Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second meeting, slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope and stressing the move was smaller than April’s.

ING’s James Smith expects the Bank of England to keep rates on hold on 30 July and sees a prolonged pause extending through 2026. New forecasts are likely to show UK inflation peaking near 3%, below the 4% level seen as risky.

BNP Paribas strategists expect United Kingdom (UK) growth to slow to 1% in 2026 from 1.3% in 2025, with renewed inflation pressures from the war in Iran pushing inflation to 3.2%.

Societe Generale strategists argue July’s global fixed income selloff looks stretched, especially in Western Europe where 2-year and 10-year yields have risen about 30bp in four weeks.

TradingKey - O Federal Reserve realizará sua reunião de política monetária de 28 a 29 de julho (horário do Leste) e anunciará sua decisão sobre a taxa de juros às 14h do dia 29 de julho, seguida por u

DBS Group Research economists Taimur Baig and Chang Wei Liang argue that sticky United States (US) inflation keeps pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed), but soft consumption, weak investment and fading labour market resilience justify a pause in Fed Funds rate hikes.

New orders for manufactured Durable Goods in the United States (US) rose by $1.1 billion, or 0.3%, to $334.8 billion in June, the US Census Bureau announced on Monday. This reading followed a 4% decline recorded in May and fell short of the market expectation for an increase of 1.6%.

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects upcoming Czech and Hungarian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to confirm improving growth momentum, while Polish inflation should re-accelerate on higher fuel prices.

United States Durable Goods Orders ex Defense increased to 0.3% in June from previous -4.6%

United States Durable Goods Orders below forecasts (1.6%) in June: Actual (0.3%)

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports the Russian central bank cut its key rate to 14.0% despite raising its 2026 inflation forecast and projecting stagflationary macro conditions.

UOB strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and maintain a base case of an extended pause through 2026, with easing only in 2Q and 4Q 2027 once transitory inflation fades.

Mexico Trade Balance, $ increased to $4.09B in June from previous $2.259B

Mexico Trade Balance s/a, $ climbed from previous $0.638B to $3.843B in June

ING’s Francesco Pesole expects the Bank of England (BoE) to leave rates unchanged this week, with a 7–2 vote remaining the base case, although Catherine Mann could join Huw Pill and Megan Greene in supporting a rate hike.

Japan Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi said during the European trading session on Monday that the economy needs to exit from fiscal tightness.

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent has retreated sharply, briefly dropping below US$90/bbl as the US and Iran paused further strikes.

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that markets have repriced the risk of a July Fed hike higher after Oil-driven inflation worries, but still expect no move.

Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said during the European trading session on Monday that mediation efforts by Gulf countries towards the United States (US)-Iran diplomatic solution remain active, but Tehran is not having direct talks with Washington.

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that EUR/USD has rebounded above 1.140 on lower Oil prices but argues the move looks optimistic without a clear de-escalation in geopolitical tensions.

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS), Peter Kazimir, seems to be leaning towards a hawkish monetary policy outlook.

The German IFO Institute Business Climate Index improves to 86.6 in July, higher than 86.1 estimates and the June’s reading of 85.7, revised higher from 85.6.

Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 27:

The remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of Croatia's central bank, Ante Žigman, in an interview with Jutarnji List, released during the European trading session on Monday, signal that the central bank will remain vigilant about the intensity and duration of

Deutsche Bank’s strategists note that global equities delivered a mixed performance, with the S&P 500 posting a second consecutive weekly decline even as semiconductor shares recovered. European and some Asian markets fared better, while US futures moved higher at the start of the week.

Gold prices rose in India on Monday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

USD/IDR has recovered its losses from the previous trading day, hovering around 18,050 during the Asian hours on Monday.

Japan Corporate Service Price Index (YoY): 3.2% (June) vs previous 3.3%

USD/JPY remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 163.60 during the Asian hours on Monday.

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.