Notícias

USD: Blockade supports cautious rebound – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the US Dollar (USD) is firmer after President Trump announced a blockade of Iranian ports, with US Dollar Index (DXY) off its Asian highs and still seen within a broader bearish setup.

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USD: Safe haven flows and de-dollarisation debate – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley observes that speculators have been rebuilding long Dollar positions as the US currency acts as the preferred safe haven during the Middle East conflict.

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USD: Fed patience and Iran risks shape outlook – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir argue that US macro dynamics and Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations will be driven by developments in Iran, recent inflation data and incoming activity indicators.

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USD: Gradual reserve erosion and sanctions-driven shifts – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen argues that, despite Iran’s Renminbi toll plans and geopolitical tensions, the US Dollar (USD) remains structurally dominant in trade and reserves.

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DXY: Range view holds after Hormuz shock – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has pushed Brent Oil back above $100 and lifted the US Dollar (USD) as risk aversion returns.

US Dollar Index rebounds to 99.00 as oil price recovery prompts hawkish Fed risks

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.25% higher to near 99.00 during the European trading session on Monday.

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S&P 500: Earnings optimism versus conflict shock – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s strategists highlight that S&P 500 futures are lower as the Iran conflict escalates and energy prices jump, pressuring global risk sentiment.

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US Dollar Index hovers around 99.00 after paring recent gains

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining in the positive territory after paring daily gains and trading around 99.00 during the Asian hours on Monday.

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Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar weakens as risk flows lift major pairs

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell toward the 98.60 price region as markets digest the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which confirmed that inflation remains stubbornly elevated, largely driven by energy prices amid war in the Middle East.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average gives back recent gains as ceasefire doubts resurface

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped around 300 points on Friday, or roughly 0.6%, retreating from the 48,000 handle after two sessions of ceasefire-fueled gains.

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DXY: Shipping risk, inflation path and Fed easing – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that global markets are cautious ahead of US-Iran ceasefire talks, with Brent, equities and bonds reacting while the Dollar stabilizes.

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USD: Inflation focus into CPI release – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team highlights that United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the key event, with core inflation expected to rise 0.27% m/m and headline CPI to jump 0.90% m/m as higher Oil prices feed through.

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USD: Inflation and peace risks shape Dollar – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that the US Dollar Index remains just below 99.0, with further downside seen if a permanent Middle East peace deal is agreed and Strait of Hormuz flows resume.

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US Dollar Index holds gains near 99.00 ahead of CPI data

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is halting its four-day losing streak and trading around 98.90 during the Asian hours on Friday.

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Forex Today: US yields drop as labor cracks offset inflation

The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to the 98.80 price region after the United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report confirmed that inflation remains sticky, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious stance.

Dow Jones Industrial Average extends ceasefire rally as Netanyahu opens Lebanon talks

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed around 300 points on Thursday, or roughly 0.7%, extending a two-day rally that has seen the index recover sharply from its war-era lows.

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Israel Signals Direct Talks With Lebanon on Hezbollah Disarmament

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced Thursday that he has ordered the start of direct negotiations with Lebanon "as soon as possible," with talks expected to center on disarming Hezbollah and establishing a formal peace between the two nations.

USD: Dual Fed risks and ceasefire volatility – ING

ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that the US Dollar (USD) has stabilised after Iran said the ceasefire was violated, but still see scope for renewed weakness.

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USD: Recovery relies on risk aversion – MUFG

MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar has stabilised after a modest rebound as markets reassess the fragile Middle East ceasefire and its impact on risk sentiment.

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DXY: Range anchored as Fed cut seen – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad (BBH) notes that interest rate differentials are keeping the US Dollar Index (DXY) in a 96.00–100.00 range, even as recent ceasefire optimism faded on compliance doubts.

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US Dollar Index (DXY) picks up to 99.00 with Iran’s ceasefire into question

The US Dollar (USD) has trimmed some losses to consolidate right above the 99.00 level on Thursday, after bouncing from lows at 98.50 on Wednesday. The safe-haven US Dollar has picked up as investors come to terms with the fragility of the ceasefire in Iran.

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Dow Jones futures slip due to fading US-Iran ceasefire optimism

Dow Jones futures fall 0.36% to near 47,950 during European hours on Thursday, ahead of the regular opening in the United States (US). Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also lose 0.38% and 0.37% to near 6,800 and 25,000, respectively, at the time of writing.

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US Dollar Index moves little due to renewed safe-haven demand

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining flat after three days of losses and hovering around 99.00 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

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DXY bounces from fresh lows as ceasefire cracks widen on all sides

The US Dollar Index (DXY) continued to grind lower during the front half of the US trading session on Wednesday, falling roughly 1% from the prior session's close near 100.00 to tag a low around 98.50 as the US-Iran ceasefire announcement triggered a broad wave of risk-on selling in the US Dollar.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average futures surge 1,200 points on ceasefire, but cracks are emerging

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures surged around 1,200 points on Wednesday, up close to 2.6%, after a last-minute diplomatic breakthrough averted what had been shaping up as a catastrophic escalation of the US-Iran war.

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USD: Ceasefire drives renewed weakness – MUFG

MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny highlights that a two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel and Iran has sharply weakened the US Dollar as risk sentiment improves and Brent Oil falls.

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US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY slides to one-month lows, tests key SMA confluence

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, sliding to one-month lows after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire deal.

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USD: Iran-driven swings point to shallow depreciation – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong stress that markets are being driven almost entirely by Iran headlines, with Oil and yields reacting to ceasefire developments.

USD: Relief-driven downside potential – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the US-Iran ceasefire has pushed financial markets into relief mode, with Brent, equities and bonds reacting positively and the Dollar falling sharply.

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DXY: Retreat extends but floor holds – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that risk assets are rebounding after the Iran ceasefire, with higher equities, a bullish steepening in yield curves and broad currency gains against the US Dollar (USD).

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