The Euro (EUR) trims part of its earlier gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as stalled US-Iran peace talks keep market sentiment fragile and limit downside in the Greenback.

The USD/JPY pair is trading near the 159.30 price zone as markets are increasingly positioning for a hawkish hold from the BoJ, with policymakers expected to keep the benchmark rate unchanged at 0.75% while signaling a willingness to tighten further.

GBP/USD registers modest gains during the North American session, up by 0.19%, as US-Iran talks stalled, while market mood remains fragile, as reflected in US equity markets trading lower. The pair trades at 1.3548, after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3499.

EUR/GBP edges lower on Monday after brief volatility triggered by political jitters in the United Kingdom (UK). At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 0.8658, easing from an intraday high of 0.8676.

MUFG’s FX team highlights that Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate-hike expectations for April have collapsed, even as Japanese inflation data surprise to the upside.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe the Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthening decisively versus the Dollar, extending its typical April outperformance even as risk sentiment remains uncertain.

USD/CAD declines for a second consecutive day on Monday, trading around 1.3610 at the time of writing, down 0.44% on the day and testing its lowest levels in six weeks.

MUFG analysts note that EUR/GBP has drifted lower within a 0.8600–0.8800 range as the Pound (GBP) outperforms the Euro (EUR). The euro-zone faces weaker PMIs and rising stagflation risks, while stronger United Kingdom (UK) data and sticky inflation have markets pricing more BoE tightening.

GBP/JPY gives back part of its earlier gains on Monday as the British Pound comes under pressure following reports that UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer will face a parliamentary vote on a possible probe into whether he misled lawmakers over the appointment of Peter Mandelson.

MUFG strategists say EUR/USD has retreated toward the middle of its 1.1400–1.2000 range as the Euro faces headwinds from the Middle East energy shock and weaker euro-zone PMIs.

GBP/USD trades around 1.3565 on Monday, up 0.23% on the day, supported by a weaker US Dollar in a context of improving risk appetite.

ING’s Chris Turner highlights unusually low USD/JPY volatility despite multiple global risks and key central bank meetings. Their economists warn markets underprice the risk of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike and possible upward revisions to inflation forecasts.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is rallying against a weaker US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day on Monday, reaching session highs above 0.5900 at the time of writing, after bouncing at lows around 0.5840 on Friday.

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux and colleagues note that EUR/GBP has formed a lower high near 0.8740 and is struggling above its 200‑day moving average, with price action resembling a Head and Shoulders pattern.

HSBC strategists highlight that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has been the weakest G10 currency month-to-date, with USD/JPY trading in an unusually narrow range despite Japan’s large net energy import status and Gulf exposure.

BNY’s Bob Savage highlights that China has criticized the European Union's (EU) proposed Industrial Accelerator Act as discriminatory, warning of possible countermeasures that could affect trade and investor confidence.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) accelerates its rally against a weak US Dollar (USD) on Monday, reaching 10-day highs at 0.7190 at the time of writing, after bouncing from lows near 0.7100 last week.

EUR/USD trades around 1.1740 on Monday, up 0.21% on the day, extending Friday’s rebound from the 1.1670 area, despite a more fragile macroeconomic backdrop in the Eurozone.

The Euro (EUR) is trimming some losses against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday after finding support at the 0.8655 area late last week. Upside attempts, however, remain capped below a previous support area at 0.8670 so far, which leaves the broader bearish trend in play for now.

EUR/JPY trades around 186.95 on Monday at the time of writing, up modestly by 0.07%, as markets adopt a wait-and-see stance ahead of this week’s monetary policy decisions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the European Central Bank (ECB).

The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades higher against the US Dollar (USD), with the USD/JPY pair dropping to near 159.15, during the European trading session on Monday.

MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights that the Pound (GBP) has outperformed, pushing EUR/GBP to new lows as markets price a more hawkish Bank of England (BoE) stance on the back of stronger United Kingdom (UK) growth and sticky inflation.

USD/CHF remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 0.7840 during European hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the pair is positioned within the descending channel pattern, signaling an ongoing bearish bias.

Commerzbank analysts flag INR as the region’s laggard, with USD/INR hitting record highs on higher Oil prices, wider current account concerns and capital outflows.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, but is marginally higher against the US Dollar (USD) around 1.3545, during the European trading session on Monday.

The US Dollar (USD) is showing the weakest performance among the G8 majors on Monday, and depreciates against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) for the second consecutive day. The pair trades at 1.3630 at the time of writing, to test fresh six-week lows after a knee-jerk reaction at 1.3713 on Friday.

ING’s Chris Turner expects the Euro to trade in tight ranges as markets await Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. He notes the ECB is unlikely to hike but must keep a rate increase on the table given high Oil-driven inflation expectations.

Silver (XAG/USD) keeps trading within a roughly $2 range, between $75 and $77 on Monday, amid a cautious market mood, as investors await further developments in the US-Iran peace negotiations and interest rate decisions by some of the world’s major central banks.

The NZD/USD pair trades with mild gains around 0.5885 during the early European session on Monday.

The Euro (EUR) extends gains for the second consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as investors hold moderate optimism that the Iran-US level might yield a positive outcome. German GfK consumer sentiment data disappointed, but the impact on the common currency has been mild so far.