Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that the FOMC under Chair Kevin Warsh is likely to deliver a "hawkish hold", with markets already pricing at least one Fed rate hike by year-end.

The AUD/USD pair attracts sellers for the third straight day on Wednesday and dives to an over two-week trough following the release of softer Australian consumer inflation figures.

The Indian Rupee (INR) opens marginally lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday after a three-day winning streak. The USD/INR pair rebounds to near 95.85 as oil prices have rebounded strongly due to revived geopolitical risks.

The NZD/USD pair struggles to build on the overnight bounce from the 0.5860 horizontal support and seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses during the Asian session on Wednesday.

EUR/JPY moves little after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around 186.60 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency cross is maintaining a bullish near-term tone as it holds above both the nine-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

EUR/USD holds ground for the second successive day, trading around 1.1390 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

The USD/CAD pair is seen consolidating around the 1.4100 mark during the Asian session as traders keenly await the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting, due later this Wednesday.

The AUD/JPY cross extends this week's retracement slide from the 114.65 zone, or its highest level since June 3, and attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day.

AUD/USD depreciates for the second successive day, trading around 0.6970 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair falls as the Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to struggle following the release of domestic Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

On Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.7899 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.7928.

The Yen trades a fraction under 164.00 on Tuesday, marginally weaker on the day, inside a 30-pip band with a floor above 163.50 and a high a few ticks beneath the standing cycle extreme.

The Aussie trades just beneath 0.7000 on Tuesday, down around 0.25% and last in the G10 queue, after a Sydney address from the Reserve Bank of Australia's Governor gave the hike case nothing to eat.

The Euro trades just under 1.1400 on Tuesday, around 0.15% firmer, after a session that ran from a shade above 1.1350 to a fraction over 1.1400.

The Pound spends Tuesday almost perfectly still, trading just under 1.3300 with a session range under 40 pips between a floor above 1.3250 and a ceiling fractionally above 1.3300.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) will publish the June Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday at 01:30 GMT. The report is expected to show that inflation rose 4% from a year earlier, matching the May reading. The monthly CPI is foreseen at 0.2% following the -0.7% print from May.

NZD/USD trades nearly unchanged around the 0.5785 area on Tuesday, struggling to extend its earlier recovery despite a modest decline in the US Dollar (USD).

USD/MXN trades around 17.40 on Tuesday, posting modest losses for a third consecutive session. The US Dollar (USD) retains a broadly firm tone despite softer-than-expected United States (US) data, as investors await the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

USD/JPY trades slightly higher near the 163.80 area on Tuesday, remaining close to multi-decade highs as the Japanese Yen (JPY) struggles to attract demand. Softer United States (US) consumer confidence data limited the US Dollar’s advance, although the pair maintained its upward bias.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) steadies against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as the Greenback gives up its early gains, with traders turning cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

The Euro is on track for its eighth gain in nine sessions against the Pound, and the explanation that would normally cover a run of that length is not available.

EUR/USD trades higher near the 1.1400 area on Tuesday, gaining around 0.3% as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following softer United States (US) consumer-confidence data. The US Dollar Index falls toward 101.30, helping the Euro extend its recovery.

AUD/USD trades lower near the 0.6970 area on Tuesday, falling around 0.3% as the Australian Dollar (AUD) comes under pressure despite hawkish remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock.

The Pound trades near 1.3300 in the New York morning, effectively flat on a session that has run barely 30 pips between a floor a shade above 1.3250 and a ceiling fractionally above the 1.3300 handle.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report GBP/USD is extending its bearish reversal toward early-July levels as markets scale back Bank of England (BoE) tightening expectations. September pricing has been cut and cumulative hikes by December reduced.

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock signaled a possible rate hike at the August 10–11 meeting, stressing inflation is still too high and productivity weak.

USD/CAD trades near 1.4105 on Tuesday at the time of writing, down 0.14% on the day, though the pair remains close to its recent highs as traders refrain from taking aggressive positions ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

EUR/USD struggles for direction on Tuesday as traders avoid taking directional positions ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate decision on Wednesday while closely monitoring US-Iran developments.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight a softer Euro (EUR), with EUR/USD drifting toward the mid-1.13s and levels last seen in May 2025.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) is balancing stickier-than-expected domestic inflation against broader global market volatility.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that Australian Dollar (AUD) is underperforming after Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock balanced a hawkish bias with a message of patience, noting easing domestic demand and labour conditions.