ECB's Holzmann: The case for another rate cut is getting harder to make

Source Fxstreet

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and head of the Austrian central bank, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB) noted on Monday that warning signs that the ECB may undershoot inflation targets are growing, but overall inflation figures are still lopsided and make policy moves difficult.

Key highlights

Danger of undershooting 2% is not a reason to cut.

With core at 2.7%, ECB is already moving into neutral or slightly expansionary territory.

Below 2.5% there would be even fewer questions that we are no longer restrictive.

There is some possibility that we'll cut, and there is some possibility that we won't.

A decision in favour of another cut gets harder and harder, both now and beyond March.

I can't count too much on services inflation coming down.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
placeholder
Gold weakens as inflation concerns lift US bond yields and USD; downside remains cushionedGold (XAU/USD) trades with a negative bias for the second consecutive day on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through selling and stalls the intraday slide near the $5,125 area.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 12, Thu
Gold (XAU/USD) trades with a negative bias for the second consecutive day on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through selling and stalls the intraday slide near the $5,125 area.
placeholder
Gold holds steady near $4,600 as Fed rate decision loomsGold price (XAU/USD) holds steady near $4,600 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal steadies as traders await a key Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision later on Wednesday. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 15
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds steady near $4,600 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal steadies as traders await a key Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision later on Wednesday. 
placeholder
Goldman Sachs: Structurally Bullish on Gold to $5,400, But Warns of Short-Term PullbackGoldman Sachs ( GS) 's latest precious metals research report on gold ( XAUUSD) price trends presents a "structurally bullish, tactically cautious" dual outlook, maintaining its year-end
Author  TradingKey
22 hours ago
Goldman Sachs ( GS) 's latest precious metals research report on gold ( XAUUSD) price trends presents a "structurally bullish, tactically cautious" dual outlook, maintaining its year-end
goTop
quote