BoC Summary of Deliberations acknowledges widening divergence with US on policy
Source Fxstreet
The Bank of Canada's (BoC) latest Summary of Deliberations revealed little of note on Wednesday, although several members of the BoC's Governing Council are growing cautious about downside risks and the possibility of a widening divergence between Canada and the US on economic policy.
Key highlights
- Members agreed to emphasize in communications that they would take rate decisions one meeting at a time.
- Some members were more focused on the downside risks to inflation stemming from the weak economy and restrictive monetary policy.
- Members spent considerable time discussing risks around inflation path, such as large number of households renewing mortgages at higher rates in 2025.
- Ahead of the Bank of Canada's June 5th rate announcement, the governing council considered the merits of waiting until July 24th to cut rates.
- Members discussed the potential for divergence with US, agreed not close to reaching limits of such divergence.
- Others put more weight on upside risks associated with persistence in wage growth and potential for housing market rebound.
- Other risks include rate cuts leading to an overheated housing market, strong wage growth and weak productivity pushing up service price inflation.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Silver price (XAG/USD) is up 0.55% to near $61.38 during the late Asian trading session on Friday. The white metal edges up as rally in United States (US) Treasury Yields has hit a pause.
WTI Price Forecast: Hangs near four-week low, around $89.00 as bears seem noncommittalWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts sellers for the second straight day on Monday and sticks to its intraday losses around the $89.00 mark through the early European session.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts sellers for the second straight day on Monday and sticks to its intraday losses around the $89.00 mark through the early European session.
Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
Related Instrument
