Notícias

Swiss Franc: Policy rate seen on hold – ING

ING economist Charlotte de Montpellier expects the Swiss National Bank to keep its policy rate at 0% next Thursday and over the coming quarters, as Swiss growth has surprised on the upside but inflation remains subdued.

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Bank of Canada: Rate path risks tilt earlier – RBC

Nathan Janzen at Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) notes that markets are focused on whether the Bank of Canada (BoC) will raise rates in October after the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) move.

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European Central Bank: Quarterly hikes still baseline – Nordea

Nordea’s team sees the European Central Bank delivering two more 25bp rate hikes, in December and March 2027, despite more aggressive market pricing.

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British Pound: QT overhaul supports Gilt curve and Pound – MUFG

Derek Halpenny at MUFG highlights that the Bank of England left rates unchanged, but signals suggest a hike is likely in November as most of the majority voting bloc see tightening as needed.

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European Central Bank: One more hike then pause – Rabobank

Rabobank strategists Bas van Geffen and Elwin de Groot expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise the deposit facility rate by 25bp to 2.75% in December, driven by higher energy price forecasts.

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Federal Reserve: Further hikes supported by resilient economy – Nordea

Nordea strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to deliver two additional rate hikes, arguing that resilient United States (US) growth, persistent inflation and continued labour-market strength suggest monetary policy is not yet sufficiently restrictive.

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Mexico Private Spending (YoY) declined to 2.1% in 2Q from previous 2.2%

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Mexico Private Spending (QoQ) up to 0.9% in 2Q from previous -0.8%

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US Dollar: Oil drives Dollar upside risks – ING

ING strategist Francesco Pesole notes that moderating Oil prices have slightly cooled the Dollar’s post-FOMC momentum, but still sees upside risks for the Dollar after the Federal Reserve’s hawkish message.

British Pound: BoE holds but inflation risks linger – OCBC

OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes that the Bank of England (BoE) kept Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6–3 vote while highlighting a more challenging inflation backdrop, with Consumer Price Index (CPI) seen near 3.75% in Q4 and above 4% in early 2027.

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Bank of Japan: Hawkish path with FX doubts – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha notes the Bank of Japan raised its cash rate by 25bps to 1.25%, in line with market expectations, and kept a hawkish framework that points to further hikes, with the next move seen in December.

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ECB’s Lagarde: We'll decide on rates meeting by meeting

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said during the European trading session on Friday that the decision on interest rates by the central bank will be meeting by meeting.

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Czech Koruna: CNB pause before potential November hike – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that the Czech National Bank (CNB) kept its policy rate at 3.75% with a dovish tone versus market pricing, but ING economists now expect a hike in November due to higher inflation forecasts and elevated global energy prices.

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Equities: Global rally extends with tech leadership – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank highlights a broad-based rebound in global equities following a drop in Oil prices and supportive US data. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ led gains in US stocks, while the STOXX 600 advanced in Europe and major Asian indices, including the Nikkei and KOSPI, moved higher.

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Euro: Dollar weakness delayed as Fed stays hawkish – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that EUR/USD stabilized after the Federal Reserve’s hawkish surprise, with markets now fully pricing another Fed rate hike in December and no cuts until late next year.

Equities: Strong rebound supported by earnings growth – Danske Bank

Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team reports a strong rebound in global equities, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Stoxx 600 and Kospi all posting solid gains despite a recent Fed hike and further tightening priced.

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United Kingdom Retail Sales unexpectedly rise 0.5% MoM in August vs. -0.2% estimates

Retail Sales, a key measure of consumer spending, in the United Kingdom (UK) rises 0.5% month-over-month (MoM) in August after declining at a similar pace in July, the latest data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Friday.

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Indonesian Rupiah gains ground as crude oil prices retreat

USD/IDR halts its six-day winning streak, trading around 17,780 during Asian hours on Friday. The currency pair continues to hold its losses, with the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) drawing strength from a pullback in crude oil prices.

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Swiss Franc gains ground as easing US Yields pressures Greenback

USD/CHF extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 0.8230 during Asian hours on Friday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) faced challenges from falling oil prices, which helped ease broader inflation concerns.

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Euro gains momentum against Japanese Yen as BoJ aligns on rate hikes

EUR/JPY rises after registering minor losses in the previous day, trading around 180.20 during Asian hours on Friday. The currency cross advanced as the Japanese Yen (JPY) struggled following the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) latest interest rate decision.

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Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision meets forecasts (1.25%)

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WTI drops as Middle East supply fears ease

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around $96.40 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.

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Iran’s IRGC claims attack on Togolese oil tanker for 'illegal transit' in Strait of Hormuz 

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on Thursday that a Togo-flagged oil ‌tanker was struck ‌while attempting to make an “illegal passage” through the Strait of ‌Hormuz, Arab news reported. 

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RBA's Bullock: At August board meeting, risks to outlook were skewed to the upside

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock said on Friday that risks to outlook were skewed to the upside at August board meeting.

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1.9%: Japan’s National CPI steadies in August

Japan’s National Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed by 1.9% YoY in August, compared to the previous reading of 1.9%, according to the latest data released by the Japan Statistics Bureau on Friday.

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South Korea Producer Price Index Growth (YoY): 7.9% (August) vs 7.7%

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South Korea Producer Price Index Growth (MoM) increased to 0.2% in August from previous -0.4%

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Singapore Dollar: Strong Dollar keeps pair supported – OCBC

OCBC strategist Christopher Wong highlights that Singapore Dollar (SGD) remains largely driven by the broader Dollar story after the FOMC, given its high sensitivity to USD moves.

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Thai Baht: Electronics boom offers limited FX support – MUFG

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan remains cautious on the Thai Baht, keeping the USD/THB forecast at 34.00 by year-end.

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Singapore Dollar: Bearish bias against US Dollar - UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD surged to 1.2784 and closed at 1.2783, its largest one-day gain in three months, with strong momentum despite overbought conditions.

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