GBP/USD edged slightly lower to around 1.3550 on Thursday, lower around 0.3% after the pair touched a session high near 1.3645 before turning back down.
AUD/USD edged about 0.2% lower on Thursday to around 0.7205, easing back from a multi-year peak just shy of 0.7280 reached earlier in the session.
USD/JPY recovered close to 156.90 on Thursday, edging up roughly 0.4% from Wednesday's slide to 155.04, the lowest level since early February.
The Mexican Peso erases some of its earlier gains and drops some 0.13% as the USD/MXN pair advances after the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) cut rates and warned that the easing cycle has ended. The exotic pair trades at 17.27 after testing a low of 17.19.
The NZD/USD pair is trading with a softer tone near the 0.5940 region on Friday, pressured by cautious market sentiment as investors continue tp react to rapidly changing headlines surrounding the potential peace agreement between the United States (US) and Iran.
Banco de Mexico —also known as Banxico—reduced borrowing costs by 25 basis points on Thursday, as expected by market participants, from 6.75% to 6.50%.
EUR/USD eases from intraday highs on Thursday as evolving geopolitical developments surrounding tensions in the Middle East help the US Dollar (USD) and Oil prices recover some losses after recent weakness.
GBP/USD advances by some 0.28% on Thursday as the US and Iran appear close to signing a peace deal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while keeping issues—like the nuclear program—unresolved. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3627.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is modestly higher, extending a sentiment-driven recovery despite softer expectations for European Central Bank (ECB) tightening.
The USD/JPY pair is currently trading around the 156.40 level, showing minimal change throughout the day. This stability comes as multiple reports indicate that the United States (US) and Iran are moving closer to a deal to resolve the over two-month-long conflict.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday as renewed hopes for a possible US-Iran peace deal pressure the Greenback. At the time of writing, USD/CHF is trading around 0.7766, its lowest level since March 10.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed as traders await US/Iran headlines and Friday’s Canadian employment data. USD/CAD trades near 1.36, with spot still above Scotiabank’s fair value estimate around 1.3514.
Societe Generale’s team highlights that GBP/USD has edged higher, helped by lower Oil prices, risk correlations and Asian FX intervention-driven US Dollar (USD) selling. However, they stress that UK local elections and seasonal patterns pose downside risks.
Nomura's research analysts note that the the central bank of Sweden, Riksbank kept its policy rate at 1.75% in May, maintaining a wait-and-see stance as weak inflation offsets upside risks from global energy prices and the Iran war.
BNY's Geoff Yu highlights that Euro area retail trade shows modest growth while Eurozone construction PMI signals a sharp contraction and rising cost pressures. German manufacturing orders and services turnover are improving, but France’s trade deficit is widening on energy imports.
EUR/GBP trades flat on Thursday as traders remain cautious ahead of the UK local election results, while also assessing the prospects of a possible US-Iran deal aimed at ending the war in the Middle East.
Commerzbank analysts Michael Pfister and Norman Liebke argue that the Mexican Peso (MXN) is likely to weaken against the US Dollar (USD) in coming weeks as Banxico maintains a dovish stance despite rising inflation risks.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that GBP/USD has risen above pre-war levels as United Kingdom (UK) local and Scottish elections test Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s leadership.
USD/CAD trades around 1.3630 on Thursday at the time of writing, showing little change on the day, as lower Oil prices continue to weigh on the Canadian Dollar (CAD) while the US Dollar (USD) remains pressured as well.
The GBP/USD pair trades 0.18% higher around 1.3620 during the European trading session on Thursday. The Cable reflects strength as the US Dollar (USD) faces selling pressure amid the optimism that the United States (US) and Iran will reach a peace deal soon.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) keeps marching higher at two-month highs against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as reports of progress in the US-Iran peace deal and lower Oil prices keep demand for the safe-haven US Dollar subdued.
Silver (XAG/USD) keeps rallying on Thursday, with precious metals buoyed by lower Treasury yields amid a pullback in oil prices that has eased bets on US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes.
USD/JPY trades around 156.30 on Thursday at the time of writing, down a modest 0.05% on the day, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains supported by speculation that Japanese authorities could step into the market to curb the currency’s weakness.
TD Securities strategists Izidor Flajsman and Prashant Newnaha argue that Australia is entering a rare phase of unilateral RBA tightening, with the Fed expected to cut while the RBA continues hiking.
The Euro (EUR) appreciates against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day on Thursday, trading at 1.1765 at the time of writing, fuelled by hopes of a peace deal that would end Iran’s war and upbeat Eurozone macroeconomic releases.
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that The Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) easing cycle, signalled by the March cut, should continue with another 25 bp reduction widely expected today.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades higher against its major currency peers, except the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), during the European trading session on Thursday.
Philip Wee at DBS Group Research points out that the Australian Dollar (AUD) has been a key beneficiary of the risk-on shift. AUD/USD broke above 0.72 after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) signalled a pause following three consecutive rate hikes.