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PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1102 vs. 7.1098 previous
Source Fxstreet
The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Friday at 7.1102, as against the previous day's fix of 7.1098 and 7.2539 Reuters estimates.
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Insights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday.
The EUR/USD pair loses momentum to around 1.1245 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro (EUR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) amid fears over France's shaky fiscal trajectory. The US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report is due later on Monday.