Eurozone M3 Money Supply (3m) remains unchanged at 3% in May

Eurozone M3 Money Supply (YoY) came in at 3.2%, above forecasts (2.7%) in May

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang sees USD/JPY continuing to consolidate just below the 2024 high of 162.00, with intraday trading expected between 161.45 and 161.95.

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao note that the outlook for the Indian Rupee (INR) has brightened as lower Oil prices and renewed foreign capital inflows ease balance-of-payments pressures.

USD/CAD loses ground for the third successive day, trading around 1.4180 during the early European hours on Monday. The pair continues its losing streak after pulling back from 14-month highs.

The USD/JPY pair trades in a tight range around 161.80 during the European trading session on Monday. The pair struggles for a direction while market experts remain confident of Tokyo’s intervention to support the Japanese Yen (JPY).

The British Pound (GBP) is practically flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with Pound bulls subdued amid rising geopolitical tensions and the UK’s political impasse, while the safe-haven USD treads water, awaiting an array of US employment indicators.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang highlights that GBP/USD continues to lack clear momentum, with intraday action expected between 1.3175 and 1.3225. The bank maintains a negative 1–3 week view, seeing scope for a drop toward 1.3110 while strong resistance at 1.3245 caps upside.

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that recent EUR/USD weakness reflects Dollar strength rather than Euro fragility, with Fed expectations driving the move.

The EUR/GBP cross loses ground to near 0.8625 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Fading additional rate hike expectations from the European Central Bank (ECB) weigh on the Euro (EUR) against the British Pound (GBP). Traders will closely watch the ECB’s annual forum later on Monday. 

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1385 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Traders continue to assess the developments surrounding talks to end the US war with Iran.

USD/CHF remains flat for the second successive day, hovering around 0.8100 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair moves little as the US Dollar (USD) remains calm amid market caution following the latest military clashes between the United States (US) and Iran and its temporary truce.

The EUR/JPY cross trades in positive territory near 184.20 during the early European session on Monday. However, the potential upside for the cross might be limited as traders are nervous about a fragile US-Iran ceasefire. 

The AUD/USD pair trades in a tight range around 0.6890 during the Asian trading session on Monday.

NZD/USD inches lower after opening at a bullish gap, trading around 0.5640 during the Asian hours on Monday.

XAG/USD depreciates after two days of gains, trading around $58.80 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Monday. The price of the white metal falls as fresh military clashes between the United States (US) and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz drove oil higher, sparking renewed fears of inflation.

The USD/JPY pair posts modest gains around 161.80 during the Asian trading hours on Monday, bolstered by uncertainty surrounding US-Iran talks. Nonetheless, the potential upside might be limited amid fears of intervention from Japanese authorities.

USD/CAD remains in the negative territory for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.4190 during the Asian hours on Monday.

GBP/USD inches lower after opening at a bullish gap, trading around 1.3200 during the Asian hours on Monday.

EUR/USD pair maintains its upward momentum for a third consecutive session, trading near 1.1390 during Monday's Asian hours. Despite this positive streak, the Euro’s (EUR) gains could face headwinds if geopolitical uncertainty sparks a flight to safety, boosting the US Dollar (USD).

The AUD/USD pair trades on a flat note around 0.6895 during the early Asian session on Monday. Traders continue to assess the developments surrounding talks to end the US war with Iran. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will publish the minutes of its monetary policy meeting on Tuesday.

USD/JPY ended the week pressing the 162.00 handle, a whisker beneath its multi-decade high, and the more revealing detail is what it took to drag the Yen up there: a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike that was billed as the turning point.

The Canadian Dollar trims part of its intraday gains as uncertainty surrounding a final US-Iran peace agreement and expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) help the US Dollar recover some of its losses after coming under pressure from Thursday's broadly in-line US Personal Consumption Expend

EUR/USD trades on the front foot on Friday but remains on track for a second straight weekly loss as the fragile situation in the Middle East and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook keep the US Dollar's (USD) downside limited.

The Pound Sterling gains 0.20% against the Greenback as the latter recoils after hitting year-to-date (YTD) highs, with money markets pricing in a less hawkish Federal Reserve, despite policymakers stating they will focus on inflation.

AUD/USD is recovering near 0.6900 on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) weakens, with investors taking profits ahead of the end of the semester after a two-week rally in the Greenback. The move helped the Australian Dollar (AUD) recover some intraday ground, although the full picture remains negative.

GBP/JPY trades in a narrow range on Friday as traders weigh the latest UK political developments against lingering intervention risks from Japanese authorities, with USD/JPY holding above the 160.00 level.

USD/JPY edges lower on Friday and trades around 161.60 at the time of writing after once again failing to sustain a move above the 162.00 mark. The pair is facing profit-taking as investors remain cautious over the risk of intervention by Japanese authorities to support the domestic currency.

Lee Hardman at MUFG highlights that the Japanese Yen remains near year-to-date lows versus the US Dollar, with intervention risks limiting further weakness.

NZD/USD trades around 0.5650 on Friday, up 0.05% at the time of writing, as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains under pressure despite a weaker US Dollar (USD) following the latest US inflation data.