Notícias

Japan Producer Price Index (YoY) above forecasts (3%) in April: Actual (4.9%)

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Japan Producer Price Index (MoM) came in at 2.3%, above expectations (0.7%) in April

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US President Donald Trump hopes US-China relationship ‘will be better than ever before’

US President Donald Trump said that he hoped the relationship between the US and China would be "stronger and better than ever before" ahead of a second day of talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, the Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday.

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Fed’s Barr: Easing liquidity regulations to reduce Fed balance sheet not advisable

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michael Barr said that lowering liquidity rules to get the central bank’s balance sheet smaller is a bad idea and could undermine the safety of the financial ‌system, Reuters reported on Thursday.

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New Zealand Business NZ PMI declined to 50.5 in April from previous 53.2

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Fed Williams: Job market stabilizes as inflation uncertainty looms

John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) of New York, spoke on Thursday and said that the job market has stabilized, acknowledging that he is not surprised to see near-term inflation expectations rise.

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EU-China trade: Pragmatic stance and targeted risks – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Christopher Graham and Carol Liao discuss the EU’s widening trade deficit with China, highlighting the autos sector as a key example of the imbalance.

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South Korea Import Price Growth (YoY) climbed from previous 18.4% to 20.2% in April

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South Korea Export Price Growth (YoY) rose from previous 28.7% to 40.8% in April

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Argentina Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 2.6% above expectations (2.5%) in April

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USD/CNH: Decline extends toward 6.77–6.69 targets – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists observe that USD/CNH has resumed its decline after repeated failures at the 50-DMA, which has capped rebounds since last year.

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Chinese Yuan: Earnings support and limited FX risk – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that stronger Chinese industrial profits and reflation allow firms to absorb modest Chinese Yuan (CNY) appreciation without undermining exporters.

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Fed: Holding pattern extends into 2027 – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and team revise their Fed outlook, now projecting no rate cuts in 2026 as persistent inflation pressures from the Iran conflict, elevated Oil and strained supply chains delay disinflation.

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China: US talks, yuan push and geopolitics – Rabobank

Rabobank's Global Strategist Michael Every outlines China’s central role in current geopolitical and financial dynamics. Every covers Trump’s visit to Beijing and potential outcomes from US-China talks, questions over a possible Grand Bargain, and China’s leverage over Iran.

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BoE’s Pill: Cannot say now if rate rise would only be temporary

Bank of England (BoE) MPC member, Huw Pill, said that he does not expect second-round effects to be as strong as in 2022, and also that the second-round effects are behavioral, affected by what the BoE does next. He spoke at an event hosted by NatWest on Thursday.

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United States 4-Week Bill Auction: 3.605% vs previous 3.61%

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US: Higher inflation risks delay Fed easing – UOB

UOB’s Senior Economist Alvin Liew notes that United States (US) inflation pressures have broadened beyond energy, with April Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) both reaccelerating and core measures drifting further above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

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Fed’s Schmid: Continued inflation is the most pressing risk to the economy

Jeffrey Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Kansas City, said that Continued inflation is the most pressing risk to the economy.

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United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change meets forecasts (85B) in May 8

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United States Business Inventories registered at 0.9% above expectations (0.8%) in March

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Fed: Extended pause before cautious easing – UOB

UOB’s Senior Economist Alvin Liew revises its Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook following hotter United States (US) inflation data.

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Norwegian Krone: Further upside potential versus SEK – Rabobank

Rabobank’s FX Strategy team notes that NOK/SEK has gained around 11% year-to-date as the Norwegian central bank turned more hawkish while the Riksbank stayed on hold. They highlight sticky inflation and Norway’s energy-exporter status as supportive for the Norwegian Krone.

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Russia Foreign Trade came in at $13.966B, above forecasts ($11.8B) in March

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British Pound: Volatility focus shifts to politics – DBS

DBS Bank’s Philip Wee reviews recent FX volatility through the Pound, noting that GBP has been more resilient than EUR and CHF since Operation Epic Fury, helped by the UK’s lower exposure to the energy shock and higher policy rates.

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US: Initial Jobless Claims rose to 211K last week

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance increased to 211K for the week ending May 9.

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US Retail Sales rise 0.5% in April as expected

Retail Sales in the United States (US) rose by 0.5% on a monthly basis in April to $757.1 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This reading followed the 1.6% increase (revised from 1.7%) recorded in March and came in line with the market expectation.

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United States Import Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 2.1% to 4.2% in April

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United States Continuing Jobless Claims below expectations (1.79M) in May 1: Actual (1.782M)

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United States Export Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 5.6% to 8.8% in April

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United States Retail Sales (YoY) up to 4.9% in April from previous 4%

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