USD/CNH: RMB unexcited post-Plenum – DBS

RMB markets were not excited at the conclusion of China’s Third Plenum, and USD/CNH is likely to consolidate around 7.25-7.30, DBS FX & Credit Strategist Chang Wei Liang notes.

USD/CNH to consolidate within 7.25-7.30

“RMB markets were not excited at the conclusion of China’s Third Plenum, and USD/CNH is likely to consolidate around 7.25-7.30. The communique was largely about a further deepening of reforms and modernization, while giving little details on specific reforms, and no mention of any stimulus measures for the economy.” 

“On the positive side, there was agreement to leverage the role of the market, and to lift restrictions while ensuring effective regulation. The PBOC had set the onshore USD/CNY fixing below 7.13 yesterday, though it remains to be seen if the fixing could revert higher after the Plenum.”