The Dollar Index to ease back towards 102 – DBS

Source Fxstreet

The USD’s near-term direction will hinge on US CPI tonight, especially after markets were wrong-footed by strength in non-farm payrolls, DBS’ FX analyst Philip Wee notes.

25bps rate cut would be more appropriate

“Consensus expects inflation to ease to 2.3% y/y, and a downside surprise could see the DXY index easing back towards 102.” 

“Fed rate cut expectations have already been trimmed to just two more 25bps cuts for the rest of the year. The September FOMC minutes released overnight indicate that some attendees believe that a 25bps cut would be more appropriate, although only Bowman voted against a 50bps cut.”

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. October CPI Focus and Powell and Fed Officials SpeakInsights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 11, 2024
Insights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Silver price forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $61.40 as US yields retreat, NFP eyedSilver price (XAG/USD) is up 0.55% to near $61.38 during the late Asian trading session on Friday. The white metal edges up as rally in United States (US) Treasury Yields has hit a pause.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 02, Fri
Silver price (XAG/USD) is up 0.55% to near $61.38 during the late Asian trading session on Friday. The white metal edges up as rally in United States (US) Treasury Yields has hit a pause.
placeholder
WTI Price Forecast: Hangs near four-week low, around $89.00 as bears seem noncommittalWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts sellers for the second straight day on Monday and sticks to its intraday losses around the $89.00 mark through the early European session.
Author  FXStreet
17 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts sellers for the second straight day on Monday and sticks to its intraday losses around the $89.00 mark through the early European session.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote