Mitrade Insights is dedicated to providing investors with rich, timely and most valuable financial information to help investors grasp the market situation and find timely trading opportunities.
Micron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
October CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
Three consensus calls went into last week. Two were wrong: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 12.15% and Micron dropped 17.46% after beating estimates, while the Dow lost only 0.94%. The scorecard says the mistake was not about AI demand but about how crowded the trade had become — and CoreWeave, Cisco and Applied Materials will grade it again this week.
Nvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."