RBA to begin easing in November, RBNZ to hike 25 bps at next week's meeting – TDS

Source Fxstreet

Economists at TD Securities revise its RBA and RBNZ cash rate calls.

RBNZ’s eventual easing cycle is likely to be more aggressive

RBA: We still expect 100 bps of cuts in the easing cycle, but forecast the first 25 bps cut to be delivered in Nov'24 vs. our prior call for Aug'24.

RBNZ: We now forecast hikes at next week's meeting – 25 bps – and in May to take the OCR to 6%. Consequently, the eventual easing cycle is likely to be more aggressive with 200 bps of cuts.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts toward $4.300 with bears gaining tractionGold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
Author  FXStreet
8 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
placeholder
Bitcoin Cash Surges 30% in Single Day as Catch-Up Rally Explodes, Far Outpacing BTCBitcoin Cash launches catch-up rally, surging 30% in a single day and approaching the $350 mark.On September 23, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) experienced a surge, soaring 30% intraday, far exceedin
Author  TradingKey
9 hours ago
Bitcoin Cash launches catch-up rally, surging 30% in a single day and approaching the $350 mark.On September 23, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) experienced a surge, soaring 30% intraday, far exceedin
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
11 hours ago
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
12 hours ago
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
US Special Envoy Witkoff says mediators completed round of US-Iran talksUnited States (US) Special Envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, said the US held "lengthy" indirect talks with the Iranian delegation via mediators on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), Reuters reported on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
16 hours ago
United States (US) Special Envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, said the US held "lengthy" indirect talks with the Iranian delegation via mediators on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), Reuters reported on Tuesday.
goTop
quote