BNY strategist Geoff Yu argues that rising European real yields are increasingly offsetting traditional support for the Dollar from higher US real rates. He notes that the spread between US and European real rates has stayed tight, limiting further Dollar upside.

Dow Jones futures decline 0.39% below 46,550 during European hours, ahead of the United States (US) regular market open on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures fall 0.40% and 0.44% to near 6,610 and 24,250, respectively, at the time of writing.

Markets were driven by a shift in geopolitical sentiment as reports of potential ceasefire talks initially eased tensions. However, uncertainty quickly resurfaced after Iran signaled reluctance to engage with the United States, highlighting fragile diplomatic progress and keeping markets on edge.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that global risk sentiment has improved as markets position for a potential conflict resolution involving Iran, with DXY consolidating below 100.00.

ING’s Chris Turner argues it is premature to expect a sustained Dollar sell-off as Middle East tensions keep energy prices elevated and support safe-haven demand.

Dow Jones futures inch higher 0.7% to near 46,750 during European hours, ahead of the United States (US) regular market open on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures gains 0.6% and 0.63% to near 6,650 and 24,360, respectively, at the time of writing.

TD Securities strategists argue that US Dollar upside should persist while global risk premia stay elevated, even though their longer-term 2026 view remains bearish.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 99.30 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

The US Dollar Index rose about 0.3% on Tuesday, recovering to around 99.40 after Monday's sharp sell-off to a near two-week low.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out a modest gain on Tuesday, adding around 40 points after a volatile premarket session, as markets struggled to build on Monday's sharp rebound. The S&P 500 dipped 0.1% while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.5%, weighed down by weakness in tech names.

Deutsche Bank’s Mallika Sachdeva argues that the Iran conflict could test the foundations of the petrodollar regime and, by extension, the Dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency.

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar remains under pressure after a sharp sell-off linked to de-escalation in the Middle East. The Dollar index again failed to clear 100.00 and retreated toward 98.88.

Dow Jones futures inch higher 0.9% to above 46,550 during European hours on Tuesday, ahead of the US cash market open. Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures gains 0.14% and 0.23% to near 6,650 and 24,460, respectively, at the time of writing.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, recovers its recent losses from the previous day and is trading around 99.40 during the early European hours on Tuesday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, regains positive traction following the previous day's downfall to a nearly two-week low and climbs to the 99.35 area during the Asian session on Tuesday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) swung wildly on Monday, briefly pushing above the 100.00 level to a session high near 100.15 on early safe-haven demand before reversing sharply to settle around 99.12, down roughly 0.5% on the day.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged more than 600 points on Monday, climbing roughly 1.5% to recapture the 46,000 handle as investors bet that the worst of the Iran crisis may be nearing an end.

DBS Group Research economist Philip Weeargues that although risk aversion from the Iran conflict usually supports the Dollar, this time the USD’s haven appeal may prove short-lived. He points to a Fed pause versus G10 rate hikes and pressure on US Treasuries from rising fiscal concerns.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.65 during the early European trading hours on Monday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, kicks off the new week on a positive note, though it lacks follow-through and remains below Friday's swing high. The index currently trades around the 99.65 region, up 0.15% for the day.

The US Dollar (USD)i weakened this week, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipping back below 100.00 to 99.60 on Friday after a surge in the middle of the week driven by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to hold rates in the 3.50%-3.75% range.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled around 257 points, or 0.6%, on Friday as all three major US indices tracked toward a fourth consecutive losing week. The S&P 500 fell 0.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a decline of 1.2%.

Citing officials, the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that the Pentagon is sending roughly "2,200 to 2,500 Marines from the California-based USS Boxer amphibious ready group and 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit," to the Middle East, alongside three warships.

Scotiabank’s global FX strategy team reports broad Dollar strength as G10 performance realigns with early US/Iran conflict patterns. They stress fragile risk sentiment as markets reassess prolonged conflict risks, central bank paths and violent yield repricing.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that recent political comments briefly steadied risk sentiment, but renewed risk aversion has lifted the Dollar, Oil and bond yields while pressuring equities. With no key data due, focus is on Fed speakers.

ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that the Dollar has weakened as hawkish shifts by the ECB and BoE overshadow Jerome Powell’s recent comments.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.40 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The DXY edges higher after a hawkish hold by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).  

The Dow Jones Industrial Average extended losses on Thursday, falling below 46,000 as a renewed spike in Crude Oil prices deepened concerns about stagflation in the US economy.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad highlights that an escalating Iran war-driven energy shock, combined with a restrictive Federal Reserve and tightening bias at other central banks, is pressuring risk assets and supporting the Dollar.

Dow Jones and S&P 500 futures are steady around 46,530 and 6,670, respectively, during European hours on Thursday, ahead of the US cash market open. Meanwhile, Nasdaq 100 futures edge lower by 0.17% to hover near 24,600 at the time of writing.