The Indian Rupee (INR) opens on a weak note against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the week. The USD/INR pair jumps to near 96.46 as a fresh surge in oil prices and the consistent outflow of foreign funds from the Indian stock market are hurting the Indian currency.

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1445 during the early European trading hours on Monday, bolstered by a hawkish tone from the European Central Bank (ECB).

EUR/JPY remains subdued for the third consecutive day, trading around 185.80 during the Asian hours on Monday. The currency cross is holding a constructive bullish bias as it stays above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), now aligned as nearby dynamic support.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades 0.12% higher to near 0.6995 against the US Dollar (USD) during the Asian trading session on Monday.

USD/CHF extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 0.8070 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Swiss Franc (CHF) receives support ahead of the release of Trade Balance data for June.

Silver price (XAG/USD) gains ground for the second successive day, trading around $56.80 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Monday.

The USD/CAD pair extends its downside to near 1.4005 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. Rising crude oil prices provide some support to the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) against the US Dollar (USD).

The USD/JPY pair seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses during the Asian session on Monday and currently trades just below mid-162.00s amid relatively thin liquidity on the back of a holiday in Japan.

NZD/USD remains in negative territory for the third consecutive day, trading around 0.5840 during the Asian hours on Monday.

The GBP/USD pair trades on a flat note around 1.3450 during the early Asian session on Monday. Traders continue to assess the developments surrounding US-Iran tensions after the US said that a third American troop was killed in the past two days.

On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.7948 compared to Friday's fix of 6.7934 and 6.7577 Reuters estimate.

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it lacks follow-through selling, warranting caution before positioning for an extension of the pullback from a nearly four-week high touched last Wednesday.

The AUD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.6975 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends the decline below the 0.7000 psychological level due to escalating tensions in the Middle East. 

The Mexican Peso loses traction against the Greenback, dropping over 0.65% during Friday’s North American session as the American currency benefits due to its safe-haven appeal as the US-Iran conflict is far from ending, despite holding talks to finish the war.

Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/JPY is little changed despite strong verbal intervention from Finance Minister Katayama, who warned of decisive action at any time. Markets remain unimpressed, given repeated rhetoric and limited impact from actual Yen buying.

The upcoming week will be dominated by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision, United Kingdom (UK) inflation and labor market figures, and preliminary global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data.

USD/CHF trades with a downside bias on Friday as the Swiss Franc (CHF) outperforms its major peers, while the US Dollar (USD) is little changed. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8074 after reaching 0.8149 earlier this week, its highest level since August 2025.

EUR/USD trades flat on Friday as traders reassess the inflationary impact of surging Oil prices amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, which have disrupted energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

The Pound Sterling retreats during the North American session, down 0.22% against the Greenback, as geopolitical tensions remained high, triggering a jump in Oil prices and heightening fears of a reacceleration of inflation. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3449 after peaking near 1.3480.

AUD/USD trades higher near 0.6980 on Friday, recovering from an initial decline as the US Dollar (USD) loses ground following a mixed batch of United States (US) economic data.

Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret notes GBP/USD is lower on the day and well off its one-year high reached on optimism that incoming PM Burnham will pursue market-friendly policies. Despite late-week slippage, that view remains.

USD/JPY trades flat on Friday, holding near four-decade highs as the Japanese Yen struggles to attract buyers amid persistent headwinds, including higher Oil prices, Japan’s wide interest-rate gap with other major economies and a resilient US Dollar (USD).

USD/CHF trades around 0.8070 at the time of writing on Friday, down 0.22% on the day. The pair remains under pressure as safe-haven demand for the Swiss Franc (CHF) offsets modest support for the US Dollar (USD) following stronger-than-expected US consumer sentiment data.

Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD trading slightly lower in quiet conditions as markets look ahead to next week’s ECB meeting, with policymakers in a blackout period and implied volatility subdued. They and consensus expect no policy change.

EUR/GBP edges higher on Friday, extending gains for a second consecutive day as traders cover short positions following the midweek sell-off. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8501 but is still on track for a fourth straight weekly loss.

Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a modest outperformer, with firmer Oil offsetting weak equities and narrowing front-end spreads driving gains. Position adjustment after heavy CAD short-building is adding tailwinds.

USD/CAD trades under pressure on Friday as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) benefits from higher Oil prices, offsetting the US Dollar’s (USD) recovery. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.4022, near a one-month low.

NZD/USD declines on Friday, trading around 0.5830 at the time of writing, down 0.19% on the day, as investors seek safe-haven assets following a fresh wave of US strikes against Iran.

The Euro (EUR) records mild losses against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day on Friday. The EUR/USD pair trades at 1,1430 after being capped at 1.1480 earlier this week, extending the sideways trend, as geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices keep Euro rallies subdued.

TD Securities’ Macro Research team, led by Howard Du with contributions from Jayati Bharadwaj and Linda Cheng, argues that the recent Pound strength versus the Euro has overshot fundamentals.