Prashant Newnaha at TD Securities notes that the RBA’s August minutes were overall less hawkish than June, but still emphasized upside inflation risks and the possibility of preemptive tightening.

ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele highlights that EUR/PLN has risen as interest rate expectations diverge between the Eurozone and Poland.

Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao and Charlie Lay underscore that Taiwan’s industrial production and exports are surging on AI and high-performance computing demand. July manufacturing output and export orders point to Q3 GDP growth around 12–12.5% year-on-year, after 12.9% in Q2.

TD Securities’ Robert Both analyzes the impact of new Section 338 US tariffs and Canada’s retaliation on the Canadian economy. The report estimates the combined measures will trim about 0.3 percentage points from GDP by 2027, with growth effects concentrated in late 2026.

Deutsche Bank expects Germany’s stronger-than-expected H1 2026 GDP performance to lift annual growth closer to 1% from the previous 0.5% forecast. Near-term transport headwinds should remain contained as Rhine water levels recover, although Q3 growth could temporarily stall.

TradingKey - O núcleo da inflação nos EUA em julho veio em linha com as expectativas do mercado, mas o crescimento do PCE cheio ficou ligeiramente acima das projeções. Combinado com a estagnação dos g

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.

Commerzbank FX analyst Michael Pfister argues that the Swiss Franc (CHF) will stay under pressure through 2026 as markets gradually price out expectations of a Swiss National Bank (SNB) rate hike.

ING’s Chris Turner notes that lower Oil prices and the recent intervention by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have pushed long-end US yields 10–15bp lower, reducing FX and equities volatility.

TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha highlights that Australia’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI delivered a strong inflation impulse, with headline and trimmed mean measures beating consensus and remaining uncomfortably high.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD extended its consolidation slightly higher, closing at 0.7165 as short-term momentum improves.

ING’s Chris Turner reports that the National Bank of Hungary cut its policy rate by 25bp to 5.50%, with Chief Economist Peter Virovacz seeing a 4.75% terminal rate.

EUR/CAD extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around 1.6180 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross gains ground as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) faces headwinds due to falling crude oil prices.

Chris Turner at ING highlights that Eurozone data continue to surprise positively and ECB’s Isabel Schnabel now sees growth risks possibly to the upside.

The United States (US) Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is expected to publish the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for July on Wednesday, at 12:30 GMT. 

Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid team, including Peter Sidorov and Jim Reid, note that Brent Oil has reversed more than half of its recent 13% rally as Middle East de-escalation headlines weigh on energy markets.

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports that Hungary’s central bank, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB), cut its base rate to 5.50% but avoided pre-committing to further easing, stressing that September’s Inflation Report will guide policy. The bank will monitor global rate hikes, could limit the scope.

According to sources, the European Central Bank (ECB) is all set to hike its key policy rates at the September policy meeting, RTE reported. Sources also said that the central bank has no appetite to raise interest rates again after a hike next month.

Deutsche Bank notes that Nvidia’s earnings have become a major macro catalyst, although the impact of positive surprises has faded in recent quarters.

Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank notes that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is in wait-and-see mode after three rate hikes, assessing how inflation and the labor market evolve. July Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to 3.5% but missed expectations, with trimmed-mean inflation stuck at 3.6%.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report EUR/USD broke out of its recent tight range, closing slightly higher near 1.1675 as tentative upside momentum emerges.

European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said that inflation is unlikely to return to target over the medium term, and therefore further tightening will be necessary, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday. 

Asian stock markets reflect broader strength on Wednesday, as oil prices have fallen further on renewed hopes of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage for almost 20% of global energy supply, reopening.

USD/IDR remains stronger for the second successive day, trading around 17,760 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair continues to hold its ground while the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) faces ongoing pressure from a cautious market sentiment and persistent external headwinds.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.00 in the early European trading hours on Wednesday.

Japan's Economy Minister Minoru Kiuchi said on Wednesday that he expects consumer prices to gradually rise amid the Middle East situation.

AUD/JPY gains ground for the second consecutive day, trading around 114.20 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

According to August 17-24 survey in a Reuters poll, 57% of economists expected the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to raise its interest rate in September, a sharp turnaround from a July poll.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its losses for the third consecutive day, trading around $80.10 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

Canada said that it will implement 50% retaliatory tariffs on $20bn worth of US goods, following through on Prime Minister Mark Carney’s vow to match US President Donald Trump’s duties “dollar for dollar,” the Guardian reported.