Forex Today: Will the BoJ catch markets off guard again?

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback traded well on the defensive on Thursday as investors continued to wait for further clarity on recent announcements by President Trump, particularly regarding tariffs.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, January 24:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) retreated markedly, revisiting the lower end of the weekly range near 107.60 as investors continued to look at Trump’s announcements. The flash S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs will grab all the attention seconded by Existing Home Sales and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment print.

EUR/USD resumed its uptrend above the 1.0400 mark, rapidly leaving behind Wednesday’s hiccup. The preliminary HCOB Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Germany and the euro area will be at the centre of the debate along with speeches by the ECB’s Lagarde and Cipollone.

GBP/USD saw a decent recovery to the 1.2380 zone, retesting the area of recent two-week tops. The CBI Distributive Trades, the GfK’s Consumer Confidence, and the advanced S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs will be in the spotlight across the Channel.

USD/JPY resumed its decline and revisited once again the proximity of the 156.00 region. The BoJ meeting will be the salient event, seconded by the publication of Japan’s Inflation Rate and the flash Jibun Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs.

AUD/USD added to Wednesday’s irresolute price action and revisited the boundaries of the 0.6300 area in response to the weaker tone in the Greenback.

WTI prices extended their bearish trend and approached the $74.00 mark per barrel, challenging at the same time the key 200-day SMA.

After three daily advances in a row, Gold prices traded in a volatile fashion and managed to recoup part of the daily losses towards the end of the day, flirting with the $2,760 zone. Silver prices dropped to weekly lows near the $30.00 mark per ounce, a region also coincident with the key 200-day SMA.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold falls to two‑month low below $4,050 as oil spikesGold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 23, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 23, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 23, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Nasdaq closes at 26,008.86 — 8.9 points above 26,000, and the credit market never blinkedThe Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
placeholder
Brent tops $113 on Saudi supply risk — but the diesel line in the EIA report is the tellBrent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
Brent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
goTop
quote