MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that softer US inflation data has weakened the Dollar and lowered Fed rate hike expectations, but USD/THB has still broken above 33.50.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD downside momentum has intensified after a sharp intraday swing, with firm support highlighted at 1.2875 and 1.2860.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that USD/CNY has extended its decline on softer United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), with firmer People's Bank of China (PBoC) fixings validating gradual RMB appreciation.
Standard Chartered analysts Christopher Graham and Carol Liao discuss how the European Union is seeking to rebalance its trade relationship with China without shutting the door on engagement.
ING’s Carsten Brzeski argues that the European Central Bank is likely to keep rates unchanged next week but a surprise hike cannot be ruled out. He notes that renewed Middle East tensions and rising Oil prices have restored the macro backdrop seen before the June meeting.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that United Kingdom (UK) May Gross Domestic Product (GDP) slightly beat expectations, driven by services, but underlying details disappointed as production and construction contracted and growth relied on one subsector.
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen says renewed US-Iran hostilities have shifted Eurozone inflation risks upward. June’s softer-than-expected flash estimate may buy the ECB time in July, but the earlier decline in energy prices has reversed, pointing to firmer inflation readings ahead.
TD Securities reports United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 0.1% month-on-month in May, matching their forecast and beating the market’s flat expectation. Three‑month growth remains strong at 0.7%, with services and manufacturing outperforming.
Societe Generale’s Kiyong Seong reviews the Bank of Korea’s 25bp hike to 2.75%, noting a unanimously hawkish Monetary Policy Committee. The July statement is assessed as more hawkish than May, and Governor Shin’s comments keep the option of a consecutive hike at the 27 August meeting open.
“BNY’s Geoff Yu says tougher Western action against Chinese automakers could add pressure on Europe’s legacy manufacturers.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that hopes of a fiscally conservative Chancellor under incoming United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister Burnham have supported the British Pound (GBP) and gilts.
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 208K for the week ending July 11.
Retail Sales in the United States (US) rose by 0.2% on a monthly basis in June to $768.6 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This print followed the 1% increase recorded in May and came in line with the market expectation. On a yearly basis, Retail Sales were up 6.7%.
TD Securities notes the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its policy rate at 2.25% and softened guidance by removing references to both rate-cut risks and consecutive hikes. Markets interpreted the statement as mildly dovish, but prior moves limited volatility.