 2.734% to 2.675%

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Singapore Foreign Reserves (MoM) climbed from previous 419.2B to 427.3B in April

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Forex Today: US Dollar retreats on US-Iran pecase hopes

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, May 7:

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France 10-y Bond Auction fell from previous 3.73% to 3.61%

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ECB’s Villeroy: Next move should be guided by the data, not the date

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau said in the European trading session on Thursday that the central bank should focus on the data and not the timing of any monetary policy adjustment

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