USD Index: 103.30 could be the risk today if European PMIs surprises on the upside – ING
Source Fxstreet
The US Dollar Index has dipped below 104.00. Economists at ING analyze DXY’s outlook.
DXY to trade in tight/slightly softer ranges barring a big jump in US initial claims
For today, we note the slightly better investment environment propelled by stellar earnings from Nvidia. We note here as well that Japan and Korea have high-end chip industries too and suspect that the Yen and Won will be a lot stronger later this year.
Barring a a big jump in US initial claims today expect DXY to trade in tight/slightly softer ranges and the bigger impetus to come out of Europe today.
DXY is currently on support at 103.80 and were European PMIs to surprise on the upside, 103.30 could be the risk today.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Spot gold (XAUUSD) plunged 4% on Monday to close at $4,114.93 per ounce, hitting an intraday low of $4,110.80, its lowest level since August 5. Heading into Tuesday's Asian trading sessio
The 30-year Treasury just hit a 22-year high — and the bond market is not pricing the Fed, it is pricing the deficitThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.60% from 4.35% on Tuesday, after keeping rates unchanged at its previous two meetings
Silver price (XAG/USD) is down 4.3% to near $61.50 during the European trading session on Monday. The white metal nosedives as elevated United States (US) Treasury Yields have diminished its appeal.
Related Instrument
