Notícias

Iran demands a ceasefire in Lebanon before talks

Iran's ‌parliament speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said on Friday that two previously agreed measures, a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of Iran's blocked assets, must be implemented before negotiations begin, according to Reuters.

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Canada: Wage strength tempers BoC cut hopes – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note that Canadian labour markets showed a modest rebound in March, with 14k jobs added and the unemployment rate steady at 6.7%.

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JPY: Neutral rate debate supports gradual gains – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur expects the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to deliver two further rate hikes in 2026, taking policy closer to a rising neutral rate and supporting a modest Japanese Yen appreciation versus Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) in the second half of the year.

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US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen at 47.6 in April

American consumer confidence deflated in early April, as households grew more pessimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.

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Fed: Patience maintained with two cuts still projected – TD Securities

Oscar Munoz and the TD Securities US macro team judge that, although core CPI surprised on the soft side and tariff pass-through moderated, it is too early for markets to extrapolate a dovish signal.

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BoK: Data driven path to possible July hike – ING

ING’s Senior Economist Min Joo Kang notes that the Bank of Korea kept its policy rate at 2.5% and stressed a data-dependent stance as inflation pressures rise and GDP growth projections weaken.

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US: Energy shock complicates Fed path – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner notes that U.S. inflation jumped to 3.3% in March, driven mainly by higher gasoline prices linked to the war in Iran, while core inflation remains moderate.

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United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index: 46.1 (April) vs previous 51.7

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United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations: 4.8% (April) vs 3.8%

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United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index registered at 47.6, below expectations (52) in April

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United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation increased to 3.4% in April from previous 3.2%

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United States Factory Orders (MoM) came in at 0%, above expectations (-0.2%) in February

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Canada: Labour outlook stabilizing with gradual improvement – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Nathan Janzen notes that Canadian labour market conditions steadied in March, with a modest employment gain and an unemployment rate holding at 6.7%.

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USD/JPY: Rebound capped by 159.60 with downside risk to 157.50 – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) economists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see USD/JPY edging higher in the near term after rebounding from oversold levels, but expects gains to be limited below 159.60.

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Euro: Hungary vote seen modestly supportive – Rabobank

Rabobank's Head of Macro Strategy Elwin de Groot argues that Hungary’s parliamentary election could have supportive implications for the Euro if Viktor Orbán loses power.

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NZD: Hawkish pricing seen as demanding – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has rallied on hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rhetoric and easing Oil risks, but warns markets may be overpricing tightening.

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Poland: Neutral NBP stance supports stable Zloty – ING

ING economists expect National Bank of Poland (NBP) rates to stay unchanged after April’s decision to hold the reference rate at 3.75%.

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Hungary: Election seen pivotal for EU trajectory – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team underlines that Sunday’s Hungarian election could be crucial for European Union politics.

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Canada: Unemployment Rate held steady at 6.7% in March

Statistics Canada reported on Friday that the Unemployment Rate helds steady at 6.7% in March, coming short of what markets were expecting.

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United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a up to 334.165 in March from previous 333.51

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United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) came in at 0.2%, below expectations (0.3%) in March

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United States Consumer Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0.9%) in March

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United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) registered at 2.6%, below expectations (2.7%) in March

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United States Consumer Price Index n.s.a (MoM) below forecasts (330.41) in March: Actual (330.21)

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United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) meets forecasts (3.3%) in March

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Canada Net Change in Employment came in at 14.1K, below expectations (15K) in March

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Canada Unemployment Rate below forecasts (6.8%) in March: Actual (6.7%)

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Canada Participation Rate remains unchanged at 64.9% in March

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India: Outlook stays subdued on external risks – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered Bank economists Saurav Anand and Anubhuti Sahay highlight a sharp slowdown in India’s new investment announcements in March, heavily affected by the Middle East conflict and sector-specific issues in renewable electricity and chemicals.

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Mexico Industrial Output (YoY) came in at -1.3%, below expectations (-0.7%) in February

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