The NZD/USD pair kicks off the new week on a positive note amid a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD), though it struggles to capitalize on gains beyond the 0.5800 mark.
USD/CAD depreciates after posting minor gains in the previous trading day, hovering around 1.4080 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar (USD) falls sharply on easing geopolitical tensions following a weekend pause in military hostilities between the US and Iran.
The GBP/USD pair builds on Friday's modest bounce from a three-week low and gains strong follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week.
The EUR/USD pair builds on a modest bullish gap opening and climbs back above the 1.1400 mark during the Asian session on Monday. The intraday move up is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD), weighed down by renewed optimism over a diplomatic resolution to end a five-month-old US-Iran war.
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.7911 compared to Friday's fix of 6.7939.
AUD/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive trading day, hovering near 0.7000 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) declines alongside a sharp drop in oil prices.
The EUR/JPY consolidates around 186.00, edges down by 0.06% amid a souring of risk appetite amid the escalation of the US-Iran war, and strengthens safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen.
The New Zealand Dollar gains over 0.30% against the US Dollar, poised to test key resistance levels, with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.5793, slightly below the 0.5800 figure. At the time of writing, the NZD/USD trades at 0.5789, after bouncing off daily lows of 0.5767.
EUR/USD trades lower near the 1.1370 area on Friday, struggling despite stronger-than-expected Eurozone business-activity figures. The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains firmer near 101.50, offering limited support to the pair.
Silver (XAG/USD) edges higher on Friday as a pullback in Oil prices pushes US Treasury yields lower, while the US Dollar (USD) fluctuates near recent highs. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $58.60, up 2.40% on the day.
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley describes EUR/USD as wary after the July European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. Foley notes that the Euro (EUR) failed to gain support despite a hawkish ECB tone, while the Dollar benefits from safe haven demand and Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
The Pound Sterling advances by some 0.20% on Friday as Oil prices tumble, weighing on the US Dollar, while the US-Iran conflict signals a further escalation, which market participants ignored. Despite registering daily gains, the GBP/USD is poised to finish the week with losses of nearly 0.70%.
USD/CHF trades flat on Friday as a pullback in Oil prices weighs modestly on the US Dollar (USD) and US Treasury yields. However, the Middle East war and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations keep an underlying floor under the Greenback.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the British Pound (GBP) is slightly higher versus the US Dollar (USD) but lagging most G10 peers.
USD/JPY edges lower on Friday, trading around 163.70, down 0.09% on the day at the time of writing, after hitting a fresh near 40-year high on Thursday.
TD Securities notes that the UK Composite PMI climbed back into expansion at 52.1 in July, led by Manufacturing strength and a Services PMI recovery to 51.8. Input cost inflation eased and business confidence hit its highest since February.
AUD/USD trades higher near the 0.6990 area on Friday, recovering from an earlier pullback as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to gain clear momentum following mixed United States (US) business-activity data.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Japanese Yen (JPY) is slightly firmer versus the US Dollar (USD) but still underperforming most G10 currencies. USD/JPY trades near levels last seen in 1986, with limited resistance overhead.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that EUR/USD has recovered part of its recent slump but remains below 1.1400. A stronger-than-expected Eurozone July PMI and a hawkish hold from the ECB support the Euro, though higher Oil prices keep growth risks skewed lower.
EUR/USD pares earlier gains on Friday as the widening Middle East war and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations keep the US Dollar (USD) pinned near recent highs.
USD/CAD trades around 1.4095 on Friday at the time of writing, up a modest 0.06% as the US Dollar (USD) retains a slight advantage following the release of solid US economic data, while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) remains pressured by weak domestic indicators and softer Oil prices.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed against the US Dollar (USD), with slightly better fundamentals as United States (US) yields ease and spreads narrow.
Societe Generale analysts report USD/ZAR has broken above a multi-month descending trend line and reclaimed its 200-day moving average, suggesting renewed upside momentum. The South African Reserve Bank surprised markets by holding rates at 7.0%.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that USD/JPY is consolidating just below a multi-decade high as Japan’s private sector growth strengthens and Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks below Bank of Japan (BoJ) forecasts.
EUR/JPY consolidates modest losses on Friday as fresh data from Japan and the Eurozone fails to generate a strong market response. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 186.30 after reaching a 12-week high of 186.67 on Thursday.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that GBP/USD is consolidating near 1.3300 as United Kingdom (UK) data signal a more favourable growth-inflation mix.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong observe that while the European Central Bank (ECB) left rates unchanged in July and is expected to deliver at least one more 25 bp hike to 2.50% in September, rising energy prices still tilt terms-of-trade in favor of the US Dollar (USD) over the Euro (EUR).
Societe Generale strategists highlight that the Indian Rupee (INR) stayed defensive as Brent Oil rose to $100, countering support from recent policy steps to attract capital inflows.
Deutsche Bank strategists note that the European Central Bank (ECB) kept its deposit rate at 2.25%, while its communication continued to leave the door open to further tightening.
NZD/USD trades around 0.5790 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.27% on the day as the pair recovers from a one-and-a-half-week low, although bullish momentum remains limited by the underlying strength of the US Dollar (USD).