With the exception of Japan, where the BoJ is engaged on a policy tightening cycle, Sweden is the only G10 economy for which the market sees no real risk of further central bank easing on a 1-year view, Rabobank's FX analyst Jane Foley reports.
The Swedish krona is the second-best performer this week, rising even more than the euro as equities sold off yesterday. This sounds rather odd given SEK’s usually high beta (especially relative to the euro) to risk assets, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Scandinavian currencies should also do well if geopolitical risk is priced out, with Sweden's krona likely better positioned than Norway's krone due to opposite exposures to energy prices, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.