Forex Today: Attention remains on US election prior to the FOMC event

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback remained largely on the defensive on Tuesday, retreating to three-week lows amidst heightened expectation ahead of the outcome of the US election and the upcoming Fed meeting.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, November 6:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) extended its bearish move, revisiting the proximity of 103.40 despite a decent rebound in US yields across the curve. The usual weekly Mortgage Applications are due, followed by the EIA’s weekly report on US crude oil inventories.

Extra gains lifted EUR/USD to fresh four-week tops near 1.0940, a region also coincident with the interim 100-day SMA. The final HCOB Services PMI in Germany and the euro area are due along with Germany’s Factory Orders and the EMU’s Producer Prices. In addition, the ECB’s Buch and De Guindos are due to speak.

GBP/USD reclaimed the 1.3000 barrier and beyond, up for the fourth session in a row and reaching new multi-day highs. The S&P Construction PMI will be published.

USD/JPY came under further downside pressure and receded to the 151.40-151.30 band, or two-week lows. Next on tap comes the BoJ Minutes and the final Jibun Bank Services PMI.

AUD/USD advanced past the 0.6600 hurdle, surpassing the key 200-day SMA and hitting new two-week peaks on the back of the weaker US Dollar. The RBA’s Chart Pack will be unveiled.

WTI prices advanced to three-week highs north of the $72.00 mark per barrel before giving away all those gains and remain slightly negative for the day, as traders kept assessing the recent decision by the OPEC+ to postpone its planned oil output increase in December.

Gold prices added to Monday’s slight gains and retested the $2,750 region per ounce troy on the back of steady caution ahead of the US election. Silver prices followed suit and rose to two-day highs near the $33.00 mark per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. October CPI Focus and Powell and Fed Officials SpeakInsights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 11, 2024
Insights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Silver price forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $61.40 as US yields retreat, NFP eyedSilver price (XAG/USD) is up 0.55% to near $61.38 during the late Asian trading session on Friday. The white metal edges up as rally in United States (US) Treasury Yields has hit a pause.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 02, Fri
Silver price (XAG/USD) is up 0.55% to near $61.38 during the late Asian trading session on Friday. The white metal edges up as rally in United States (US) Treasury Yields has hit a pause.
placeholder
WTI Price Forecast: Hangs near four-week low, around $89.00 as bears seem noncommittalWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts sellers for the second straight day on Monday and sticks to its intraday losses around the $89.00 mark through the early European session.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 08: 13
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts sellers for the second straight day on Monday and sticks to its intraday losses around the $89.00 mark through the early European session.
placeholder
Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Author  FXStreet
9 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
goTop
quote