US Elections: Trump victory with split Congressional control may boost equities – TDS

Source Fxstreet

The US election season is once again upon us. What will markets focus on? Strategists at TD Securities analyze how markets could be impacted by elections.

Trump remains heavily favored for the 2024 presidential run

While other candidates remain in the race, we expect the election to be a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.

Our current baseline scenario is that Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024 and that Republicans recapture the Senate, though control of the House may go to the Democrats by a tight margin.

Markets are likely to focus on tax/growth, deficit, regulation, geopolitical, and tariff implications in their reaction to the election. Our base case view of a Trump victory with split Congressional control should push term premium higher and may boost equities amid expectations that corporate taxes remain low.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Pinduoduo Earnings Incoming: Morgan Stanley Sees Long-Term Profit Potential​Insights – On November 21, Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo (PDD) will release its Q3 2024 earnings.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 20, 2024
​Insights – On November 21, Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo (PDD) will release its Q3 2024 earnings.
placeholder
Finding The Best Japan Stocks to Buy? These are Top Japanese Companies to Watch Discover the best Japanese stocks to buy, including AI semiconductor leaders, Buffett-backed trading houses, and undervalued Japan stocks benefiting from corporate reforms and yen trends.
Author  Mitrade
May 29, Fri
Discover the best Japanese stocks to buy, including AI semiconductor leaders, Buffett-backed trading houses, and undervalued Japan stocks benefiting from corporate reforms and yen trends.
placeholder
Gold slides back closer to $4,050 as Iran risks and Fed hike bets boost USDGold (XAU/USD) opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and slides back closer to the $4,050 level during the Asian session.
Author  FXStreet
Jul 13, Mon
Gold (XAU/USD) opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and slides back closer to the $4,050 level during the Asian session.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Cooling Inflation Fails to Offset Fed Hawkish Pressure, Gold Price May Fall to $3,500As of the Asian session on July 17, gold prices ( XAUUSD ) fluctuated around $4,000. However, it is worth noting that gold closed at $3,969.41 yesterday, confirming a break below the $4,0
Author  TradingKey
Jul 17, Fri
As of the Asian session on July 17, gold prices ( XAUUSD ) fluctuated around $4,000. However, it is worth noting that gold closed at $3,969.41 yesterday, confirming a break below the $4,0
placeholder
WTI surges above $83.00 amid escalating US-Iran conflictWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price opened at a bullish gap, trading around $83.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Monday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 34
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price opened at a bullish gap, trading around $83.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Monday.
goTop
quote