From hawkish cut to dovish hold – Rabobank
Source Fxstreet
The ECB kept its policy rates unchanged, leaving the deposit facility rate at 3.75% and the main refinancing operations rate at 4.25%, senior macro strategist in Rabobank Bas van Geffen notes.
September rate cut remains very likely
“The ECB’s decision to leave rates on hold was moderated by a slightly dovish statement. We believe policymakers are inclined to look through near-term data, unless these materially impact their medium-term projections.”
“A September rate cut remains very likely, even though Lagarde stated that the outcome of that meeting is ‘wide open’. We see upside risks to our deposit rate forecast, but particularly later in the easing cycle.”
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Micron's $4.5 billion Taiwan fab won't make a chip until 2028 — the market sold it as a 2026 problemMicron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Micron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Weekly Report: Gold up 4.5%, Brent down 16.4% — three commodity regimes just resetGold rose 4.51% to $4,074.90 while Brent fell 16.42% to $98.32 in the same five sessions — two inflation hedges, opposite answers. Around them, the gold-silver ratio sits at 78.7 and copper fell 3.72%. Three regime signals, two of them close to flipping, define what commodity traders must re-price before Tuesday's CPI.
Gold rose 4.51% to $4,074.90 while Brent fell 16.42% to $98.32 in the same five sessions — two inflation hedges, opposite answers. Around them, the gold-silver ratio sits at 78.7 and copper fell 3.72%. Three regime signals, two of them close to flipping, define what commodity traders must re-price before Tuesday's CPI.
The CPI that has no year-over-year number is the one that decides DecemberOctober CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
October CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 10, 2026. Read on for the details.
Nvidia fell 4.3% on a day the Nasdaq rose 2.7% — this is a governance discount, not an AI warningNvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."
Nvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."
