Notícias

Israel UN Envoy: Lebanon ceasefire extension "not 100%"

Israel’s Ambassador to the United Nations (UN), Danny Danon, said in a CNN News interview on Friday that the Lebanon ceasefire extension "not 100%".

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Japan’s Katayama: Warns of decisive action on speculation

Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama warned that officials are in close contact around the clock with their US counterparts over speculative moves that are keeping the Japanese Yen (JPY) weak. Katayama confirmed that there are no plans to alter Japan's currency swap lines with the US.

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EUR/CAD remains below 1.1700 due to increased risk aversion

EUR/USD steadies after three days of losses, trading around 1.1690 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair remains flat as the US Dollar (USD) maintains its position as safe-haven demand increases amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the United States (US)–Iran conflict.

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Japan Corporate Service Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 2.7% to 3.1% in March

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Japan National CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) fell from previous 2.5% to 2.4% in March

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Japan National CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) in line with forecasts (1.8%) in March

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Japan National Consumer Price Index (YoY): 1.5% (March) vs 1.3%

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United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence came in at -25 below forecasts (-24) in April

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USD/PHP: BSP hike overshadowed by Oil shock – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that USD/PHP is trading just below its record high as higher crude Oil prices overshadow a hawkish Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) move.

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USD/IDR: BI turns more hawkish to steady Rupiah – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts led by Charlie Lay note that Bank Indonesia (BI) kept the BI Rate at 4.75% for a seventh meeting but shifted to a more hawkish stance to support the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR).

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ASEAN FX: External gaps seen manageable – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that higher energy prices and gas market stress have not yet pushed key ASEAN economies into unsustainable external deficits.

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Hong Kong: Geopolitics weighs on outlook – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Tommy Wu and Hunter Chan report that the Hong Kong SME Leading Business Index fell to 43.3 in Q2, reflecting weaker sentiment linked to higher Oil prices and Middle East tensions.

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South Korea: Growth surge and BoK hike risks – ING

ING’s Senior Economist Min Joo Kang highlights that South Korea’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) jumped 1.7% QoQ in 1Q26 on strong chip exports and AI-related investment, prompting an upgrade of the 2026 GDP forecast to 2.8% YoY.

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PHP: BSP tightening bias supports currency – UOB

UOB economists Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting highlight that the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has started a new tightening cycle, lifting the Target Reverse Repurchase (RRP) rate to 4.50% and signalling further hikes.

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Asia FX: War Powers deadline drives cautious consolidation – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee highlights that currency markets are consolidating as the April 28 War Powers Resolution deadline approaches, with USD/CNY flattening after an earlier relief rally.

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Uncertainty extends as Iran denies Ghalibaf resigned to negotiations team

Headlines indicating that Iranian Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has resigned from the negotiating team, according to Israel N12 News, spurred risk aversion and sent Crude Oil prices sharply up in the American session on Thursday.

Canada: USMCA tensions raise trade risk – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every flags growing trade frictions between the United States (US) and Canada ahead of USMCA (United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement) talks.

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Iran speaker Ghalibaf quits talks team, markets turn risk-off

 The Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf has resigned from the negotiating team, according to Israel’s N12 News.

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LatAm FX: Positioning risks after strong gains – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that Latin American (LatAm) currencies have been the standout Emerging Markets (EM) FX performers, with holdings remaining strong throughout the conflict and supported by attractive nominal and real rates.

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United States 4-Week Bill Auction unchanged at 3.595%

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United States Kansas Fed Manufacturing Activity dipped from previous 11 to 10 in April

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ECB: Data-dependent path as Iran shock unfolds – Nomura

Nomura analysts expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the depo rate at 2.00% at the 30 April meeting and to maintain this level through Q4 2027.

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United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change above forecasts (96B) in April 17: Actual (103B)

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Euro area: Stagflation risks rise with price surge – Nomura

Nomura analysts note that April Euro area PMIs point to stagflation risks as activity softens while price indices jump to highs last seen in 2022/23.

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United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI registered at 54 above expectations (52.5) in April

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United States S&P Global Composite PMI climbed from previous 50.3 to 52 in April

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United States S&P Global Services PMI registered at 51.3 above expectations (50) in April

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NOK: April outperformance and downside risks for EUR/NOK – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that the Norwegian Krone (NOK) has rallied sharply versus both US Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) in April, supported by resilient US equities and higher Oil prices.

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USD/CAD: Limited upside within bearish setup – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is holding relatively firm against a stronger US Dollar (USD), helped by resilient risk sentiment and record S&P 500 levels.

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Russia Central Bank Reserves $ climbed from previous $774.8B to $779.5B

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