European equities slip on Friday to end the week, DAX sees worst weekly performance since October

Source Fxstreet
  • European equity indexes saw slim losses on Friday to wrap up another down week.
  • Davos wrapped up with little rate clues from policymakers.
  • Rate tantrum is underway as investors pull back from overextended rate cut hopes.

European equity indexes declined on Friday as investors walked away from the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland with little upbeat headlines from the European Central Bank (ECB). ECB policymakers worked overtime this week talking down market expectations of impending rate cuts from the ECB. With inflation continuing to run hotter for longer in the European economy, the ECB is hamstrung on rate cuts for the time being.

ECB President Christine Lagarde put significant effort into avoiding discussing monetary policy durign her scheduled appearances during the Davos economic summit, but noted during a sideline interview with Bloomberg that overextended market expectations of rate cuts from the ECB may be hindering rather than helping on progress fighting inflation.

ECB Lagarde: Aggressive rate cut bets don't help ECB

With investors begrudgingly forced to push back their bets of ECB rate cuts after a lack of supporting statements from Davos, European equities pulled back on Friday. Most indexes saw their worst declines in several months this week, and bullish momentum continues to get hung up on misaligned market expectations.

The German DAX closed mostly flat on Friday, down a scant 0.07% and declining 12 points to close at €16,555.13. France’s CAC 40 declined nearly 40 points to close down 0.4% at €7,371.64. The pan-European STOXX600 closed at €469.24, down 0.26% and shedding 1.21 points.

London’s FTSE major equity index saw a scant gain on Friday, closing up 0.04% at £7,461.93, up 2.84 points but still tipping into a six-week low near £7,400.00.

DAX Technical Outlook

The German DAX tested a seven-week low this week, catching a late-week bid to wrap up trading near €16,550.00, still down on the week but keeping closing bids within reach of near-term lows.

The DAX is down for 2024, but remains decidedly higher from the last major low from October’s bottom bids near €14,600.00.

Intraday topside momentum got hamstrung by the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near €16,600. Bidding action next week will face significant technical resistance from near-term congestion between €16,700.00 and €16,750.00.

DAX Hourly Chart

DAX Daily Chart

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US dollar clings to nine-week lows near 98.4 as Brent nears $100 and the yen hits a seven-month high — five events to watch todayThe dollar is pinned near nine-week lows even after a blockbuster jobs report, as an oil spike toward $100, a surging yen and China's reflation data crowd the driver's seat. Five key events to watch today: Brent at $99.46, USD/JPY at 154, China CPI/PPI, PBOC gold buying, and Thursday's PPI / Friday's CPI ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC.
Author  Eric Nkando
Sep 09, Wed
The dollar is pinned near nine-week lows even after a blockbuster jobs report, as an oil spike toward $100, a surging yen and China's reflation data crowd the driver's seat. Five key events to watch today: Brent at $99.46, USD/JPY at 154, China CPI/PPI, PBOC gold buying, and Thursday's PPI / Friday's CPI ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
16 hours ago
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
16 hours ago
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
13 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
goTop
quote