Prediction: This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Chip Stock Is Going to Skyrocket After Dec. 12

Source The Motley Fool

There is no doubt that Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the dominant player in the market for artificial intelligence (AI) chips, as its graphics processing units (GPUs) have played a central role in training popular AI models such as ChatGPT and Llama.

The company's terrific technological lead in the AI GPU space has given it a wide moat, and its rivals remain way behind it when it comes to selling AI GPUs. As a result, Nvidia's data center revenue rose by a remarkable 112% year over year in the third quarter of its fiscal 2025 to a record $30.8 billion, while AMD's revenue from this segment came in at just $3.5 billion in its most recently reported quarter.

At the same time, some investors seem a tad concerned about the relative slowdown in Nvidia's growth. Though the company's total revenue increased an impressive 94% year over year in the previous quarter to $35.1 billion, that was slower than the 122% year-over-year increase Nvidia reported in the second quarter of its fiscal 2025.

The market's outlook for the current quarter points toward a 70% year-over-year increase in revenue. Additionally, Nvidia is trading at an expensive valuation. That may lead investors to look for alternative ways to capitalize on the growth of the AI chip market. That's why now would be a good time to take a closer look at a company that has been touted as the next best bet after Nvidia on the booming AI chip market.

This stock has already delivered impressive gains this year, and it seems poised to fly higher after the company releases its fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter results on Thursday.

Custom AI chip demand is powering this company's growth

Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) has been called the second-most-important AI chip company. It's the dominant player in application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), a type of custom chip that's gaining prominence in AI because of its lower cost and power efficiency compared to the GPUs that Nvidia sells.

More specifically, Broadcom controls an estimated 55% to 60% of the market for ASICs.

According to a forecast by analysts at market research firm Lucitel, demand for AI-specific ASICs will grow at an annualized rate of 32% through the end of the decade. That bodes well for Broadcom. Moreover, JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur believes that the cumulative revenue opportunity for Broadcom in the custom AI chip market stands at a staggering $150 billion.

This helps explain why Broadcom management has been raising its AI-specific revenue guidance. The company expects to end this fiscal year with AI chip revenue of $12 billion, up from its earlier outlook of $11 billion. For comparison, generative AI accounted for 15% of Broadcom's fiscal 2023 semiconductor revenue of $28 billion -- just $4.2 billion.

So, Broadcom's AI revenue is on track to nearly triple in just one year, and given its massive opportunity in the custom AI chip market, it is only at the beginning of a terrific growth curve in this space. Additional upbeat news on this front could send Broadcom stock soaring even further when it delivers its quarterly report on Thursday.

Broadcom seems likely to deliver better-than-expected results

The consensus estimate from analysts following the chipmaker is for $14.06 billion in revenue in fiscal Q4, which would be a 51% increase from the prior year. Importantly, that includes the revenue contribution from VMware, which it acquired in November 2023. That revenue projection is in line with Broadcom's estimate of $14 billion. However, as the company has increased its full-year revenue forecast, there is a solid chance that its top line will land ahead of Wall Street's expectations.

Analysts are expecting its adjusted earnings to jump to $1.39 per share from $1.11 per share in the year-ago period, which would be a solid increase of 25%. However, given the increase in its AI revenue guidance, its bottom line should ideally be better than Wall Street's expectations.

At the same time, Broadcom's dominant position in the fast-growing custom AI chip market should allow management to deliver robust guidance for its fiscal 2025, especially considering that it is looking to push the technological envelope in this space. Management recently pointed out that Broadcom has developed new tech to speed up its custom AI chips and pack more memory into them using the advanced chip packaging technology of its foundry partner, TSMC.

Broadcom trades at around 29 times forward earnings right now, almost in line with the average multiple of the tech-laden Nasdaq-100 index. That's an attractive valuation for this semiconductor stock. Investors should consider grabbing this opportunity soon, since the stock is likely to fly higher after its quarterly report.

Should you invest $1,000 in Broadcom right now?

Before you buy stock in Broadcom, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Broadcom wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $872,947!*

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of December 9, 2024

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Harsh Chauhan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 26
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
placeholder
United States Dollar Index sits near March 2025 highs, above 102.00 ahead of US NFPThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
7 hours ago
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
goTop
quote