Forex Today: Dollar dominates the sentiment on broad-based risk-off mood

Source Fxstreet

The beginning of the new trading year continued to see the greenback on the positive foot. Moving forward, Asian markets should closely follow the Chinese calendar, where Caixin Services and Composite PMIs are due. In Japan, the final Manufacturing PMI tracked by Jibun Bank is due, while nothing is scheduled in Oz on Thursday.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, January 4:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) climbed to the area of three-week tops around 102.70 on the back of the persevering selling bias in the risk-associated universe. In addition, US yields rose further to multi-week peaks across different maturities, reinforcing at the same time the constructive tone around the dollar.

US stocks probed the area of multi-day lows, extending the corrective move after hitting a new all-time high just below the 38000 yardstick when gauged by the reference Dow Jones.

Data released on Wednesday showed an improvement in the always relevant US ISM Manufacturing PMI to 47.4 in the last month of 2023, while the labour market gauge of JOLTs Job Openings missed estimates at 8.79M in November, showing further cooling of the US labour market prior to key releases of the ADP and weekly Initial Jobless Claims (Thursday) and the December Nonfarm Payrolls (Friday).

EUR/USD sank to the sub-1.0900 region for the first time since mid-December against the backdrop of the stronger greenback and generalized weakness in the risky assets.

GBP/USD was a kind of exception after revisiting the upper-1.2600 amidst decent gains and following three consecutive sessions of losses.

Another negative session for the Japanese yen saw USD/JPY climb to the 143.70 region on the back of the continuation of the upside momentum of US yields and a directionless patter in JGB 10-year yields.

AUD/USD remained well on the defensive and retreated for the fourth session in a row against the backdrop of further pressure surrounding the high-beta currencies and the generalized bearish session in the commodity complex.

Speaking about the commodity universe, the Canadian dollar lost ground for the fifth consecutive session, lifting USD/CAD to the 1.3370 zone, or two-week highs.

The intense move higher in the greenback and US yields weighed on gold and sponsored a drop to multi-day lows near $2030 per ounce. In the same line, silver prices added to the pessimistic start of the year and broke below the $23.00 mark per ounce to clinch a new two-week lows.

No news from the FOMC Minutes left the positive momentum in the US Dollar unchanged after the committee's belief that rates are nearing their peak cycle and projections indicating a lower rate by 2024 were already widely anticipated. Moreover, some participants expressed the view that it may be necessary to maintain the policy rate at its current level for a longer period than initially anticipated.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 11, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 11, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 11, Wed
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 11, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Bitcoin lost its 200-day average — but the exit started three sessions before the CPIBitcoin fell 2.5% to about $73,400 on 11 November, an 11-week low, breaking its 200-day moving average near $73,100. The 24-hour liquidation tally reached $632 to $705 million, roughly 82% of it longs. But spot ETF outflows began three sessions earlier and USDT's market cap has shrunk $6.6 billion in 60 days — the leveraged length left before the inflation print did. A double top at 81,890 and 81,080 leaves a measured target of 69,366.
Author  Suzie
Nov 11, Wed
Bitcoin fell 2.5% to about $73,400 on 11 November, an 11-week low, breaking its 200-day moving average near $73,100. The 24-hour liquidation tally reached $632 to $705 million, roughly 82% of it longs. But spot ETF outflows began three sessions earlier and USDT's market cap has shrunk $6.6 billion in 60 days — the leveraged length left before the inflation print did. A double top at 81,890 and 81,080 leaves a measured target of 69,366.
placeholder
Nvidia slid 7.7% after hours while AMD and Broadcom rose — the AI trade changed hands, it didn't breakNvidia closed Wednesday at 173.73, up 2.87%, then fell as much as 8.1% to 159.44 after reports that its board was preparing for a possible leadership change. The same session, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 5.7% with all 30 components higher, CoreWeave jumped 24.7% on 168% revenue growth, and Micron added 11.9%. If AI demand were being repriced, AMD and Broadcom would not be bid. This is a governance discount on one name, and 204.54 — the 200-day average — is the level that settles it.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 12, Thu
Nvidia closed Wednesday at 173.73, up 2.87%, then fell as much as 8.1% to 159.44 after reports that its board was preparing for a possible leadership change. The same session, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 5.7% with all 30 components higher, CoreWeave jumped 24.7% on 168% revenue growth, and Micron added 11.9%. If AI demand were being repriced, AMD and Broadcom would not be bid. This is a governance discount on one name, and 204.54 — the 200-day average — is the level that settles it.
placeholder
Gold hit a one-year low while central banks bought 321 tonnes — the sellers were never the ones you thinkSpot gold closed at 3,876 on Thursday, down 2.8% and its lowest close in more than a year, with an intraday low near 3,852. The dollar is at a 19-month high of 103.21 and the 10-year yield is at 5.10%, so the price move is easy to explain. What is harder to explain is who sold: central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3, the PBoC added for a 24th straight month, ETF holdings are near a record 4,256 tonnes, and roughly 95% of the futures selling came from non-reportable and sovereign-type accounts rather than hedge funds. This piece separates the two books that have to balance.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 02: 40
Spot gold closed at 3,876 on Thursday, down 2.8% and its lowest close in more than a year, with an intraday low near 3,852. The dollar is at a 19-month high of 103.21 and the 10-year yield is at 5.10%, so the price move is easy to explain. What is harder to explain is who sold: central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3, the PBoC added for a 24th straight month, ETF holdings are near a record 4,256 tonnes, and roughly 95% of the futures selling came from non-reportable and sovereign-type accounts rather than hedge funds. This piece separates the two books that have to balance.
placeholder
Brent rose 3.3% and US crude stocks built 4.66 million barrels in the same weekBrent January settled at 95.82, up 3.3%, and WTI at 88.74, up 2.55%, after the US signalled it would not pursue a deal with Iran and attacks on Gulf shipping continued. In the same week, EIA data showed US crude inventories rising 4.657 million barrels against expectations of a 1.1 million draw, with gasoline up another 1.799 million. OPEC output also rebounded 1.96 million barrels a day to 27.16 million in October, led by Saudi Arabia at 10.56 million. This piece separates the geopolitical premium from the physical balance and lays out where each side of the trade is anchored.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 06
Brent January settled at 95.82, up 3.3%, and WTI at 88.74, up 2.55%, after the US signalled it would not pursue a deal with Iran and attacks on Gulf shipping continued. In the same week, EIA data showed US crude inventories rising 4.657 million barrels against expectations of a 1.1 million draw, with gasoline up another 1.799 million. OPEC output also rebounded 1.96 million barrels a day to 27.16 million in October, led by Saudi Arabia at 10.56 million. This piece separates the geopolitical premium from the physical balance and lays out where each side of the trade is anchored.
goTop
quote