The market might be very disappointed by the Fed again this year – Nordea

Source Fxstreet

Recent commentary by the Fed and continued strong data means we might have to wait much longer for US rates to go lower, analysts at Nordea say.

Markets are starting to realize that the upcoming rate cuts will not look like a normal cycle

The market is dialing back the pricing of rate cuts backed by continued strong data and commentary by the Fed. 

For the central bank to cut in March, we would need to see low inflation prints for January and February, which does not seem unlikely, but the risk is the Fed will wait and in the meantime, inflation will start to move higher again on increases freight rates and renewed wage pressure. In the latter case, we might not see rate cuts this year at all.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Rises as Nonfarm Payrolls Unexpectedly Turn Negative; Can CPI and PPI Help Break $4,500? As of the Asian session on August 10, gold prices ( XAUUS D) extended last week's trend into this week after a sharp rise last week, with the latest gold price trading near $4,345, up sli
Author  TradingKey
14 hours ago
As of the Asian session on August 10, gold prices ( XAUUS D) extended last week's trend into this week after a sharp rise last week, with the latest gold price trading near $4,345, up sli
placeholder
Hormuz tensions escalate as unconfirmed missile attack amid fragile US-Iran talksThe ongoing US-Iran conflict has entered a crucial diplomatic phase, with intense fighting and strategic pressure around the vital Strait of Hormuz continuing to drive the dynamic of the war.
Author  FXStreet
21 hours ago
The ongoing US-Iran conflict has entered a crucial diplomatic phase, with intense fighting and strategic pressure around the vital Strait of Hormuz continuing to drive the dynamic of the war.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Can Gold Still Rise Above $4,300 Ahead of July Non-Farm Payrolls?As of the European session on August 7, gold prices ( XAUUSD) extended their recent strong performance, rising over 1% intraday to briefly cross the $4,300 mark. With a cumulative gain of
Author  TradingKey
Aug 07, Fri
As of the European session on August 7, gold prices ( XAUUSD) extended their recent strong performance, rising over 1% intraday to briefly cross the $4,300 mark. With a cumulative gain of
placeholder
NFP or Iran: Which factor will break the US Dollar Index out of its consolidation?The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 99.95 at the time of writing on Friday, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the release of the July US employment report.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 07, Fri
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 99.95 at the time of writing on Friday, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the release of the July US employment report.
placeholder
WTI holds firm near $77.50 as escalating Middle East tensions threaten oil supply routesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains steady after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $77.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 07, Fri
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains steady after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $77.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
goTop
quote