CoreWeave's Growth Story Gets a $6.3 Billion Lifeline: What Long-Term Investors Should Know

Key Points

• CoreWeave is sitting on a massive backlog and remains capacity constrained as demand for artificial intelligence (AI) computing is outpacing supply.

• The company plans to significantly upgrade its capacity in the future, and its latest deal with Nvidia should ensure that none of its capacity goes unsold.

• CoreWeave is likely to witness robust demand for its infrastructure, since demand for AI computing capacity is set to grow rapidly through 2030.

• 10 stocks we like better than CoreWeave ›

It's been just six months since CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) went public, and the stock has more than tripled in its short life as a public company, despite witnessing bouts of volatility during this period. The stock's rapid rise has been fueled by its fast-improving revenue pipeline, but at the same time, investors have been worried about certain factors.

From CoreWeave's rapidly rising debt to stock dilution on account of its $9 billion Core Scientific deal, shares of the company have slipped significantly since hitting a high nearly three months ago. However, the company's latest deal with Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) could help assuage investors' concerns to some extent and set CoreWeave up for more upside.

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Nvidia's guarantee is great news for CoreWeave investors

CoreWeave has built its business by offering dedicated artificial intelligence (AI) data centers powered by graphics processing units (GPUs) from Nvidia. It rents out its cloud computing capacity to the likes of Meta Platforms and Microsoft, which account for the majority of its top line. It has also added a third big customer in the form of OpenAI.

The ChatGPT maker offered an initial contract worth $11.9 billion to CoreWeave in March this year, before enhancing the size of the deal by another $4 billion. And now, Nvidia has signed a $6.3 billion contract with CoreWeave that will guarantee the latter's revenue growth in the long run. Under this agreement, Nvidia will be purchasing any unsold data center capacity from CoreWeave through April 2032.

In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), CoreWeave pointed out that "Nvidia is obligated to purchase the residual unsold capacity" of its data centers in case its "data center capacity is not fully utilized by its own customers." CoreWeave's existing data center capacity is falling short of demand.

CFO Nitin Agrawal remarked on the August earnings conference call that CoreWeave's "growth continues to be capacity-constrained, with demand outstripping supply." This is evident from the fact that its contractual backlog increased by close to $14 billion year over year in Q2, driven by the multibillion-dollar contracts the company signed in the quarter.

For comparison, CoreWeave's Q2 revenue increased to $1.2 billion from $395 million in the year-ago period. Not surprisingly, the company is laser-focused on bringing online more data center capacity so that it can fulfill its massive revenue backlog worth $30 billion. It currently operates 33 dedicated AI data centers in the U.S. and Europe, with active power capacity of 470 megawatts (MW).

However, it has been increasing its contracted data center power capacity at a nice clip so that it can bring more active capacity online. Specifically, CoreWeave's contracted data center power capacity increased by 600 MW in the previous quarter to 2.2 gigawatts (GW). But even that might not be enough in the long run, as according to McKinsey, data center capacity demand could grow by 4x between 2023 and 2030.

The firm estimates that global data center capacity demand could hit 220 GW in 2030 from 55 GW in 2023 in a midrange scenario. So there is a good chance that CoreWeave could remain capacity-constrained in the long run thanks to the AI-powered data center boom. For instance, McKinsey is expecting a deficit of more than 15 GW in data center power capacity in the U.S. itself by 2030.

As such, CoreWeave may not be left with any residual capacity to sell to Nvidia going forward, as there is a good chance that data center demand will continue to be stronger than supply on account of AI. And now, Nvidia's guarantee gives CoreWeave investors an extra cushion that should ensure healthy long-term growth for the company, even if there's a drop in AI computing capacity requirements.

What should investors do?

Nvidia's guarantee suggests that the demand for AI computing is likely to remain robust in the long run. This should ideally translate into a bigger backlog and stronger growth for CoreWeave, which is just what analysts are expecting from the company through 2028.

CRWV Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Year data by YCharts

The massive opportunity in the cloud AI infrastructure market should help CoreWeave sustain impressive growth rates beyond 2028. For instance, even if it clocks 20% annual top-line growth in 2029 and 2030, its revenue could hit $25.6 billion. If the stock is trading at even 5 times sales at that time, in line with the Nasdaq Composite's average sales multiple, its market cap could get close to $130 billion. That would be more than double CoreWeave's current market cap.

Importantly, CoreWeave can now be bought at 16 times sales, which isn't all that expensive when we consider its remarkable growth.

So investors looking to capitalize on the AI cloud infrastructure market's long-term growth potential can consider buying this AI stock right away, especially considering that the Nvidia deal is a vote of confidence in CoreWeave's -- and the AI data center market's -- prospects.

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Harsh Chauhan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.