The Pound Sterling advances by 0.22% even though the US economy grew faster than previously reported in Q1 of 2026, while inflation readings suggest that the Federal Reserve needs to tighten policy. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3194, after bouncing off daily lows of 1.31511.

USD/JPY trades slightly lower on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) eases after the latest US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data broadly matched market expectations. Still, the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains pinned near its 40-year lows. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 161.75.

TD Securities strategists note the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) June Summary of Deliberations maintained its recent balancing act between higher Oil price spillover risks and domestic softness.

The AUD/USD pair trades muted near the 0.6900 area on Thursday, with the Aussie struggling to gain amid a pullback in the US Dollar (USD) as investors digested the latest United States (US) inflation figures and fresh geopolitical risks around the Strait of Hormuz.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report USD/JPY is steady ahead of Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), where consensus expects a pickup in both headline and core inflation into the mid-to-upper 1% range.

USD/CAD trades around 1.4205 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 0.21% on the day after recently reaching its highest level in 14 months.

EUR/USD recovers from intraday lows on Thursday as traders digest a heavy batch of US economic data. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1362, staging a rebound from thirteen-month lows reached on Wednesday.

EUR/GBP trades on the back foot around 0.8620 on Thursday, hovering near the lower end of the multi-month range that has held since July 2025.

ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele flags that speculative positioning in the Japanese Yen is very stretched, with large net shorts coinciding with USD/JPY trading near levels last seen in 1986.

Brazil Mid-month Inflation below forecasts (0.44%) in June: Actual (0.41%)

NZD/USD trades around 0.5640, declining for a seventh consecutive day and hovering near its lowest levels since November 2025. The pair remains under pressure in an environment dominated by a resilient US Dollar (USD) and persistent risk aversion across financial markets.

The Euro (EUR) trades lower against the US Dollar (USD) for the fourth consecutive day on Thursday, as investors’ hopes of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes drive markets ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains stuck near two-month lows against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, consolidating losses after plummeting about 2.5% in an eight-day losing streak.

The USD/JPY pair trades close to its fresh all-time high near 162.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The pair advances as the US Dollar (USD) continues to outperform its peers due to firm speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will tighten its monetary conditions this year.

Georgette Boele at ABN AMRO highlights that lower Oil and gas prices should, in principle, weigh on the Dollar and support the Euro, but EUR/USD has shown only a limited reaction so far.

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux notes that Latin American currencies have weakened as the Dollar rebounds, with USD/MXN and USD/BRL breaking above key hurdles at 17.50 and 5.20.

The British Pound (GBP) shows mild gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as investors trim their USD long positions ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index later in the day.

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that weaker precious metals are undermining the terms of trade for South Africa and Peru, limiting upside for South African Rand (ZAR) and Peruvian Sol (PEN) even in a supportive carry backdrop.

EUR/JPY trades around 183.90 on Thursday at the time of writing, up just 0.06% on the day, a near-symbolic gain that reflects market hesitation in the face of two diverging yet both tightening monetary dynamics.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that USD/JPY remains in a range near recent highs, with intraday trading expected between 161.40 and 161.90 after a 161.46–161.83 session.

The USD/CHF pair trades 0.16% lower at around 0.8110 during the European trading session on Thursday after correcting from its 10-month high of 0.8140 posted the previous day. The broader outlook of the Swiss Franc pair remains firm due to continued outperformance by the US Dollar (USD).

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that USD/CAD has surged from below 1.36 to above 1.42 as falling Oil prices and rising Fed hike expectations pressured the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

The British Pound (GBP) trims losses against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, with the GBP/JPY pair trading around 213.40 after bouncing from lows near 212.50 on Wednesday.

ING’s Francesco Pesole says calmer markets are allowing the Euro (EUR) to pause against the strong US Dollar (USD), with AI-related sentiment now the main driver for EUR/USD. He expects that if risk stabilisation continues and equities firm, the pair could slowly return toward 1.1400.

XAG/USD remains weaker for the third consecutive day, trading around $57.40 per troy ounce during the European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the spot price is moving downwards within the descending channel pattern, indicating a prevailing bearish bias.

MUFG analysts stress that USD/JPY is highly sensitive to United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index surprises, especially in the current environment of Fed focus on inflation persistence.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) consolidates losses on Thursday, as the US Dollar (USD) remains buoyed by heightened hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will tighten its monetary policy later this year.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, June 25:

The Euro (EUR) edges lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, extending its decline for the fourth consecutive day.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that GBP/USD briefly broke below 1.3160 to 1.3140 before recovering to 1.3170, with intraday price action expected to probe 1.3130 while keeping 1.3110 out of reach.