BNY's Wee Khoon Chong note Sweden’s Riksbank appears comfortable with its current policy stance as inflation stays below target, leaving two hikes in the repo path mainly as a risk acknowledgment.
The USD/CAD pair edges lower to around 1.3860 during the early European session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) extends the decline against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as traders pare bets on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad says improving United Kingdom (UK) disinflation alongside solid Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) should support the British Pound (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR), but sees limited scope for a lasting rally.
Silver (XAG/USD) trades on a strong footing on Monday, reaching levels above $65.80 at the European session opening times, after bouncing from the $63.50 area on Friday.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang highlights that EUR/USD surged to 1.1585, leaving the Euro (EUR) with a firmer tone against the US Dollar (USD). Intraday, the pair could extend gains toward 1.1590, though 1.1610 is seen as strong resistance.
The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers at the start of a new week, though it lacks bearish conviction and shows some resilience below the 159.00 mark during the Asian session.
The EUR/USD pair builds on last week's bounce from the vicinity of the 1.1500 psychological mark and attracts follow-through buyers for the third straight day.
The AUD/JPY cross trades in positive territory near 113.00 during the early European session on Monday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) amid weaker-than-expected Japanese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data.
The Indian Rupee (INR) trades stronger against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday after two days of losses, with the USD/INR pair trading around 95.50 at the time of writing.
EUR/JPY depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 184.20 during the Asian hours on Monday.
AUD/USD gains ground for the second successive day, trading around 0.7090 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Australian Dollar (AUD) gains on the hawkish policy stance by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
USD/CAD extends its losses for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.3870 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) declines amid weaker-than-expected US economic data and shifting central bank expectations.
The NZD/USD pair attracts buyers for the second straight day and climbs above the 0.5900 mark, hitting a fresh high since June 3 during the Asian session on Monday.
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.7873 compared to Friday's fix of 6.7878 and 6.7382 Reuters estimate.
The GBP/USD pair attracts some dip-buyers at the start of a new week and climbs above mid-1.3500s during the Asian session, closer to over a three-month high touched on Friday.
The EUR/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.1575 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) edges lower against the Euro (EUR) amid weaker-than-expected US economic data and shifting central bank expectations.
The AUD/USD pair trades with mild gains near 0.7090 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike odds fade amid weaker US economic data.
The Australian Dollar advanced on Friday after US Retail Sales disappointed investors, increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve might not raise rates, as the economy showed tentative signs of weakness. The AUD/USD trades at 0.7083, up 0.34%
The USD/MXN refreshed 24-month lows below 17.00, but it has recovered some ground, with buyers stepping in and reclaiming the 17.00 level. Data from the United States (US) weighed on the Greenback, as consumer sentiment and Retail Sales deteriorated.
The EUR/USD registers gains of over 0.32% as traders face key resistance at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1567, as bulls eye the 1.1600 psychological figure. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1564 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1526.
USD/JPY is holding near 159.40 at the time of writing, with little change on the day. A weak United States (US) Consumer Sentiment reading nudged the Dollar lower, but the pair has stayed close to where it started.
USD/CAD extends its decline farther below 1.4000 on Friday and heads for a third consecutive weekly loss. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.3877, at levels last seen in early July.
The USD/CHF turns negative on the day, snapping a four-day winning streak, yet it remains above 0.8100, suggesting further upside is possible if buyers reclaim key resistance levels. At the time of writing, the pair trades at a 0.12% loss.
NZD/USD gains 0.75% on Friday and trades around 0.5895 at the time of writing, with its rally losing some momentum as it approaches the psychological 0.5900 level.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD trading in the mid-1.15s with modest gains versus the US Dollar (USD), supported by euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a return to trade surplus.
EUR/GBP has traded in a tight range around the mid-0.8500s on Friday, little changed on the day. The latest Eurozone figures came in close to forecasts, and they did nothing to push the pair out of the range it has held all week.
The Pound Sterling rises by some 0.40% on Friday as a batch of US data justifies the Fed's dovish approach, with consumer sentiment deteriorating while the disinflation process improved. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3545 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3482.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe USD/JPY trading near 159, with modest Japanese Yen (JPY) gains offering reassurance to the Ministry of Finance (MoF) after recent weakness.
EUR/JPY rises 0.15% on Friday and trades around 184.15 at the time of writing. The pair remains supported despite growing expectations that Japan could raise interest rates as soon as September, while investors also anticipate further monetary tightening in the Eurozone.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight Canadian Dollar (CAD) strength as USD/CAD trades just below their fair value estimate around 1.3895, supported by tighter US–Canada 2-year spreads and firmer commodity FX.