USD/JPY trades slightly negative below the 161.90 area as the Japanese Yen (JPY) finds modest support, while the US Dollar (USD) remains underpinned by cautious remarks from New York Fed President John Williams and lingering inflation concerns.

Canada delivered the kind of trade headline that should have put a firm bid under the Loonie, and the currency barely noticed.

USD/CAD edges lower on Tuesday even as the US Dollar (USD) holds firm, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) drawing support from a modest rebound in crude Oil prices following renewed attacks on commercial vessels near the Strait of Hormuz. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.4188.

There is a certain honesty to a currency with nothing to say for itself, and the Swiss Franc spent Tuesday doing exactly that. With not one Swiss data release on the calendar this week, the Franc has no story of its own, leaving USD/CHF to drift on whatever the Dollar side of the tape serves up.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5685 at the time of writing on Tuesday, down 0.26% on the day.

The Pound Sterling retreats against the US Dollar on Tuesday as tensions in the Middle East rise, following reports of attacks on two ships in the Strait of Hormuz. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3373, down 0.11%.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is slightly softer versus the US Dollar (USD) but supported by a sharp recovery in yield spreads and stronger German industrial production.

AUD/USD declines toward 0.6940 as the Australian Dollar (AUD) loses momentum, while the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by cautious remarks from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and lingering uncertainty over inflation.

USD/CHF holds modest gains on Tuesday as traders balance softer US labor market data against hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, keeping the US Dollar (USD) range-bound. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.8066, remaining on the front foot for a second consecutive day.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight the Japanese Yen (JPY) as the best-performing G10 currency on the day, though gains versus the US Dollar (USD) are marginal.

USD/CAD trades around 1.4205 on Tuesday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors balance encouraging Canadian economic data against a US Dollar (USD) that remains supported by monetary policy expectations and ongoing geopolitical tensions.

National Bank of Canada ’s (NBC) Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms highlight the Japanese Yen (JPY) trading near multi-decade lows around 161 per USD, even as long-end yield differentials move in Japan’s favour.

EUR/GBP trades with a positive bias on Tuesday as sellers take a breather following the recent selloff that pushed the cross to a more than one-year low. At the time of writing, EUR/GBP is trading around 0.8550 after rebounding from an intraday low of 0.8533, its lowest level since June 2025.

Geoff Yu notes Japan’s Growth Strategy Minister Minoru Kiuchi rejected reports that the government is trying to push interest rates lower or pressure the Bank of Japan (BoJ).

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is effectively flat versus the US Dollar (USD) and trading close to their fair value estimate around 1.4158. They expect the recent deterioration in spreads to stabilize, easing downside pressure on the CAD.

EUR/USD trades in a narrow range on Tuesday as traders await greater clarity on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) and European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate paths. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1436, little changed on the day.

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the Japanese Yen (JPY) has firmed slightly, pulling USD/JPY back from 162.18 to 161.68, as comments from Growth Strategy Minister Minoru Kiuichi attempt to calm fiscal worries.

National Bank of Canada ’s (NBC) Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms note the Euro (EUR) fell toward 1.13 in June despite a more hawkish European Central Bank (ECB), underscoring that EUR/USD remains driven by relative rates.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy decision as the key domestic event, with a first 25 bps hike to 2.50% expected.

Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses the Japanese Yen’s (JPY) recent strength and questions whether the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is truly behind the inflation curve.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang reports EUR/USD holding near 1.1440 with a firmer underlying tone. The pair is expected to trade slightly higher in a 1.1425–1.1470 range intraday.

The NZD/USD pair is down 0.2% to near 0.5690 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The Kiwi pair faces selling pressure as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) underperforms its peers ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) monetary policy decision on Wednesday.

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights that USD/CAD has broken out of a large consolidation and extended gains towards 1.4250, with the upper part of the prior range at 1.4130 now acting as key support.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports USD/JPY is consolidating around 162.00 after touching a 40‑year high near 162.84.

Silver (XAG/USD) pulled lower from Monday’s peak and is testing levels below $61.00 at the time of writing, paring some of last week’s gains.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes AUD/USD rebounded strongly from 0.6923 to 0.6959, with rapidly increasing upward momentum. The bank now sees upside risks toward 0.6970–0.6980 intraday, with supports at 0.6945 and 0.6935.

National Bank of Canada ’s (NBC) Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms describe the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as caught between improving domestic growth and a still-challenging external backdrop. USD/CAD recently rose above 1.42, with forecasts easing to 1.33 by Q2 2027.

The US Dollar (USD) trades higher for the second consecutive day against the Swiss Franc (CHF). Downdside attempts remain shallow so far, amid a calm market mood, and the immediate trend shows a mild bullish stance, with resistance at the 0.8075 area under pressure.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continues to trade subdued against the US Dollar (USD) as markets brace for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) upcoming monetary policy decision. 

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, July 7: