The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick on Monday and currently trades around the 100.80-100.75 region, nearly unchanged for the day.
Wells Fargo Economics, led by Tom Porcelli and colleagues, expects the Federal Reserve to keep the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% through year-end 2027, with 10-year Treasury yields near 4.35% in 2026 and 4.30% in 2027.
ING’s Chris Turner notes that higher Oil prices and Gulf tensions have driven a bigger reaction in rates than in FX, with Brent near $80 supporting Fed hawks. The US Dollar (USD) is expected to stay firm versus low-yielders, while carry trades in Emerging Markets (EM) have been unwound.