Notícias

Euro struggles to extend gains as traders reassess Fed and ECB outlook

EUR/USD holds onto modest gains on Friday but struggles to extend its advance as the US Dollar (USD) stabilizes following Thursday's weaker-than-expected US jobs report. Market activity remains subdued as US financial markets are closed for the Independence Day holiday.

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British Pound holds weekly gains as Fed hike doubts deepen

The British Pound steadied against the US Dollar on Friday, but it is poised to end the week with gains of over 1% as investors turn skeptical that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at the September meeting. The GBP/USD consolidates at around 1.3350, unchanged.

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Australian Dollar rises after upbeat PMIs improve sentiment

The AUD/USD pair climbs near the 0.6940 level on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure following softer-than-expected United States (US) labor market data released on Thursday.

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New Zealand Dollar strengthens as weaker US labor market weighs on US Dollar

NZD/USD trades around 0.5710 at the time of writing on Friday, up 0.21% on the day, supported by improved risk sentiment and a weaker US Dollar (USD) following a softer-than-expected US employment report.

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Japanese Yen: Intervention risk rises at multi-decade lows – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele warns that USD/JPY trading near multi-decade highs has heightened the risk of intervention in the Japanese Yen (JPY). She notes markets are long Dollars and extremely short Yen, leaving room for a sharp reversal if sentiment shifts.

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Japanese Yen weakens against the US Dollar as traders monitor intervention risks

USD/JPY rebounds on Friday after falling nearly 0.90% in the previous session, amid speculation that Japanese authorities may have intervened in the foreign exchange market after the Japanese Yen slid to a 40-year low earlier this week.

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Japanese Yen: Intervention risk elevated on holidays – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes USD/JPY volatility and suggests an initial move lower may already have involved FX intervention. With US holidays thinning liquidity, he sees elevated risk of further Japanese action, consistent with past behaviour.

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Canadian Dollar edges lower amid falling Oil, softer US jobs data

USD/CAD trades higher on Friday, rising 0.13% to near 1.4200 at the time of writing. The pair remains supported as persistent weakness in the Canadian Dollar (CAD) outweighs the pressure on the US Dollar (USD) following softer-than-expected US labor market data.

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Euro consolidates against the British Pound after sliding to a one-year low

EUR/GBP trades in a narrow range on Friday, with the Euro (EUR) modestly outperforming the British Pound (GBP) as sellers take a breather following a four-day decline that dragged the cross to a one-year low.

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Euro: Energy risks support ECB bias – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that EUR/USD could benefit from US Dollar weakness and a still-hawkish European Central Bank. Derek Halpenny highlights that LNG prices remain elevated versus pre-conflict levels, keeping Eurozone inflation risks higher.

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South African Rand: ZAR gains as sukuk plans outlined – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists note that South Africa’s National Treasury will tap existing rand-denominated sukuk bonds as part of its current fiscal year funding plans, with issuance size and timing still unknown.

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Brazil Industrial Output (YoY) below forecasts (1.3%) in May: Actual (0.2%)

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Brazil Industrial Output (MoM) below forecasts (0.3%) in May: Actual (-0.2%)

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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Euro stalls below 1.1475 despite US Dollar weakness

The Euro (EUR) trades higher for the second consecutive day on Friday, with the US Dollar (USD) on its back foot in the aftermath of the disappointing US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report released on Thursday. The EUR/USD pair, however, is struggling to breach resistance at 1.1475 so far.

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Japanese Yen: Upside risks after sharp rebound against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang highlights that USD/JPY’s unexpected plunge to 160.62 has shifted the short-term bias lower, even as oversold conditions suggest scope for a rebound within 160.80–161.90 intraday.

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Australian Dollar capitalizes on risk-on mood, improving hawkish RBA bets

The Australian Dollar (AUD) is up against its major currency pairs, trading 0.23% higher to near 0.6940 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The Aussie pair gains as a slight decline in hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) prospects has lifted market sentiment.

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Japanese Yen: Softer jobs data supports yen – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao note that weaker US non-farm payrolls and reduced Fed rate hike expectations weighed on the Dollar, supporting the Japanese Yen. USD/JPY fell sharply as markets priced a smaller cumulative hike by year-end and speculated about possible FX intervention.

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What drove the Japanese Yen surge from 162.60 to 160.60 in a single session?

The Japanese Yen (JPY) has staged a sharp recovery against the US Dollar, surging from a 40-year low at around 162.50 down to the 160-61 handle. 

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Euro: Rallies seen tiring below 1.16 against US Dollar – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights that EUR/USD price action after the US jobs report underlines the lack of a strong bullish narrative for the Euro, as markets doubt further ECB hikes. Softer inflation and low Oil prices weigh on expectations.

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USD/CAD Price Forecast: Further correction to 20-day EMA might create buying opportunity

The USD/CAD pair reflects a subdued performance near 1.4175 during the European trading session on Friday. The Loonie pair edges lower as the US Dollar (USD) faces selling pressure due to easing hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) prospects.

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Australian Dollar: Consolidation within broader band against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that AUD/USD’s abrupt jump to 0.6943 was not sustained, leaving the pair likely to consolidate between 0.6895 and 0.6945 in the near term.

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USD/JPY Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable near two-week low, below 23.6% Fibo. at 161.00

The USD/JPY pair turns lower for the second straight day following an intraday uptick to mid-161.00s and drops to a more than two-week low during the first half of the European session on Friday.

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Japanese Yen: Softer jobs data supports yen – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao note that weaker US non-farm payrolls and reduced Fed rate hike expectations weighed on the Dollar, supporting the Japanese Yen. USD/JPY fell sharply as markets priced a smaller cumulative hike by year-end and speculated about possible FX intervention.

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British Pound holds firm near 1.3380 amid broad-based US Dollar weakness 

The British Pound (GBP) appreciates against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, on track for a 1.3% appreciation this week, its strongest weekly performance in three months.

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Eurozone HCOB Composite PMI above expectations (49.5) in June: Actual (50)

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Eurozone HCOB Services PMI above forecasts (48.9) in June: Actual (49.4)

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Germany HCOB Services PMI came in at 48.6, above expectations (46.8) in June

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Germany HCOB Composite PMI above expectations (48) in June: Actual (49.5)

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Euro rises to near 1.1455 against US Dollar as weak US NFP batters US Dollar

The Euro (EUR) is up 0.16% to near 1.1455 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The EUR/USD pair gains as the US Dollar underperforms its peers due to a slight ease in hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate expectations.

France HCOB Services PMI registered at 46.8, below expectations (47.4) in June

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