Forex Today: Attention remains on US election prior to the FOMC event

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback remained largely on the defensive on Tuesday, retreating to three-week lows amidst heightened expectation ahead of the outcome of the US election and the upcoming Fed meeting.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, November 6:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) extended its bearish move, revisiting the proximity of 103.40 despite a decent rebound in US yields across the curve. The usual weekly Mortgage Applications are due, followed by the EIA’s weekly report on US crude oil inventories.

Extra gains lifted EUR/USD to fresh four-week tops near 1.0940, a region also coincident with the interim 100-day SMA. The final HCOB Services PMI in Germany and the euro area are due along with Germany’s Factory Orders and the EMU’s Producer Prices. In addition, the ECB’s Buch and De Guindos are due to speak.

GBP/USD reclaimed the 1.3000 barrier and beyond, up for the fourth session in a row and reaching new multi-day highs. The S&P Construction PMI will be published.

USD/JPY came under further downside pressure and receded to the 151.40-151.30 band, or two-week lows. Next on tap comes the BoJ Minutes and the final Jibun Bank Services PMI.

AUD/USD advanced past the 0.6600 hurdle, surpassing the key 200-day SMA and hitting new two-week peaks on the back of the weaker US Dollar. The RBA’s Chart Pack will be unveiled.

WTI prices advanced to three-week highs north of the $72.00 mark per barrel before giving away all those gains and remain slightly negative for the day, as traders kept assessing the recent decision by the OPEC+ to postpone its planned oil output increase in December.

Gold prices added to Monday’s slight gains and retested the $2,750 region per ounce troy on the back of steady caution ahead of the US election. Silver prices followed suit and rose to two-day highs near the $33.00 mark per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
12 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
15 hours ago
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
TradingKey Daily Market Briefing: CPI Data Boosts Rate Hike Expectations, Geopolitical Risks Spark Oil Price SurgeTracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a
Author  TradingKey
21 hours ago
Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PPI and Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Concerns, Can CPI Change Gold's Direction?As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Author  TradingKey
Sep 11, Fri
As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
goTop
quote