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Forex Today: US Dollar extends slide as softer US data and Iran optimism reshape markets

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell toward the 98.10 region, reaching multi-week lows as softer inflation data and improving global sentiment led to a broad sell-off of the Greenback. Declining Oil prices and easing yields further contributed to the downward pressure.

Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs as soft PPI, Iran ceasefire hopes lift sentiment

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained around 300 points, or 0.6%, trading near 48,500. The S&P 500 rose 1.1% while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.8%, led by a broad rally in technology names.

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USD: Rebound fades with renewed selling – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes that the US Dollar index has quickly surrendered its early-week rebound, returning close to pre‑conflict levels as optimism grows over further US–Iran talks and Middle East deescalation.

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USD: De-escalation trade caps rebound – ING

ING analysts note that the Dollar’s rebound has faded as markets price a de-escalation in US‑Iran tensions and falling Oil prices.

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USD: Range trading view holds – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that global risk sentiment has improved as US–Iran diplomacy keeps a ceasefire in place, pushing Brent lower and the US Dollar (USD) softer.

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USD: Inflation data and energy pressures – Rabobank

Rabobank strategists note that US stocks have risen even as the Hormuz crisis threatens higher energy costs.

Dow Jones futures gain as oil eases inflation, US-Iran talks eyed

Dow Jones futures rise 0.12% to near 48,500 during European hours on Tuesday, ahead of the regular opening in the United States (US). Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also advance 0.16% and 0.28% to near 6,930 and 25,600, respectively, at the time of writing.

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S&P 500: Optimism returns with deal hopes – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts report that the S&P 500 has recovered above its pre‑strike level as markets price a temporary conflict and potential US–Iran talks.

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US Dollar Index trades vulnerably near 98.40 on hopes of US-Iran second round of talks

The US Dollar (USD) holds onto its Monday’s losses amid optimism that the United States (US) and Iran are still in favor of a permanent ceasefire despite the absence of a breakthrough in the first round of talks in Pakistan during the weekend.

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US Vice President Vance: No deal yet, but framework for grand deal exists

US Vice President JD Vance, speaking in an interview on Fox News, struck a cautiously optimistic tone on negotiations with Iran and suggested that meaningful progress has been made even as talks have yet to deliver a breakthrough.

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Forex Today: US Dollar falls even as failed talks and Hormuz shutdown spark risk-off wave

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell on Monday, as markets digest headlines of failed Iran-United States (US) peace talks over the weekend and reports that US President Donald Trump moved the US Navy to close the Strait of Hormuz, a development that would typically fuel a strong safe-haven bid for the Gre

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Dow Jones Industrial Average edges lower as Goldman drags, Crude Oil climbs back over $100

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) edged lower on Monday, slipping around 50 points to trade near 47,900 after recovering from a much steeper drop at the open. The S&P 500 rose 0.2% to trade above 6,800, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.6% to push above 23,000.

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USD: Blockade supports cautious rebound – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the US Dollar (USD) is firmer after President Trump announced a blockade of Iranian ports, with US Dollar Index (DXY) off its Asian highs and still seen within a broader bearish setup.

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USD: Safe haven flows and de-dollarisation debate – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley observes that speculators have been rebuilding long Dollar positions as the US currency acts as the preferred safe haven during the Middle East conflict.

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USD: Fed patience and Iran risks shape outlook – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir argue that US macro dynamics and Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations will be driven by developments in Iran, recent inflation data and incoming activity indicators.

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USD: Gradual reserve erosion and sanctions-driven shifts – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen argues that, despite Iran’s Renminbi toll plans and geopolitical tensions, the US Dollar (USD) remains structurally dominant in trade and reserves.

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DXY: Range view holds after Hormuz shock – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has pushed Brent Oil back above $100 and lifted the US Dollar (USD) as risk aversion returns.

US Dollar Index rebounds to 99.00 as oil price recovery prompts hawkish Fed risks

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.25% higher to near 99.00 during the European trading session on Monday.

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S&P 500: Earnings optimism versus conflict shock – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s strategists highlight that S&P 500 futures are lower as the Iran conflict escalates and energy prices jump, pressuring global risk sentiment.

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US Dollar Index hovers around 99.00 after paring recent gains

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining in the positive territory after paring daily gains and trading around 99.00 during the Asian hours on Monday.

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Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar weakens as risk flows lift major pairs

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell toward the 98.60 price region as markets digest the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which confirmed that inflation remains stubbornly elevated, largely driven by energy prices amid war in the Middle East.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average gives back recent gains as ceasefire doubts resurface

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped around 300 points on Friday, or roughly 0.6%, retreating from the 48,000 handle after two sessions of ceasefire-fueled gains.

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DXY: Shipping risk, inflation path and Fed easing – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that global markets are cautious ahead of US-Iran ceasefire talks, with Brent, equities and bonds reacting while the Dollar stabilizes.

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USD: Inflation focus into CPI release – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team highlights that United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the key event, with core inflation expected to rise 0.27% m/m and headline CPI to jump 0.90% m/m as higher Oil prices feed through.

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USD: Inflation and peace risks shape Dollar – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that the US Dollar Index remains just below 99.0, with further downside seen if a permanent Middle East peace deal is agreed and Strait of Hormuz flows resume.

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US Dollar Index holds gains near 99.00 ahead of CPI data

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is halting its four-day losing streak and trading around 98.90 during the Asian hours on Friday.

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Forex Today: US yields drop as labor cracks offset inflation

The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to the 98.80 price region after the United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report confirmed that inflation remains sticky, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious stance.

Dow Jones Industrial Average extends ceasefire rally as Netanyahu opens Lebanon talks

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed around 300 points on Thursday, or roughly 0.7%, extending a two-day rally that has seen the index recover sharply from its war-era lows.

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Israel Signals Direct Talks With Lebanon on Hezbollah Disarmament

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced Thursday that he has ordered the start of direct negotiations with Lebanon "as soon as possible," with talks expected to center on disarming Hezbollah and establishing a formal peace between the two nations.

USD: Dual Fed risks and ceasefire volatility – ING

ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that the US Dollar (USD) has stabilised after Iran said the ceasefire was violated, but still see scope for renewed weakness.

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