1 Stock to Buy Near Its 52-Week Low and Hold for 10 Years

Source The Motley Fool

Is the sky falling for DexCom (NASDAQ: DXCM)? Shares of the medical device specialist dropped off a cliff following its second-quarter earnings report. Unfortunately, the diabetes-focused company failed to impress investors yet again with its most recent quarterly update.

At about $69 per share, DexCom's stock isn't that far off its 52-week low of $62.34 and is miles away from its 52-week high of $142. However, there remain good reasons to invest in the company.

DexCom's near-term issues

Let's first review what DexCom does. The company is a leader in the market for continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems, which allow diabetes patients to keep track of their blood glucose levels efficiently throughout the day and night. It recently launched the G7, one of the most advanced CGM systems.

However, the rollout of the G7 in the U.S. came with some complications related to rebate eligibility, with many more patients taking advantage of rebates than anticipated.

That was one of the issues during the second quarter, exacerbated by the company's slowing growth in international markets. These issues carried into the third quarter, when revenue for the period increased by just 2% year over year to $994.2 million. Investors would expect a company with a forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of about 40 to grow its revenue at a much better rate.

DXCM PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

DXCM PE ratio (forward), data by YCharts.

The average P/E for the healthcare industry is 18.2. And the company's adjusted EPS of $0.45 was lower than the $0.50 reported in the year-ago period. There wasn't much to celebrate in the quarterly update, but let's consider why the company's prospects remain attractive.

Planning for the long game

What do the headwinds DexCom has encountered lately mean for its investment thesis? As far as the rebate eligibility problem is concerned, it doesn't mean much. That's a short-term issue that won't matter anymore in a couple of years.

Its slowing growth in international markets is more worrisome, but even then, it's important to look at the bigger picture. The company has historically increased its addressable market by entering into new territories. It still has plenty of room to do so. As its biggest competitor in the CGM market, Abbott Laboratories, pointed out, only 1% of the world's half-billion adults with diabetes have access to CGM technology.

Not all are eligible for it, but the ones who are make up more than 1%; this underpenetrated market could give DexCom significant growth potential beyond the next decade. It is still looking to expand worldwide.

Chief Financial Officer Jereme Sylvain said: "There remains a long runway ahead for DexCom CGM globally. We continue to invest in infrastructure to expand our geographical presence, provide compelling evidence to expand market access in new segments of key markets, and leverage our product portfolio to meet the unique needs of various customers and health systems."

The company recently got expanded insurance coverage in France and released an over-the-counter CGM option in the U.S., called Stelo, for diabetics who aren't using insulin.

And DexCom is building a network effect since its CGM systems are compatible with a host of other devices and third-party apps -- from insulin pens and pumps to the Apple Watch, among many others -- to help simplify the lives of diabetes patients.

The more patients are in its ecosystem, the more attractive it is for other device developers to opt for compatibility with DexCom, attracting more customers. That's an important competitive edge that should allow it to remain a leader in its market for some time.

DXCM Total Return Level Chart

DXCM total return level; data by YCharts.

The stock's valuation could make it somewhat volatile in the near term. But that's nothing new for this company. DexCom shares have generally been a bit erratic, but in the long run, they have moved in the right direction. I expect the same to continue. So, despite its issues, now is a good time to invest in DexCom.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $23,657!*
  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $43,034!*
  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $429,567!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of November 4, 2024

Prosper Junior Bakiny has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Abbott Laboratories. The Motley Fool recommends DexCom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 05: 48
Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
placeholder
US September CPI preview: inflation set to hit 3.7% — will the Fed hike in December?US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 23
US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Rebounds Above $4,200, Can Falling Oil Prices Drive Another Rally?As of Friday (October 9), gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded noticeably after consecutive declines. During today's Asian session, gold prices briefly rebounded above $4,200, reaching an intra
Author  TradingKey
Oct 09, Fri
As of Friday (October 9), gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded noticeably after consecutive declines. During today's Asian session, gold prices briefly rebounded above $4,200, reaching an intra
placeholder
Hurricane Isaias has shut in a quarter of Gulf oil output — can WTI clear $92 before Thursday's EIA report?WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 09, Fri
WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】Gold rebounds 1% off a two-month low, Nasdaq drops 1.25% and yields ease — the storm premium keeps WTI near $91Gold trades at $4,174 after rebounding from Wednesday's $4,090 two-month low, the Nasdaq fell 1.25% while the Dow edged higher, and the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.23% from the week's highs. Hurricane Isaias keeps about 25% of Gulf output shut in with WTI near $91, and bitcoin holds below $82,000. The next scheduled tests are the EIA report on 15 October and the FOMC on 27-28 October.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 09, Fri
Gold trades at $4,174 after rebounding from Wednesday's $4,090 two-month low, the Nasdaq fell 1.25% while the Dow edged higher, and the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.23% from the week's highs. Hurricane Isaias keeps about 25% of Gulf output shut in with WTI near $91, and bitcoin holds below $82,000. The next scheduled tests are the EIA report on 15 October and the FOMC on 27-28 October.
goTop
quote