ECB's Holzmann: The case for another rate cut is getting harder to make
Source Fxstreet
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and head of the Austrian central bank, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB) noted on Monday that warning signs that the ECB may undershoot inflation targets are growing, but overall inflation figures are still lopsided and make policy moves difficult.
Key highlights
Danger of undershooting 2% is not a reason to cut.
With core at 2.7%, ECB is already moving into neutral or slightly expansionary territory.
Below 2.5% there would be even fewer questions that we are no longer restrictive.
There is some possibility that we'll cut, and there is some possibility that we won't.
A decision in favour of another cut gets harder and harder, both now and beyond March.
I can't count too much on services inflation coming down.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's OutlookGet a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Get a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Gold gains momentum to near $4,400 as Fed hike expectations drop despite Us-Iran tensionsGold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,395 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally as cooling US inflation data has dampened expectations for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike.
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,395 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally as cooling US inflation data has dampened expectations for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike.
Australian Dollar gains as US Dollar struggles amid fading Fed rate hike betsAUD/USD extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around 0.7110 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The currency pair continues to appreciate as the US Dollar (USD) remains subdued amid fading expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
AUD/USD extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around 0.7110 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The currency pair continues to appreciate as the US Dollar (USD) remains subdued amid fading expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
