The market might be very disappointed by the Fed again this year – Nordea

Source Fxstreet

Recent commentary by the Fed and continued strong data means we might have to wait much longer for US rates to go lower, analysts at Nordea say.

Markets are starting to realize that the upcoming rate cuts will not look like a normal cycle

The market is dialing back the pricing of rate cuts backed by continued strong data and commentary by the Fed. 

For the central bank to cut in March, we would need to see low inflation prints for January and February, which does not seem unlikely, but the risk is the Fed will wait and in the meantime, inflation will start to move higher again on increases freight rates and renewed wage pressure. In the latter case, we might not see rate cuts this year at all.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Silver Price Analysis: Climbs above $80, as bulls eye weekly highSilver price advances more than 2.50% on Friday, set to end the week with gains of over 7% sponsored by US Dollar weakness and falling oil prices. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $80.72, after bouncing off daily lows of $78.16.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 41
Silver price advances more than 2.50% on Friday, set to end the week with gains of over 7% sponsored by US Dollar weakness and falling oil prices. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $80.72, after bouncing off daily lows of $78.16.
placeholder
April NFP Lands at 8:30 AM Today — 65K Forecast, a New Fed Chair, and the Dollar at Triple-Bottom SupportApril 2026 NFP forecast 62K–70K vs March 178K. Unemployment expected 4.3%. Fed on hold at 3.50–3.75% with Kevin Warsh as new chair. DXY triple-bottom at $97.69. Trade setup inside.The Apr
Author  TradingKey
May 08, Fri
April 2026 NFP forecast 62K–70K vs March 178K. Unemployment expected 4.3%. Fed on hold at 3.50–3.75% with Kevin Warsh as new chair. DXY triple-bottom at $97.69. Trade setup inside.The Apr
placeholder
WTI falls to near $93.50 after Israel, Iran signal an end to hostilitiesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price loses ground after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $93.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
May 08, Fri
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price loses ground after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $93.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
placeholder
WTI and Brent Futures Both Fall Below $100 Mark, Have Oil Prices and Energy Sector Peaked?WTI crude oil futures settled at $96.21 per barrel on May 6, plunging 6.3% to close below $100 for the first time in six days, marking the largest single-day decline since March 17. Brent
Author  TradingKey
May 07, Thu
WTI crude oil futures settled at $96.21 per barrel on May 6, plunging 6.3% to close below $100 for the first time in six days, marking the largest single-day decline since March 17. Brent
placeholder
Bitcoin jumps to three-month high as US–Iran talks unwind oil risk premiumGlobal markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
Author  Cryptopolitan
May 07, Thu
Global markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
goTop
quote